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Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis

Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis. Enron Government Affairs September 22, 2000. Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis. U.S. Electricity Generation Trends U.S. Natural Gas Supply/Demand Trends U.S. Petroleum Products Use vs. Imports

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Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis

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  1. Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis Enron Government Affairs September 22, 2000

  2. Recent U.S. Energy Trends Analysis U.S. Electricity Generation Trends U.S. Natural Gas Supply/Demand Trends U.S. Petroleum Products Use vs. Imports U.S. Energy Expenditures and Effects of Higher Oil and Gas Prices

  3. U.S. Electricity Generation Trends Net Generation in BKWH U.S. electricity generation increased 17% since 1994, and non-utilities generation nearly doubled, driven by deregulation trends 3820E 3691 3618 3494 3447 3358 3254 Utility Non-Utility 670 517 372 406 363 370 343 5 months (annualized) Note: Includes UTILITY and NON-UTILITY generation Source: U.S. DOE Monthly Energy Review, Table 7.1, August 2000

  4. U.S. Natural Gas Supply/Demand Trends in Trillion Cubic Feet Lagging U.S. gas production, down 1% since 1994, has not kept pace with demand, which is up 4.5% 20.00 20.00 U.S. Production U.S. Demand 19.795 19.66 19.50 19.47 Up 4.5% 18.90 18.90 18.85 18.82 18.71 18.66 18.65 18.60 Down 1% 6 months (annualized) Source: U.S. DOE, Natural Gas Monthly, Dry Gas Delivered to Consumers, Tables 2 and 3.

  5. U.S. Petroleum Products Use vs Net Oil Imports in Quadrillion BTU’s U.S. petroleum products use increased 9.5% since 1994, compared to oil imports, up 20%--oil import share today is 48% of oil use vs 43% in 1994. The U.S. is increasingly oil import dependent 37.95 37.96 36.93 36.26 35.75 34.55 34.67 U.S. oil use U.S. imports 18.68 18.68 48% imports share 18.20E 17.65 16.07 15.43 15.13 43% imports share 5 months (annualized) Source: U.S. DOE Monthly Energy Review, Table 1.4 and 1.5, August 2000

  6. U.S. Energy Expenditures U.S. energy spending of $468 Billion in 1999 could increase 13% or more with higher oil prices in 2000. Higher natural gas prices could add another 6% to 12 % Electricity $217 Billion Petroleum Products $166 Billion Natural Gas $85 Billion $468 Billion Source: U.S. DOE EIA, Monthly Energy Review

  7. 1999-2000 U.S. Energy Expenditures U.S. energy spending of $468 Billion in 1999 could increase 13% or more with higher oil prices in 2000. Higher natural gas prices could add another 6% to 12 % 2000? Electricity $217 Billion 2000? Petroleum Products $166 Billion $227 Billion (up $61 Billion) $90-95 Billion Natural Gas $85 Billion $468 Billion compared to $539 Billion in 2000? Source: U.S. DOE EIA, Monthly Energy Review and U.S. DOE Natural Gas Monthly.

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