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Tonight’s Agenda

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Tonight’s Agenda

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  1. THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.  Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

  2. Tonight’s Agenda • Club Details • Economic Data/ Market Outlook • Agriculture

  3. HawkTrade Details • $15 annual due • Competition • $15 to play • Starts next Monday • Must attend at minimum 50% meetings to claim prize

  4. Economic Data • Jobless Claims Dropped Steeply • Lowest in two and a half years

  5. Long-term Ag outlook • Growing population • Demand for food worldwide will be strong and steady long-term • Per-capita incomes in emerging markets rising, people are becoming wealthier and eating more meat • Supply constraints

  6. Wed. Feb. 9 2011 | 8:27 AM ET Profiting Off Ag

  7. There is an ETF for everything • (JJA) iPath Agriculture • (DBA) PowerShares Agriculture • (JJG) iPath Grain • (GRU) Elements Grain Other Companies Mentioned: • (DAR) Darling International • (ANDE) The Andersons, Inc.

  8. Recent Natural Desasters for Ag • Major Russian drought in summer 2010 • Biblical floods in Australia in Dec & Jan • Major cyclone early Feb in Australia • Current drought in farming region of China • More to come in 2011…

  9. Fertilizers Fertilizers BioTech Equipment

  10. Phrase of the week:2nd Derivative trade • Another way to trade a certain sector • Examples: • Bullish on commodities, invest in railroads that transport them • Bullish on Ag, invest in banks that farmers will get loans from

  11. Fertilizers stocks (POT) (MOS) (AGU)

  12. Ag Biotech (seeds & herbicides)

  13. Ag Biotech stocks (DD) (MON) (SYT)

  14. Ag Equipment

  15. Ag Equipment Stocks (DE) (CNH) (AGCO)

  16. Wed. Jan. 12 2011 | 4:10 PM ET The Ag Trade

  17. BHP Billiton’s bid for Potash Corp • Canadian Gov’t blocks BHP Billiton’s $40 billion dollar bid for (POT) on Nov 3rd • Would have been the biggest M&A deal in 2010 • Canadian Gov’t most likely wants to protect it’s strategic assets, (POT) is the biggest potash producer in the world • BHP might go for a smaller fertilizer company like Mosaic (MOS) or Agrium (AGU)

  18. Big Bank Takeover Targets

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