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Planning Update

Planning Update. Prepared by Anthony A. Athens III Director of Planning September 10, 2007. Topics. Enrollment Housing & Land Use Boundary Planning. 2007-08 Total Enrollment. Today’s Enrollment: 61,807 October 2006 Enrollment: 61,006 Enrollment Growth: 801 ; 1.3%

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Planning Update

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  1. Planning Update Prepared by Anthony A. Athens IIIDirector of PlanningSeptember 10, 2007

  2. Topics • Enrollment • Housing & Land Use • Boundary Planning

  3. 2007-08 Total Enrollment • Today’s Enrollment: 61,807 • October 2006 Enrollment: 61,006 • Enrollment Growth: 801 ; 1.3% • Projected October 2007 Enrollment: 63,081 • Difference: -1,274 ; -2.0%

  4. Metrostudy • Physical Inspection of All Active Subdivisions Every Quarter • Methodology • Starts = Slab Poured • Closings = New Evidence of Habitation • Inventory = Model, Vacant, Under Construction • Vacant Developed Lot = Streets & Utilities In

  5. Developed Lots = 3,544 Future Lots = 4,315

  6. SA Research • SA Research Has Extensive Experience Analyzing Local Land Use Trends • Has Been One Of NEISD’s Primary Sources Of Housing Data For Nearly Twenty Years • Anticipated Housing Growth Is A Primary Input For Enrollment Forecasting Models

  7. Land Use • Intensive Effort to Map All Land Use North of Loop 1604,Using Many Data Sources • 2007 Bexar Appraisal District Parcel File • 2007 Bexar Metro 911 Street File • 2006 City of San Antonio Aerial Photography • All Subdivisions: Built-out, Active, Future • All Other Land Uses: • Apartments • Commercial • Governmental • Flood Plain • Etc. • By Elimination, Outlines Remaining Land With Development Potential

  8. Classen Steubing Yates Schwab

  9. Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Workflow • Housing Projections by SA Research Already Completed • Contractor Produced Enrollment Projections by Deskmap Systems Using Post-Labor Day Enrollment Underway, due by September 19 • In-House Produced Enrollment Projections Using Post-Labor Day Enrollment Underway • Upon Completion of Enrollment Projections, Attendance Boundary Analysis Will Proceed

  10. Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Meetings • Superintendent’s Lunch Meetings • September 12, 11:30 am & September 25, 12:00 pm; NEEC • Informal Meetings With Stakeholders Identified byAll Principals North of 1604 • Meetings to Discuss Boundary Concerns • No Boundary Proposals Presented • Public Hearings • October 3 & 17, 7:30 pm, Reagan HS Auditorium • Dates Chosen to Minimize Conflicts With Other School Activities • Boundary Proposals Presented • Public Feedback Solicited

  11. Johnson High SchoolBoundary Planning Meetings • Additional Public Hearing • November 7, 7:30 pm, Reagan HS Auditorium • Only If Needed • Board of Trustees Vote • We Anticipate Bringing A Recommendation to The Board of Trustees For Their Consideration At Their Regular Meeting on November 12

  12. Developed Lots = 2,690 Future Lots = 3,377

  13. Developed Lots = 1,207 Future Lots = 1,283

  14. Developed Lots = 1,483 Future Lots = 2,094

  15. Other Boundaries • We May Examine Minor Refinements To Elementary and Middle School Boundaries • Any Needed Meetings Will Take Place After The First Of The Year

  16. Questions

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