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Mikko Pohjola, THL. Overview of DARM. Contents. Overview of DARM Examples of OA/ORM Example swine flu/narcolepsy DA model Group feedback/discussion. Overview of DARM. Some relevant questions. Who needs (to use, make, understand) DA & RM?
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Mikko Pohjola, THL Overview of DARM
Contents Overview of DARM Examples of OA/ORM Example swine flu/narcolepsy DA model Group feedback/discussion
Some relevant questions Who needs (to use, make, understand) DA & RM? Links of this course contents to other issues taught in environmental risk assessment? Are these methods useful in actual decision situations/real world?
Topics considered in DARM • Decision theory • Probability theory • Modeling • Uncertainty and model analyses • Assessment performance • Purpose of RM • Role of assessment in RM • Common views to (systematic) RM • vs. reality? • vs. needs? • Participatory assessment and RM • OA & ORM • Information systems/tools to support (O)RM: Opasnet
Goals/courses in ToxEn • http://uef.fi/toxen/courses • “…the students will have comprehensive understanding of human exposure to and health effects of environmental agents such as air pollutants, ionizing and non-ionizing radiation, environmental chemicals and noise, as well as methods needed to produce meaningful risk assessments from such information”
Your (future) jobs/roles • Environmental/health consultants • Health care professionals • Public officials • Business/industry experts • Business/industry managers • Researchers • Educators • … • Local/regional committee member • NGO / leisure time activity club members • Parents • Citizens
Examples of OA/ORM cases Past Health impact of radon in Europe Building policies effects on dampness adn ashma in Europe Health impact of urban heat island mitigation in Europe Cost-benefit assessment on composite traffic in Helsinki Comparative risk assessment of dioxinand fine particles Emission assessment of small-scale energy production in Helsinki metropolitan area Benefit-risk assessment on farmed salmon Benefit-risk assessment of methyl mercury and omega-3 fattu acids in fish Risk assessment of nitrate in drinking water Gasbus – health impacts of Helsinki bus traffic
Examples of OA/ORM cases On-going BIOHER: health impacts and costs due to PM2.5 and GHG emissions from small heating power plants and detached houses CLAIH: health impacts and costs of policies to reduce GHG emissions from household heating Assessment of the health impacts of H1N1 vaccination Upcoming URGENCHE: analysis of impact of city-level climate change policy options in 8 cities in Europe and China Normative policy analysis on actions to undertake after the Fukushima nuclear accident Benefit-risk assessment of food supplements
Example DA study model Problem and assessment question Model Analyses Results & conclusions Relation to the argumentation example Relations to the DA study plans Future development and use of the analysis
Feedback / discussion How did it go? Have you learned something? Was it effort well spent? Was something too difficult or useless? Did (will) the course have any impact?