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Load Forecast and Base Case Development

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  1. Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  2. Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  3. Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  4. Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  5. Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  6. Load Forecast and Base Case Development • Substation Transformer Loading (STL) Program • Data repository • Monthly actual peaks/energy • Load projections • Growth rates

  7. Populating the database • STL • Non-coincident values • Forecast data • “Fitting” the load • Conforming vs. Non-conforming • ‘Scrunch’ factor • Load Forecast and Base Case Development

  8. Load level assumptions (e.g., System load) (SUM / WIN) • Historical • 1-in-2 (2014 = 1650 / 1582 MW) • Proposed • 1-in-10 (2014 = 1673 / 1615 MW) • Scenarios: • 1-in-20 (2014 = 1679 / 1624 MW) • 1-in-50 (2014 = 1687 / 1635 MW) • Load Forecast and Base Case Development

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