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Physics for Presidents and other World Leaders

Physics for Presidents and other World Leaders. photo by Victor Juhasz. Today:. terrorism nuclear weapons energy climate change. Terrorist nuke. Terrorist nuke. Uranium Bomb U-235 Purification HARD Gun design EASY Never needed test Destroyed Hiroshima Saddam’s bomb.

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Physics for Presidents and other World Leaders

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  1. Physics forPresidentsand otherWorld Leaders photo by Victor Juhasz

  2. Today: • terrorism • nuclear weapons • energy • climate change

  3. Terroristnuke

  4. Terroristnuke Uranium Bomb U-235 Purification HARD Gun design EASY Never needed test Destroyed Hiroshima Saddam’s bomb Plutonium Bomb Pu-239 Purification EASY Implosion design HARD Alamogordo test Destroyed Nagasaki North Korean Choice

  5. Saddam’s Calutrons

  6. Terroristnuke

  7. North Korean Nuke hits Central Park

  8. 1 Megaton Nuke hits Central Manhattan

  9. North Korean Nuke hits Central Park

  10. 9/11

  11. Energy per gram

  12. Energy per gram

  13. Energy per gram

  14. US Cost of energy($ = US dollars; ¢ = 0.01 US dollar) Plug-in Hybrid: more expensive than $15/gallon gasoline! (but less carbon dioxide)

  15. Greenhouse Gases

  16. Are the fears all based on complicated computer calculations? 1896 Arhennius 1958 Revelle 1979 MacDonald 2007 IPCC

  17. Greenhouse effect(car in the parking lot effect)

  18. This is global warming: Warming last 158 years + arctic sea ice & sea level

  19. In last 100 yrs, sea level rose 8 inches

  20. arctic ice

  21. Antarctica losing ice mass Antarctic Ice Sheet Losing Mass, According to CU-Boulder Study March 2, 2006 University of Colorado at Boulder researchers have used data from a pair of NASA satellites orbiting Earth in tandem to determine that the Antarctic ice sheet, which harbors 90 percent of Earth's ice, has lost significant mass in recent years. The team used measurements taken with the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, or GRACE, to conclude the Antarctic ice sheet is losing up to 36 cubic miles of ice, or 152 cubic kilometers, annually. By comparison, the city of Los Angeles uses about 1 cubic mile of fresh water annually. "This is the first study to indicate the total mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet is in significant decline," said Isabella Velicogna of CU-Boulder's Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, chief author of the new study that appears in the March 2 online issue of Science Express. The study was co-authored by CU-Boulder physics Professor John Wahr of CIRES, a joint campus institute of CU-Boulder and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The estimated ice mass in Antarctica is equivalent to 0.4 millimeters of global sea rise annually, with a margin of error of 0.2 millimeters, according to the study. There are about 25 millimeters in an inch. The most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment, completed in 2001, predicted the Antarctic ice sheet would gain mass in the 21st century due to increased precipitation in a warming climate. But the new study signals a reduction in the continent's total ice mass, with the bulk of loss occurring in the West Antarctic ice sheet, said Velicogna. Researchers used GRACE data to calculate the total ice mass in Antarctica between April 2002 and August 2005 for the study, said Velicogna, who also is affiliated with the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena. SciencExpress 2 March 2006 p 1 / 10.1126/science.1123785

  22. Antarctica losing ice mass Antarctic Ice Sheet Losing Mass, According to CU-Boulder Study March 2, 2006 University of Colorado at Boulder researchers have used data from a pair of NASA satellites orbiting Earth in tandem to determine that the Antarctic ice sheet, which harbors 90 percent of Earth's ice, has lost significant mass in recent years. The team used measurements taken with the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment, or GRACE, to conclude the Antarctic ice sheet is losing up to 36 cubic miles of ice, or 152 cubic kilometers, annually. By comparison, the city of Los Angeles uses about 1 cubic mile of fresh water annually. "This is the first study to indicate the total mass balance of the Antarctic ice sheet is in significant decline," said Isabella Velicogna of CU-Boulder's Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, chief author of the new study that appears in the March 2 online issue of Science Express. The study was co-authored by CU-Boulder physics Professor John Wahr of CIRES, a joint campus institute of CU-Boulder and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The estimated ice mass in Antarctica is equivalent to 0.4 millimeters of global sea rise annually, with a margin of error of 0.2 millimeters, according to the study. There are about 25 millimeters in an inch. The most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assessment, completed in 2001, predicted the Antarctic ice sheet would gain mass in the 21st century due to increased precipitation in a warming climate. But the new study signals a reduction in the continent's total ice mass, with the bulk of loss occurring in the West Antarctic ice sheet, said Velicogna. Researchers used GRACE data to calculate the total ice mass in Antarctica between April 2002 and August 2005 for the study, said Velicogna, who also is affiliated with the Jet Propulsion Laboratory in Pasadena. SciencExpress 2 March 2006 p 1 / 10.1126/science.1123785

  23. swim suits Global Warming

  24. Landsea hurricanes

  25. Hurricanes that hit the US definitely NOT increasing!

  26. tornadoes

  27. Wildfires(in US)

  28. Alaska isMelting? Temperature in Fairbanks North Pacific

  29. Warming last 158 years

  30. This is global warming: Warming last 158 years + arctic sea ice & sea level

  31. Recent non Warming

  32. How rapidly are we running out of fossil fuels?

  33. billion barrel of oil equivalent

  34. Carbon Dioxide

  35. Energy and Wealth

  36. Pollution per GDP China India US

  37. World Carbon DioxideProjections Coal Oil Natural Gas

  38. China’s CO2 Forecasting the Path of China’s CO2 Emissions Using Province Level Information by Maximilian Auffhammer & Richard T. Carson (2009)

  39. Energy per GDP source: L. Shipper & S. Meyers

  40. McKinsey Analysis

  41. Warming last 158 years

  42. Cloud cover: the big unknown clouds 2% change in cloud cover would overwhelm human CO2

  43. C7 NSW What do we do? Comfortable Conservation Clean Coal Chinese Carbon Credits Nukes, Solar, Wind compact fluorescents in Notre Dame de Paris

  44. Wind turbines

  45. Solar Cells

  46. Nuclear Waste

  47. Truly Clean Coal? Sequestration of the carbon dioxide (CSS) Cost: 4¢ per kWh We can’t just suck it out of the air.

  48. Efficient and Clean Coal: IGCC(Integrated Gas Combined Cycle)

  49. What can we do? plot from EPRI

  50. Future Energy Tech IGCC (clean coal) LiIon Thin film solar: CdTe, CIGS, a-Si Gamultijunction solar Pebble Bed Nukes Waste Storage Coal bed gasification non-corn biofuels CTL (Coal-To-Liquid; Fisher-Tropsch) Coal-bed methane Enhanced Oil Recovery Solar concentrator Indium shortages DC power transmission Inverters coal bed gasification OMITTED (on purpose): plug-in hybrids, hydrogen economy, fuel cells, fusion, breeder reactors

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