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‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia ’

‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia ’. B. Verkerk, M. Junginger and A. Faaij (Universiteit Utrecht) E. Ackom and P. McFarlane (UBC). Outline . Objective and Scope Methodology Theoretical approach Results Conclusions. Objective and Scope. Aim:

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‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia ’

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  1. ‘Trade opportunities for woody biomass end-products from British Columbia’ B. Verkerk, M. Junginger and A. Faaij (Universiteit Utrecht) E. Ackom and P. McFarlane (UBC)

  2. Outline • Objective and Scope • Methodology • Theoretical approach • Results • Conclusions

  3. Objective and Scope Aim: To assess the biomass market potential for BC under varying scenarios from the present until 2020. Scope: • Biomass products: • Pellets & Ethanol • Different feedstock: • Sawmill residues, Roadside residues & MPB infested trees • Markets: • BC, US & EU

  4. Methodology • Region definition • Feedstock inventory • Selection of supply chains • Specification of cost-supply curves • Specification of demand • Determination of potential

  5. Theoretical approachSupply chains for woody biomass Forest Stages Feedstock Felling of tree Gathering feedstock MPB killed trees Skidding to roadside Comminuting at roadside Roadside residues Transportation Sawmill residues Hauling by truck Storage Storage Pellet production Ethanol production Production end-product Hauling by truck Hauling by train Transportation = decision step Terminal

  6. Theoretical approachScenarios Name Description Feedstock scenarios (to plant gate) Sc. 1: Availability-Max Sc. 2: Pro-active Sc. 3: Reduced cheap feedstock Sc. 4: Limited sources Feedstock fully available Governmental support Strong competition for feedstock Feedstock sources constrained by government End-product scenarios (to international terminal) Sc. 1: Pellet-Max Sc. 2: Pellet-Min Sc. 3: Ethanol-Max Sc. 4: Ethanol-Min Max: Favorable conditions in production and demanding markets Min: No significant improvements

  7. Theoretical approachScenarios

  8. Theoretical approachScenarios n.b. accounted for inflation rate

  9. Results Odt = oven dry tonne = 1000kg @ 0% MC

  10. Results

  11. Results Currently 13.5 PJ produced in 2007

  12. Results

  13. Results 400 MW

  14. Results 400 MW

  15. Results

  16. Conclusions • There is significant market potential for biomass end-products trade from BC. • Market potential: 13.5 PJ produced in 2007

  17. Questions?

  18. Results Pellet costs Vancouver FOB: Ethanol costs Vancouver FOB :

  19. Results Feedstock availability: Feedstock costs:

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