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SOLAR MARKET in INDONESIA

SOLAR MARKET in INDONESIA. By Carlos Rosas. Agenda. Indonesia Energy Market Solar Market Grid Parity Example. Indonesia. Location: 6.175 S, 106.83 E Territory: 1,919,440 km 2 (15th) Population: 237,560,000 (4th;2011; tradingeconomics.com ) Rural: 111,060,243 (47%;2010)

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SOLAR MARKET in INDONESIA

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  1. SOLAR MARKET in INDONESIA By Carlos Rosas

  2. Agenda • Indonesia • Energy Market • Solar Market • Grid Parity • Example

  3. Indonesia Location: 6.175 S, 106.83 E Territory: 1,919,440 km2(15th) Population: 237,560,000(4th;2011; tradingeconomics.com) Rural: 111,060,243 (47%;2010) Access to Electricity: 64,5% GDP/capita: 1148 $ (144th,2008;122nd) Poverty: 2007 17,8% 2011 = 12,5% Unemployment rate: 6,3% (11,2%;2006) Inflation: 4,5%(7%;2010) Currency: 1€ <> 11643Rp (2012) http://data.worldbank.org/country/indonesia

  4. Energy Market • PLN (86%) 26,9 GW by 2012 (including subsidiaries) (www.pln.co.id/) Own rights for transmission and distribution Law (1985, 2002, 2004, 2009) • Third Generation IPP 2009 (Removed PLN from total power decision, IPPs can satisfy unserved areas and are allowed to sell to public directly, however not connected to public transmission, tariff are not controlled by PLN anymore, tariff no longer uniform throughout country) Gov. share risk with PLN “BKPM” The Investment Coordinating Board (centralized projects electricity) “The Ministry of Finance” Tax incentives through Gov. electricity project and guarantees. “APLSI, The Independent Power Producers Association” Facilitate communication to Gov. “PPP, Public Private Partnership” Collaboration of private efficiency to reap better value for public. “PT PII, Indonesian Infrastructure Guarantee Fund” Reduce financial cost for investors and/by guarantees (Burocracy, project performance, legislation changes) • Bidding process for tariff and approval • For renewables: Arrangements (Certain price and time for renewables) Ref: http://www.pwc.com/id/en

  5. Source of Energy Oil 46,93 % Coal 26,4 % (2nd in 2008 exporters) Gas 21,9 % (14th) RE (Hydro, Geothermal, Wind, PV) 4,8 % • Four main sectors of energy users Household 11,4 % Commercial 3,7 % Industrial 44,2 % Transportation 40,6 % Ref : www.energyefficiencyindonesia.info/energy/indonesia

  6. Solar Market • Installed 14MW (2011;mostly SHS & utility-scaleplants) • Radiation: 4,8 kWh/m2/day(Germany 2,73 from NASA) • 17,000 small/remoteislandswithbadelectricityconnectionandmanyrural villages and thousands of 35,5 % No access to Electricity (41.573.000 people) Half of Potential clients than Bangladesh

  7. Grid Parity By PLN 2009 Residential average (Low V): 13,9 €cts/kwh Up to 10MW any renewable energy Contracts 15 years (Not clear) http://thinkrenewables.wordpress.com/2010/04/30/md-no-31-2009-feed-in-tariff-for-up-to-10-mw-capacity/ If price @ 1€/ wp system cost. 7 years ROI at 8% (5,8% Interest Rate Central Bank Republic of Indonesia) FROM NREL (LCOE) Online Calculator 15 years, Interest of 8%, O&M fixed cost of 3 %, Capacity Factor 17% @ 1000 €/ wp10,1 €cts/kWh @ 2000 €/ wp 19.9 €cts/kWh @ 2400 €/ wp 29.8 €cts/kWh (Sharp in Bali @ March 2, signed MoU. 300milion$ 100MW) thejakartapost.com 18,34 €cts/kWh (Half price of Fuel energy (No price of selling to PLN have been set)

  8. Rural Electricity condition in Indonesia (By UNEP/SoF REPORT)  Indonesian Population: 237 million (2011 estimate)  Villages: 66 thousand  Electrified Villages: 78% or 51,000  Non-electrified Villages: 22% or 15,000  No of Households: 38,5 million  Electrification ration: 53% or 20.4 million households  Non-electrified Households: 47% or 18.1 million households http://www.giz.de/Themen/de/SID-66498112-72C70C43/dokumente/2012-de-stojiljkovic2-pep-informationswork-indonesien-solar.pdf Example • Grameen Shakti started ‘96 with SHS reached 600 thousands SHS : Plan 1 million by 2015 Solid structure of management company • ++ organizations involved to develop renewable energy. • University of Singapore (Report of Governance small-scale renewable energy in Asia) • Indonesia Solar Loan Programme (oct2010 - dec2011) Support programme to help develop a competitive credit market for Solar Energy Technology UNEP With GermanGO help of Frankfurt school of finance Aim Help to reduce risk therefore cost and to jointly partner together FI’s and SET’s 38 pilot projects PT. AzetSyrua Lestari with sustainable business No experience with Solar PV project finance or Solar PV technology PLN adopted also that program. 140 millions $  25MW (1 year ending 2012) Now plan installing over 1000 island by 2020 • Rendev(NGO, aims: alleviate poverty through development of microfinance) Synergies between MFI, promote development in solar market. • GOI With Technical, institutional and financial issues development in Indonesia study Plan 2025 95% rural villages will be electrified.

  9. RENDEV “Intelligent Energy Europe” 2007 - 09 All for Solar projects http://www.rendev.org/docs/resources/reports/RENDEV_WP5_%20D14_MFIS_Indonesia_ap09.pdf

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