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Summit Summary

Summit Summary. Outline. Introduction. Vision 20: 2020 is to be 20 th largest economy by 2020 At current pace, we will be 27 th largest economy by 2020 and 20 th by 2035 (NESG estimates) An accelerated pace of reforms and growth can shorten the time frame

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Summit Summary

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  1. Summit Summary

  2. Outline

  3. Introduction • Vision 20: 2020 is to be 20th largest economy by 2020 • At current pace, we will be 27th largest economy by 2020 and 20th by 2035 (NESG estimates) • An accelerated pace of reforms and growth can shorten the time frame • Double digit growth rate from 2013 will double the size of the economy in 6 – 7 years • The primary indicator of economic performance is the number of jobs created annually • Four key sectors have been identified for accelerated creation of jobs: Power, Housing, Downstream Oil & Gas and Agriculture • Tracking jobs created becomes a key metric

  4. Framework for job-creating growth Agriculture Downstream Oil & Gas Housing Construction Power Massive Investment in Infrastructure Human Capital Development Reduction in Cost of Government

  5. Power • NES #18 acknowledges FGN’s efforts at implementing the Roadmap for Power Sector Reform • Electricity generation stabilised at about 4,200mw • Effort ongoing to strengthen weak transmission network • Sale of PHCN successor companies • NES#18 further recommends the following: • BPE/FGN concludes negotiations with labour expeditiously • Fast-track development of Gas infrastructure to guarantee supply availability • Complete and sell NIPP generating plants

  6. Housing Construction • Estimated housing deficit of 17.2 million • To close this gap by 2020, the economy requires an average of 2 million housing units per annum • Evident opportunity for massive job creation • This can be achieved through social housing and private development schemes • NESG commits to working with Federal and State Governments in the areas of: • Financing solutions • Land reforms • Human capital requirements

  7. Agriculture • NES #18 applauds the ongoing reforms in the Agricultural sector • However, commercial funding remains an ongoing challenge • Fast-track implementation of the Abuja Commodities Exchange by Q4 2013; • to actualise fair pricing, empower farmers and improve food security

  8. Downstream Oil & Gas • PIB continues to be the major outstanding issue in unlocking the full potential of the industry • Bill already passed through 2nd reading in the House of Representatives • Public hearing scheduled for Q1, 2013 • NESG commits to facilitate stakeholders’ fora to harmonise divergent views before the public hearing • NESG remains supportive of the removal of subsidy on petroleum products; however there should be wider public engagement/education

  9. Framework for job-creating growth Agriculture Downstream Oil & Gas Housing Construction Power Massive Investment in Infrastructure Human Capital Development Reduction in Cost of Government

  10. Infrastructure: Roads • To underpin this job-creating growth, there needs to be massive investment in infrastructure (China Example) • NES#18 recommends Government funding should kick-start this process • E.g in the road sector, re-construct and expand the major existing Trunk A roads in the next 24 months • FGN could issue Infrastructure Bonds to finance road construction

  11. Infrastructure: Aviation • NES#18 applauds the ongoing intervention by the Federal Government in fast-tracking the upgrade of airport infrastructure • Thereafter major airports should be concessioned to private sector operators with international expertise • FAAN should continue to manage other non-commercially viable airports • NCAA Act should be amended to allow the regulator financial and professional autonomy • Poor reputation/trust deficit of Nigerian airlines with lessors • FGN could provide a guarantee scheme to lessors, on behalf of Nigeria airline operators

  12. Infrastructure: Railway • NESG recognizes the on-going refurbishments of the railway lines • Lagos-Kano to be concluded by end 2012 • Ajaokuta/Itakpe- Warri is 80% completed • PH-Maiduguri is 20% completed • Abuja-Kaduna is estimated at 40% • Fast-track process of amending the Railway Act (1955) to open up the sector to private sector participation

  13. Framework for job-creating growth Agriculture Downstream Oil & Gas Housing Construction Power Massive Investment in Infrastructure Human Capital Development Reduction in Cost of Government

  14. Human Capital Development • With a population of 167 million, this represents a huge potential to develop a skilled workforce, which is necessary to support our aspiration for double digit economic growth. • However, the skills gap needs to be addressed • The skills development should then be aligned to the job creating sectors of the economy • The challenge remains how we facilitate the development of an industry-ready workforce

  15. Human Capital Development • Each of the 11 vocational centers in the country should be made to specialize in key areas and have them certified • The NNSML scheme of LNG can be replicated (where skills set are matched against industry need) • A technical and value reorientation approach can be infused into the specialization of each of the vocational centers in order to tackle youth attitudinal problems • NESG commits to a Public Private Partnership framework required in collaboration with the Federal Ministry of Labour and Productivity

  16. Framework for job-creating growth Agriculture Downstream Oil & Gas Housing Construction Power Massive Investment in Infrastructure Human Capital Development Reduction in Cost of Government

  17. Cost of Government • The current cost and size of government is not sustainable at all three tiers and levels • The imbalance between recurrent and capital expenditure is a drag on economic growth and does not create jobs • Capital expenditure should be redefined as long-term development capital as opposed to fixed assets • 50 : 50 target relationship between capital and recurrent is advocated • Fast-track the implementation of the Oronsanye Report • Re-evaluate our current model of governance

  18. Conclusion Power Housing Construction Downstream Oil & Gas Agriculture Massive Investment in Infrastructure Human Capital Development Reduction in Cost of Government Economic Growth that impacts the common man

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