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Air Safety and Terrorism

Air Safety and Terrorism. Thomas Songer Mita Lovalekar. Learning and Performance Objectives. Understand the spectrum of safety risk in airline transportation Identify the data sources available for studying airline crashes

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Air Safety and Terrorism

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  1. Air Safety and Terrorism Thomas Songer Mita Lovalekar

  2. Learning and Performance Objectives • Understand the spectrum of safety risk in airline transportation • Identify the data sources available for studying airline crashes • Identify the potential risk related to terrorism in airline transportation

  3. Carmen Taylor via KHBS/KHOG-TV

  4. Number of Passengers (in millions) U.S. Scheduled Airlines Source:Air Transport Association

  5. Officials Probe Crash of Plane Into Tampa Building Reuters, 6 Jan 2002

  6. Disasters Fatalism vs. Preparedness

  7. Risk Perception Our response to a real or imagined hazard is a function of our perception of that hazard. In many situations, hazards are ignored or disregarded. In other situations, they are magnified. Some of the factors which govern risk perception include: familiarity, degree of dread, memorability

  8. Applications of Epidemiology (A) Understanding the causes of a disaster (B) Understanding ways of controlling a disaster situation

  9. Data Sources • GlobalAviation Safety Network • U.S. Fed. Aviation Administration Air Transport Association National Transportation Safety Board

  10. 2001 Statistics • 34 fatal airliner accidents • 80% passenger carrying • 15% cargo carrying • 1118 fatalities among airplane occupants Aviation Safety Network

  11. 2001 Flights Accidents 9 29 42 3 17 Europe Africa Asia/Australia N. America S.C. America Aviation Safety Network

  12. Worldwide Airline Accidents 1945-2001 Aviation Safety Network

  13. United States Scheduled Airlines Source:Air Transport Association

  14. 1996 U.S. Aviation Statistics Number of Accidents per Accidents 100,000 flight hrs All Fatal All Fatal 49 4 0.32 0.026 Major Carriers Commuters 98 21 3.16 0.677 General 1854 350 7.51 1.420 Aviation NTSB

  15. Death Rates of Vehicle Occupants Deaths per 100 million Vehicle person miles of travel Motorcycle 45 Gen. Aviation 8 Automobile 1.23 Bus 0.06 Passenger Train 0.03 Com. Plane 0.03 Source: National Safety Council

  16. Causes of Death in Air Force, 1994 Number Percent Motor Vehicle Accidents 71 31.3% Suicide 67 29.5% Medical Conditions 40 17.6% Aviation Accidents 22 9.7% Homicides 9 4.0% Other 18 7.9 % Total 227

  17. Terrorism and Flying • 1012 hijackings or attempted hijackings • 20 accidents and 1060 fatalities • 42 accidents involving a bomb or sabotage • 2101 fatalities • 76 accidents where plane was shot down • 2003 fatalities Aviation Safety Network

  18. Hijackings by Year 1947-2001 Aviation Safety Network

  19. Health and Airline Travel

  20. Potential Health Risks • From Acute Exposures • Deep Vein Thrombosis • Infection • Injury • Adverse events in the medically vulnerable

  21. Potential Health Risks • From Chronic Exposures • cancers/leukemia from • cosmic radiation • cabin air exposures

  22. The Great Hanshin Earthquake Tokyo Subway Sarin Attack Life Lines damaged normal Hospital Facilities damaged normal Phone Lines damaged normal Disaster information for hospitals not enough not enough Information Dispatched from the hospitals not enough not enough Patients concentrated to some hospitals yes yes

  23. Conclusions The information reviewed suggests that: • Air travel is one of the safest forms of transportation and accident risk is lower now than in previous years • there are about 22 hijackings per year; and, on average, 100 deaths from all forms of terrorism worldwide per year.

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