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Climate Change: Implications for the South West Sarah Hendel-Blackford

Climate Change: Implications for the South West Sarah Hendel-Blackford SWCCIP Manager & Coordinator 8 June 2006. Observed climate change in the South West The regional response: SWCCIP work Future predictions and implications for the South West.

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Climate Change: Implications for the South West Sarah Hendel-Blackford

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  1. Climate Change: Implications for the South West Sarah Hendel-Blackford SWCCIP Manager & Coordinator 8 June 2006

  2. Observed climate change in the South West • The regional response: SWCCIP work • Future predictions and implications for the South West

  3. Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Predication and Research

  4. Global warming over next 40 years does not depend on emissions scenarios: High emissions Medium-high Medium-low Low emissions Annual-mean temperature rise, deg C Source: Hadley Centre for Climate Predication and Research

  5. Regional Response: SWCCIP’s mission is to investigate, inform and advise on the impacts of climate change in SW England • Established 2001: Chaired by Environment Agency and Government Office South West, partnership between key regional stakeholders • Emphasis on Adaptation • 2003: “Warming to the Idea”, SW Climate Change Impacts Scoping Study

  6. The SW climate change study set out to: - Describe climate change scenarios for the SW - Identify the likely impacts of such change - Suggest actions needed to respond to impacts. www.oursouthwest.com/climate

  7. SWCCIP sector group work • Agriculture • Biodiversity • Housing and Construction • Local Government • Tourism • Utilities

  8. SW anticipated changes Summary of anticipated changes likely to affect the south west (2050s and 2080s): Summer: 2050s: Warmer by 1.5 -3.5ºC, drier by 15 to 30% 2080s: Warmer by 2-5.5ºC, drier by 25 to 55% Winter: 2050s: Milder by 1.0-2.0ºC, wetter by 10 to 30% 2080s: Milder by 1.5-3.5ºC, wetter by 5 to 15%, snowfall decrease by 70 to 90% Source: WTI 2003 adapted from UKCIP02

  9. “If you think you’re too small to make a difference, try going to bed with a mosquito” What you can do: • Find out more: www.oursouthwest.com/climate • Raise awareness and plan for future changes • Case studies? sarah.hendel-blackford@environment-agency.gov.uk

  10. Conclusions: • Climate change is a “now” issue • (In)Action has long-term implications • Climate change requires adaptation and mitigation

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