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Bandwidth Growth

Bandwidth Growth. Richard Auld. Internet bandwidth growth. 53% CAGR. 1Gbps Ratified. 10Gbps Ratified. 40/100Gbps Ratified. Continued growth driven by technology. Recent history suggests…. Standards ratification lead actual port sales by 2~3 years.

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Bandwidth Growth

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  1. Bandwidth Growth Richard Auld

  2. Internet bandwidth growth 53% CAGR

  3. 1Gbps Ratified 10GbpsRatified 40/100GbpsRatified Continued growth driven by technology • Recent history suggests…. • Standards ratification lead actual port sales by 2~3 years. • The introduction of 40Gb and 100Gb connections to servers will continue to drive bandwidth requirements upwards. 1998 10Gb today is…. 84Gb 2016 is…. 300Gb 2019 (53% AGR)

  4. Poor forecasting – some short-sighted quotesWith thanks to Peter Cochrane’s blog http://www.silicon.com/search/peter-cochrane/n-28e/ • Optical fibre will never displace copper and microwave radio. • Mobile communication will never be a big revenue earner. • No adult is going to sit there sending stupid little text messages. • We have no interest in VoIP and it will never be important. • Wi-fi will never have an impact on the telecoms industry. • Why would anyone want 10Mbps to their home? • The internet will always be asymmetric. • The iPhone will never sell - it doesn't have any hard keys. • And finally a thought about price………………… • When reporters asked Shepard [Nasa Freedom 7 astronaut Alan Shepard, 1961] what he thought about as he sat atop the Redstone rocket, waiting for lift-off, he replied, 'The fact that every part of this ship was built by the low bidder'. Gene Kranz, Failure Is Not an Option

  5. Lowering TCO: Commercial approach 5 year TCO 1 7 5 10 2 4 0 3 6 8 9 No. 10Gbs Better value: Relative comparison of costs as network scales Typical savings of 30% can be achieved over a 3 year period Market 5 Yr PAYG 5 Yr Fibre Better cost visibility: Network costs can be determined for the future at a flat and predictable cost Flexible payment terms: Structured payment terms to suit your requirements

  6. For December 2010:National network availability: 100%London network availability: 99.999996% For the whole of 2010: National network availability: 99.9999015% London network availability: 99.9999808% Managed Service network availability: 100% Private Network availability: 100% 6

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