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Y.Busurin / INPRO Group / IAEA

International Project on Innovative Nuclear Reactors and Fuel Cycles (INPRO) INPRO Status and Highlights INPRO Collaborative Project “Meeting energy needs in the period of raw materials insufficiency during the 21st century”(RMI). Y.Busurin / INPRO Group / IAEA

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Y.Busurin / INPRO Group / IAEA

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  1. International Project on Innovative Nuclear Reactors and Fuel Cycles (INPRO)INPRO Status and HighlightsINPRO Collaborative Project “Meeting energy needs in the period of raw materials insufficiency during the 21st century”(RMI). Y.Busurin / INPRO Group / IAEA Twelfth session of the AER Working Group F "Spent Fuel Transmutations" and INPRO IAEA Collaborative Projects RMI "Meeting energy needs in the period of raw materials insufficiency during the 21st century" Liblice, April 26 – 29, 2011

  2. Concept of sustainable developmentand INPRO methodology Concept of Sustainable Development including development of sustainable energy supply Environmental Dimension SocialDimension Economic Dimension Institutional Dimension Development of SustainableNuclear Energy System Safety Proliferation Resistance Physical Protection Infrastructure Environment Waste Management Economics INPRO MethodologyAssessment using a holistic approach (7 areas)Selection of sustainable Nuclear Energy System (NES)

  3. Holistic Nature of NES Economics Safety (Reactor) Proliferation Resistance Safety (Fuel Cycle) Sustainable NES Infra structure Physical protection Environment Waste Management

  4. INPRO holistic approach

  5. Architecture of INPRO requirements

  6. Documentation of the INPRO Methodology • Documentation of the INPRO methodology:www.IAEA.org/INPRO

  7. Energy Tools and Methodologies for NES Planning

  8. Evolution of INPRO

  9. 10 Years of INPRO / Impressions

  10. INPRO Membership 2010 31 IAEA Member States and the European Commission

  11. INPRO Membership 2001-2010

  12. INPRO Organizational Chart INPRO Group Leader Beatty INPRO Programme Liaison Officer Gowin F: Coordination, Communication & Management Gowin (Beatty, Dyck, Miliovska, Graisy) Golubovic/Baghdoyan INPRO Secretariat Baghdoyan Golubovic NENP Divisional Administrative Assistant Scharf A: NESA Depisch (Haas, Meyer, Korinny, Villalibre, Busurin) Baghdoyan/ Golubovic B: Global Vision Lysakov (Usanov, Villalibre, Korinny, Busurin, Gowin) Baghdoyan/ Golubovic C: Technology Innovation Khartabil (Meyer, Villalibre) Golubovic/ Baghdoyan D: Institutional Innovation Beatty (Lysakov, Busurin, Khartabil) Baghdoyan/ Golubovic E: Dialogue Forum Gowin (Khartabil, Depisch, Qureshi) Golubovic/ Baghdoyan 12

  13. INPRO Programme Areas 2010/11 • Substantive Programme Areas • A: Nuclear Energy Systems Assessments • B: Global Vision • C: Innovations in Nuclear Technology • D: Innovations in Institutional Arrangements • Cross-cutting • E: INPRO Dialogue Forum • INPRO Management • F: Management, Coordination, Strategic Planning, Steering Committee, Outreach

  14. INPRO Programme Areas 2010/11 • A: INPRO Assessments • To assist Member States in performing Nuclear Energy System Assessments (NESA) using the INPRO methodology, in support of long-term strategic planning and nuclear energy deployment decision making • B: Global Vision • To develop global and regional nuclear energy scenarios, on the basis of a scientific-technical pathway analysis, that lead to a global vision on sustainable nuclear energy development in the 21st century, and to support Member States in working towards that vision

  15. INPRO Programme Areas INPRO Programme Areas 2010/11 • C: Innovations in Nuclear Technology • To foster collaboration among INPRO Member States on selected innovative nuclear technologies and related R&D that contribute to sustainable nuclear energy • D: Innovations in Institutional Arrangements • To investigate and foster collaboration on innovative institutional and legal arrangements for the use of innovative nuclear systems in the 21st century and to support Member States in developing and implementing such innovative arrangements

  16. INPRO Programme Areas INPRO Programme Areas 2010/11 • E: INPRO Dialogue Forum • To bring together technology holders and technology users to discuss, debate and share information on desirable innovations, both technical and institutional, but also national long-term nuclear planning strategies and approaches and, on the highest level, the global nuclear energy system • F: Policy Coordination, Communication, and Management • To plan and organize meetings of the Steering Committee and coordinate policies with other international initiatives (e.g. GIF), but also to communicate and disseminate INPRO achievements and results to its stakeholders through publications and meetings/conferences

