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By Mr. Olli Koskiranta Vice-President, Business Development Finnforest Corporation

European Wood-Based Panels Market Prospects UNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions 24-25 th September 2002 Geneva, Switzerland. By Mr. Olli Koskiranta Vice-President, Business Development Finnforest Corporation. Contents. European Woodworking Industry & Companies

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By Mr. Olli Koskiranta Vice-President, Business Development Finnforest Corporation

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  1. European Wood-Based Panels Market ProspectsUNECE Timber Committee Market Discussions 24-25th September 2002Geneva, Switzerland By Mr. Olli Koskiranta Vice-President, Business Development Finnforest Corporation

  2. Contents • European Woodworking Industry & Companies • WBP* Consumption Structure in Europe • WBP Production, Prices & Consumption in Europe** • Plywood • OSB • Particle board • MDF • Market Observations in Europe vs. North America • Future Trends • * WBP is wood-based panels ** Including Russia

  3. European woodworking industry excluding furniture • Production: • 60 billion EUR/year • Workforce: • 540 000 workers • Over 100 000 companies • Typical SME-sector, with many sub-sectors

  4. Major Wood Working Industry Companies in Europe Finnforest - Moelven Egger Sonae Industria UPM-Kymmene Wood Products Pfleiderer Stora Enso Timber Swiss Krono (est.) Kronospan (est.) Kunz (est.) Frati (est.) Finsa (est.) Nexfor Södra Million € AssiDomän 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 Solid Wood Panels EWP Building systems Other Source: FF

  5. Wood-based panels Consumption Structure in Europe 1990 - 2002 60 Other fiberboard 50 MDF 40 3 Million m 30 Particle board 20 OSB 10 Plywood 0 1992 1993 1994 1999 2000 1990 1991 1995 1996 1997 1998 2001 2002 Source: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI

  6. European Plywood Production & Consumption 1998-2003 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 SW Ply Prod. HW Ply Prod. SW Ply Cons. HW Ply Cons. Sources: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI, *HW plywood includes tropical,birch and other temperate plywood

  7. 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Finnish Softwood & Birch Plywood Price Development 1990-2002 €/m3 2001 '1-5 2002 FIN Birch Ply FIN SW Ply Source: Finnish Customs

  8. European OSB Production, Price & Consumption 1998-2003 2 500 300 250 2 000 200 1 500 1000m3 EUR/m3 150 1 000 100 500 50 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Production Consumption Est. Price av.* Sources: FF, FAO,UNECE, WPI

  9. European Particleboard Production, Price & Consumption 1998 - 2003 45 000 120 40 000 100 35 000 30 000 80 25 000 1000m3 EUR/m3 60 20 000 15 000 40 10 000 20 5 000 0 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Production Consumption GER Price av.* Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI, *EUWID

  10. European MDF Production, Price & Consumption 1998-2003 12 000 220 215 10 000 210 205 8 000 200 195 1000m3 EUR/m3 6 000 190 185 4 000 180 175 2 000 170 0 165 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Production Consumption UK Price av.* Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI

  11. North America (US+CDN) Population 300 million1) GDP 12 189 Billion EUR2) Wood-based panels: Plywood 16,6 Mil. m3 OSB 19,3 Mil. m3 Particleboard 11,1 Mil. m3 MDF 4,4 Mil.m3 Total 51,4 Mil. M3 Engineered Wood Products: LVL 1,5 Mil. m3 Glulam 0,8 Mil. m3 I-beams 270 Mil. linear m Western Europe (EU-15+CH&N) Population 390 million1) GDP 8 815 Billion EUR3) Wood-based panels: Plywood 5 Mil. m3 OSB 1,6 Mil. m3 Particleboard 29 Mil. m3 MDF 7,5 Mil. m3 Total 43,1 Mil. M3 Engineered Wood Products: LVL 0,2 Mil. m3 Glulam 1,2 Mil. m3 I-beams 8 Mil. linear m 2)=EUROSTAT forecast 1)=Census, US&CAN; EU-15 + SUI&NO 3)=EU-15 only (EUROSTAT forecast) Engineered wood products and wood-based panels:North America vs. Western Europe Sources: FAO, RISI, APA, Jaakko Poyry

  12. European Plywood vs. MDF and OSB Consumption 1989-2001 MDF & OSB Consumption Plywood Consumption 10 10 1,7 9 9 8 8 3 7 7 3 6 6 Million m Million m 5 5 1,8 2,2 8,4 4 4 3 3 2 4,0 2 0,2 3,5 1 1 1,6 0 0 1989 2001 1989 2001 MDF OSB HW Plywood SW Plywood Sources: FF, EPF, FAO, UNECE, WBI,

  13. Plywood and OSB End Use Changes by Segments in USA 1989 - 2001 Plywood Consumption OSB Consumption 19.6 20 20 18.6 14.4 15 15 3 3 13,0 Million m Million m 10 10 5.5 + 7.9 5 5 5,1 5,3 + 2.0 3,5 0 0 1989 2001 1989 2001 Industry Renovation Industry Renovation New Building New Building Source: RISI

  14. Biggest European wood-based panels producers by capacity in 2001 M&P Kaindl/Kronospan Sonae Egger Swiss Krono Plywood Pfleiderer Particleboard Hornitex MDF Frati Fibreboard Finsa Nexfor OSB Unilin Spano Schauman Total European market 50 Mm3 Kunz Fantoni Wyerhaeuser Constantia Finnforest 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 Sources: FF, EPF, WBI,

  15. Future Trends • The role of Russia & former East-Europe as panel producer is increasing – as is consumption in that area. • Manufacturing plants are growing in size and simultaniously becoming multi-product manufacturing centers • North American plywood will not be back to Europe, Asian plywood decreases its volume and Central - and South European plywood production will become niche business. • Wood chip raw materials will increase in price (regionally) due to the growing popularity of bio-energy (subsidies).

  16. Future Trends • Price competition in bulk products • Competition by substitutes • Construction increasingly R&R • Demand shifts to DIY chains • Industry, distribution & customer consolidation • Building systems: Engineered Wood • Green values & recycling • Note! Demand and supply forecasting becomes more and more relevant for investment and business – Where to get reliable information and statistics?

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