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This summary captures insights from Harry S. Dent Jr.'s December 2011 conference call, highlighting crucial economic indicators such as the ECRI Weekly Leading Index, Daily Growth Index, and the Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Dent discusses macro trends affecting various assets including stocks, gold, commodities, and real estate. The analysis covers significant patterns, including Elliott Wave and Head-and-Shoulders patterns across global markets. These indicators provide valuable foresight into economic conditions and likely growth trajectories for the near future.
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December 2011 Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2009) (1993)
Key Economic Indicator #1ECRI Weekly Leading Index Dec 09 Dec 07 Nov 08 Aug 11 The WLI forecasts economic growth approximately 7 months into the future. Jun 09 Source: Economic Cycle Research Institute
Key Economic Indicator #2 Daily Growth Index Source: Consumer Metrics
Key Economic Indicator #4Case-Shiller 20-City Home Price Index Seasonally Adjusted In Thousands Source: Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller US 20-City Home Price Index
Macro Global Trends 2010 – 2011 Everything: Stocks, Gold, Commodities, Other Currencies, Real Estate U.S. Dollar Source: HS Dent
Macro Global Trends 2011 – 2012 Everything: Stocks, Gold, Commodities, Other Currencies, Real Estate U.S. Dollar Source: HS Dent
Canadian Real EstateNovember 1989 - August 2010 5 3 4 1 2 Source: Canadian Real Estate Association
The Three BubblesDow Head-and-Shoulders Pattern H S S Source: Yahoo Finance
ASX Head and Shoulders Pattern H S S Source: Bloomberg
FTSE Head-and-Shoulders Pattern S H S Source: Bloomberg
TSX Head-and-Shoulders Pattern H S S Source: Bloomberg
Shanghai CompositeElliott Wave Pattern 5 B 3 A 4 C Source: Bloomberg
SENSEX Elliott Wave Pattern 5 3 1 4 A 2 Source: Bloomberg
10-Year Treasury Bond Yield1989-2023 4.5% Source: Yahoo Finance
Investors Intelligence Source: Market Harmonics
The Dumb Money Source: Hays Advisory.com
S&P 500 Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
T Bond Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
Dollar Index Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
Gold Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com
Crude Light Sentiment Source: Trade-Futures.com