  17. INPRO Collaborative Projects 17

  18. INPRO Collaborative Projects

  19. 2012-13 Planning Principles Planning of INPRO activities is based on Guidance from the General Conference INPRO Steering Committee Takes into account recommendations from OIOS Possible Steps: OIOS sends recommendations to IAEA Board of Governers Area Coordinators participate in development of Joint Action Plan for INPRO (covering related activities from relevant departments) in response to OIOS recommendations DDsG of relevant departments sign the Joint Action Plan (IOM) INPRO activities are in line with: IAEA’s Programme & Budget for 2012–2013 Subprogramme 1.1.4: Coordination of the International Project on Innovative Nuclear Reactors and Fuel Cycles 19

  20. INPRO Strategic Planning 2010-2016

  21. INPRO Collaborative Project “Meeting energy needs in the period of raw materials insufficiency during the 21st century” (RMI)

  22. Global Vision and Scenarios

  23. Holistic Nature of NES Economics Safety (Reactor) Proliferation Resistance Safety (Fuel Cycle) Sustainable NES Infra structure Physical protection Environment Waste Management

  24. Contributions to the Global Vision Report (White paper)

  25. RMI - OVERALL OBJECTIVES Prepare recommendation on a strategic plan of development of energy production for selected countries in the framework of the world energy resources. Prepare an overview of asymptotic energy needs for the countries and the sustainable raw material supply. Make basic considerations on the ways to reach sustainable options and estimate needed basic investments including waste management and non-electrical applications.

  26. RMI - Specific objectives 1. Global nuclear power in countries with rapid economic growth. In the context of limited energy resources and increasing environmental problems, there is a need to focus attention on nuclear energy development in the developing countries as the countries most highly motivated for its large scale growth. Understand (evaluate) the anticipated structure, for example, up until the middle of the century Examine all issues from the INPRO standpoint in a selected region. Consider this region as being open to the import of nuclear technologies (at least in the initial phase) with subsequent development of its own infrastructure. Configure the worldwide energy situation based on various nuclear energy development alternatives in this region. When considering nuclear technologies, there is also a need to analyze all the various energy development options making allowance for a roughly identical scale factor.

  27. RMI - Specific objectives (2) 2. The development of nuclear power to solve the most critical energy supply problems. First of all, analyse the nuclear power options for solving the motor fuel problem. Evaluate scales, structure of nuclear power. Examine nuclear power potential in this sphere; analyse the most acceptable nuclear technologies. Secondly to analyse potential of High temperature reactors for, electricity for hydrogen production, etc. Look at alternative nuclear power development scales to address the problems generated by the oil peaking factor in the coming 20–30 years. Analyse the prospects and potential of the most interesting players in field for these energy technologies. This section should also include nuclear power goals with respect to water desalination.

  28. RMI - Specific objectives (3) 3. Nuclear power resource base. There is a need to perform predictive evaluations of the annual production of natural uranium using the same mathematical model as in calculated predictions of oil and natural gas production. The starting situation is the current level of natural uranium production, and the development of new capacities from the exploitation of new resources takes place as reserves of the previous category are exhausted. It can be expected that already by 2060 there will be a deficit of natural uranium, which can be avoided only through the active inclusion of uranium-238 into the fuel cycle, together with the simultaneous development of fast reactor technologies with increased fuel breeding and a closed fuel cycle. Investigations need to be performed aimed at determining more precisely the amounts of uranium suitable for use in the short and the long term. These investigations will be crucial in answering the question about the need for, and the time frames for the deployment of, fast breeders.

  29. RMI- OUTCOME A report containing the results of the study including recommendations on a strategy of energy production in the selected countries taking into account regional aspects and trends in neighbouring countries will be issued.

  30. Thank you for your attention Y.Busurin@iaea.org

  31. GAINS: Major Findings Sustainability not guaranteed within scenario deployment based on thermal reactors and open fuel cycle (FC) Innovations in reactor and FC deployment (FR, MSR, ADS, U-Pu and Th-U FC) enhances sustainability features (U savings, SF and waste minimization, etc.) However, sustainability of global nuclear system cannot be achieved if innovations are limited to technology holder countries CM of the INPRO CP FINITE CIAE, Beijing, China. 6-10 December, 2010

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