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Technology Planning

In the evolving landscape of technology, understanding and managing risk is crucial for successful innovation. This document explores the delicate balance between the potential benefits and risks of new technologies, including hardware, algorithms, and software systems. With an emphasis on structured risk assessments and lessons learned from successful prototypes, we outline strategies to minimize risk while maximizing performance. By following industry trends and engaging in empirical analysis, we can pave the way for breakthroughs in technology that meet the needs of tomorrow's projects.

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Technology Planning

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  1. Technology Planning Andrew Faulkner inc. some plagiarism from “Our Leader”

  2. Technology is more than just ‘stuff’ Includes: Hardware - ‘stuff’ Algorithms Techniques Software Systems etc....

  3. Our developments use..... Some very new technology – some not even available yet! – Projected for SKA build time Need to understand and control RISK

  4. is RISK bad?? No!! like stress: Some is good (for now) But, too much isBAD

  5. e.g wide-area comms data rate: 1Gb 10Gb100Gb ‘Goldilocks’Risk & friends:fallback + upgrade Tech. Innovation Better performance More/new science

  6. Changes Project Phase Now Concept: High risk Development: Understand risk Build time: Minimised risk

  7. e.g. Controlling Risk Risk Understanding: • Follow trends – commercial, industrial • Demonstrators → pathfinders → initial phase Risk Status assessment - ongoing • Empirical - educated guess • Formal - structured risk assessment → ‘Retiring’ Riskover time

  8. Some ‘Formal Technical Readiness’ Questions..... • Has an identical unit been successful operationally in an identical configuration? • Has an identical unit been demonstrated on an operationally, but in a different configuration/system architecture? • Has an identical unit been mission qualified but not operationally demonstrated? • Has a prototype unit been demonstrated in the operational environment? • Has a prototype been demonstrated in a relevant environment or surrogate platform? • Has a breadboard unit been demonstrated in a relevant environment • Has a breadboard unit been demonstrated in a laboratory (controlled) environment? • Has analytical and experimental proof-of-concept been demonstrated? • Has a concept or application been formulated? • Have basic principles been observed and reported? • None of the above NASA etc.

  9. A few SKADS Risk thoughts • EM simulation M • System noise – LNA, matching H →M • Beamforming – analogue & digital H • Volume manufacturing M • Signal transport L • Calibration H • Post processing H • RFI suppression M • Software - System control and processing M →H Need to start some retirements...

  10. Workshop 2008...... • SKADS will be nearing completion ..... • Assess risk in our Tasks for final reports and future work, so: All Tasks will perform a Structured Risk Assessment

  11. And finally..... ...new technology & risk is a delicate balance:

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