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Statistics South Africa Work Programme: 2012/13

Statistics South Africa Work Programme: 2012/13. Content. Introduction Strategic Plan: 2010 - 2014 Work programme: 2012/13 Economic statistics subsystem Social statistics subsystem Future expansion: 2013/14 – 2014/15 Conclusion. Introduction.

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Statistics South Africa Work Programme: 2012/13

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  1. Statistics South Africa Work Programme: 2012/13

  2. Content • Introduction • Strategic Plan: 2010 - 2014 • Work programme: 2012/13 • Economic statistics subsystem • Social statistics subsystem • Future expansion: 2013/14 – 2014/15 • Conclusion

  3. Introduction • South Africa suffers triple challenge of unemployment, inequality and poverty • Modern states require systems of evidence to bring about desired change • System of planning – roadmap to achieve long-term goals • System of statistics – provides evidence to: • Inform planning • Monitor progress • Evaluate performance • Platform for a planning, monitoring and evaluation environment is adequately anticipated in the Stats Act • Section 14 introduces statistical coordination within the South African National Statistics System (SANSS)

  4. Strategic Plan: 2010 - 2014 • Overarching strategic goal: Expanding the statistical information base by increasing the supply of official statistics to inform evidence based decisions • Strategic shift • Addressing the statistical information gap • Addressing the quality gap • Addressing the skills gap • Key deliverables of the strategy • Broadening the role and reach of official statistics • Growth through coordination • Enhanced quality • Sustained capacity • Doing more with the same

  5. Strategic Plan: 2010 -2014 • Strategy Implementation Phases

  6. Phase 1: Statistical development in Stats SA • Key breakthroughs: • Conducted Census 2011 • Improved methodologies and surveys • Price statistics (CPI, PPI, IES), life circumstances, service delivery and poverty (LCS, QLFS, VOC) • Expansion and coordination of quality statistics through South African Statistical Quality Assessment Framework (SASQAF) • Improved survey operations • Established corporate data processing (scanning technology, warehouse) • Established statistical infrastructure in the provinces (56 regional collections points) • Improved governance and administration • 5 consecutive unqualified audit opinions

  7. Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Addressing the priorities

  8. Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Stats SA response (partial)

  9. Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Stats SA response (partial)

  10. Funding of key priorities up to 2012/13

  11. Key priorities: 2012/13 Building and expanding the SANSS • Release Census 2011 • Improved price statistics • Release re-engineered PPI • Release re-weighted and rebased CPI • Maintain and consolidate the social statistics surveys • Life circumstances, service delivery and poverty (GHS, IES, DTS, LCS, QLFS, VOC)

  12. Key priorities: 2012/13 Release of Census 2011 Results: End September 2012 • Successfully concluded field operations and data processing started • 14 million questionnaires being processed in a 24/7 operation at 120 000 completed per day • 1200 staff deployed at the processing centre • Processing of an independent post enumeration survey (PES) ongoing • Five percent firewall processing completed • Council has appointed a team of national and international experts to evaluate the census • Massive operation for dissemination of results in print and electronic media to the public

  13. Key priorities: 2012/13 Building and expanding the SANSS • Initiate future expansion • Create an enabling regulatory environment for statistical production and coordination • Build and maintain spatial information frame • Business registration reform • Integrate communication, marketing and stakeholder relations • Integrate survey operations • Participate in statistical development in Africa • Build statistical capacity

  14. The future: 2013/14 – 2014/15

  15. Phase 3: Expansion 2013/14 – 2014/15 • Expand and improve economic statistics • National Accounts • International Standard Industrial Classification • Agriculture statistics • Environmental Economic Accounts • Expand and improve registers and frames • Business registration reform • Spatial information frame • Administrative sources • Coordinate statistical production and build capacity • SAPS • Education • Civil registration and vital statistics • ISIbalo training institute

  16. Phase 3: Risks and constraints • Phase 3: Lack of funding impacts on the implementation of the strategy • Implementation of statistical benchmarks constrained • Quality of macroeconomic and social indicators will deteriorate over time • SNA2008 and ISIC4 international standards affects statistical information on economic growth, price stability, and employment and job creation • If current status continues – statistics will become inaccurate and irrelevant • Impact: International trade, competitiveness, economic growth, policy development • Implementation of statistical coordination (Section 14 of Stats Act) hampered • State planning, monitoring and decision-making will continue to be based on poor statistical information • More than 400 external data sources – potential official statistics • Statistical support and advice to organs of state on administrative records • Designate statistics as official to certify quality is required • Building statistical capacity in the SANSS limited

  17. Phase 3: Risks and constraints (2) • Phase 3: Lack of funding impacts on the implementation of the strategy • Reverse gains achieved in establishing statistical infrastructure • Statistical infrastructure (national footprint) cannot be sustained • Provincial, district and satellite offices cannot be sustained • Master sample cannot be maintained • Decentralisation initiatives to be discontinued • IEC/LCS cycle and methodology cannot be sustained • Impact: Household survey programme and CPI basket

  18. Phase 3: Risks and constraints (2) Funding Request

  19. Delivery of the strategy • Stats SA has built the engine to deliver on the strategy ito • Broadening the role and reach of official statistics • Growth through coordination • Enhanced quality • Sustained capacity • Stats SA has demonstrated delivery • Delivered Census 2011 • Consistent delivery of quality statistical products • Stats SA has improved its governance and administration – evident through improving opinion of Auditor General – 5 unqualified opinions • Stats SA is recognised as a lead agency on the continent and globally in statistical development

  20. Conclusion • Stats SA has consistently delivered on its mandate over the past five years • However inadequate funding – threatens growth and expansion to implement the strategy • Non-delivery on statistical information, quality and skills gap • The engine will have to be dismantled • Move back towards pre-2005

  21. THANK YOU

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