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Flow, Fish and Fishing 2005 All-Hands Meeting

Flow, Fish and Fishing 2005 All-Hands Meeting. The Proposal’s Bottom Line…. Larval transport is a stochastic process driven by coastal stirring Fish stocks, yields & their assessment are directly affected by this stochastic forcing

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Flow, Fish and Fishing 2005 All-Hands Meeting

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  1. Flow, Fish and Fishing 2005 All-Hands Meeting

  2. The Proposal’s Bottom Line… • Larval transport is a stochastic process driven by coastal stirring • Fish stocks, yields & their assessment are directly affected by this stochastic forcing • Management under this uncertainty must be accounted for in real & robust ways • The key is following the flow of information

  3. Flow, Fish & Fishing

  4. F3 Hypotheses • Larval Settlement in Coastal Environments Interactions among coastal circulation & organism life cycles make larval settlement intermittent & episodic • Scales of Nearshore Fish Stocks Stocks are controlled by larval settlement, habitat, natural & fishing mortality and adult migration

  5. F3 Hypotheses 3. Uncertainty, Information and Fishery Management Choice of the most effective management instrument depends on the quantity, quality and cost of information • Scale Disparity between Harvesting & Management Fish population dynamics, fishermen behavior and fishery management occurs on disparate space and time scales • Managing Mixed Species Fisheries Managing mixed fisheries is difficult, as the status of the slower-maturing species dictates management strategy

  6. Overall F3 Goal Given sources of uncertainty and stochasticity, … how can nearshore fisheries be managed that best balances fish stock viability, ecosystem quality & socioeconomic value?

  7. F3 Approach • Build interdisciplinary team of experts • Develop process & realized models • Spatial modeling of a nearshore fishery • Modeling the value of information • Inform modeling with data

  8. F3 Broader Impacts • Educational activities ORCA, SEASET, Bren MESM projects, EES-IGERT, our classes… • Global perspectives PISCO/Mellon, PISCO/CICESE, NCEAS, …

  9. General Goals for the Meeting • Get up to date on where we are for each component of the F3 project • Talk thru the next steps age-size in stock modeling, heterogeneous space in flow modeling, fleet modeling and fishermen behavior, value of information, etc. • Work towards integration take on a fishery, fluff pieces

  10. Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting May 26 - ICESS Conf Room - 6th floor Ellison Hall 8:30 Meet and greet 9:00 Welcome - DV - agenda (and where bathrooms are) 9:10 Flow - SM - Where is F3 in modeling larval transport [20 min] 9:30 Fish - BEK - Where is F3 in stock modeling [20 min] 9:50 Fishing - CJC - Where is F3 in fishing modeling [20 min] 10:10 Management - RH - Modeling fleet dynamics [20 min] 10:30 Break 11:00 Discussion of where we are and where we need to go [60 min] 12:00 Lunch - walk over to the UCEN

  11. Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting 1:30 Other relevant projects (10 min each just goals & directions) NSF Biocomplexity meeting - BEK Salmon Biocomplexity - RH Baja Coop Biocomplexity - CJC Sea Urchin Coop Research - RH PISCO - SDG CINMS MPA monitoring - RRW 2:20 Other presentations [15 min each] Michael Robinson - Ethnographic mapping of fisherman behavior Brian Kinlan - Spatial genetics modeling Carey McGilliard - MPA & fleet management Liz Madin / Robin Pelc - Spatial / temporal scales of settlement John Lynham - Fleet modeling Crow White - Bioeconomic modeling of MPAs Heather Berkley - Spatial dynamics of settlement & extraction Others???

  12. Agenda for 2005 F3 All Hands Meeting May 26 – Continued 4:00 F3 Integration - DV intro and discussion 4:40 Working group set up and goals - DV [20 min] 6:30 Dinner at DV's house - Cancelled May 27 - ICESS Conf Room - 6th floor Ellison Hall 8:30 Meet and greet 9:00 Working group tasks and directions - DV & ?? 9:15 Working groups - have a couple of rooms for break out too 11:30 Working group reports - tasks for after noon - [30 min total] 12:00 Lunch at UCEN 1:30 Afternoon tasks 4:00 Assign remaining tasks

  13. Candidate Working Groups • Fisherman detail • individual behavior & learning aggregated to a fleet • Ecological detail • age/size, larval behavior, heterogeneous habitat quality, temporal changes in habitat quality, … • Economic/management detail • value of information, adaptive management, regulatory response, … • Integration • End-to-end demonstration for a specific fishery / region, general audience publication of overall concept, etc. • Others???

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