1 / 22

Seminars for LBA2

Seminars for LBA2. Global Change Research and Development Research Reflections on Synergies and Challenges for LBA Phase 2 Carlos A Nobre CPTEC-INPE.

mayes
Télécharger la présentation

Seminars for LBA2

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Seminars for LBA2

  2. Global Change Research and Development ResearchReflections on Synergies and Challenges for LBA Phase 2Carlos A NobreCPTEC-INPE

  3. LBA and Brazilian Amazonia Deforestation Rates- By the time that LBA started its planning (1993-94), deforestation rates were about 13,000 km2/year- When LBA started its field phase (1998-99), they were about 18,000 km2/year- Nearing the end of LBA Phase 1 (1994), rates have increased to 26,000 km2/year

  4. The Development Challenge- Water, Food and Livelihoods UN Millennium Development Goals (MDG) To halve, by the year 2015, the proportion of the world’s people living in absolute poverty the proportion of people suffering from hunger the proportion of people unable to access or afford safe drinking water To achieve this while simultaneously stabilizing human impact on climate, protecting biological diversity, stop unsustainable exploitation of water resources, combat droughts and desertification, by adoption the principles of sustainable development Uppsala Meeting, GC and Development Oriented Funding Agencies 17-18 May 2005

  5. Should Global Change (GC) research be top priority for developing countries? Does it truly have priority along side applied, needs based research on agriculture, freshwater, health, energy, biotechnology, industrialization, etc…?Does GC research provide relevant knowledge for the time step of prime concern for development research?Do we have evidence form GC research to convey to stakeholder in development research which will/should influence research agenda?Is there a scope for a new science on global change research for development?A new focus for LBA Phase 2?

  6. Urgency is clearGEC causing risks for global development and jeopardizing an already unlikely Millennium Development Goals (MDG) fulfillmentSustainable Development is constrained by global environmental change

  7. The Global Environment Change Scene Social scale dimensions – Environmental Refugees, vulnerability scienceThe role of ecosystem functions in building resilience to mitigate shocks (slow and sudden) – social and ecological resilienceMajor advances in our understanding of the Earth System, scale interactions, dynamics of social-ecological systems (LBA is a role model of IRS)

  8. Differences and Similarities between Global Change Research and Development Research

  9. Differences and Similarities between Global Change Research and Development Research (2)

  10. Consensus Diversity/tension are important for creative knowledge production. Development strategies have to take climate change/ global environmental change into account and GEC research should be informed by development needs. Effective mechanisms to translate GEC knowledge into action are underdeveloped. [a perceived defficiency in LB A]

  11. What we could learn from each other ? GEC research from Development Research: Stakeholder involvement, placed based research, comparison of case studies, translation of knowledge into action. Development Research from GEC research: Environmental teleconnections on a global scale and their regional and local implications. Integrated Regional Studies (e.g. LBA): a natural locus where GEC research and Development Research can meet and explore sinergies

  12. (Ongoing) areas of collaboration Adaptation – mitigation – resilience – vulnerability Climate prediction

  13. Vicious Circle ... 100 0 Adaptado de Nepstad, Folha Amazônica, 2004

  14. LBA 1 Rigorous documentation of change in the region and understanding the causes of change State-of-the-science diagnostic tools and impact studies: increased anguish of scientists and policy makers alike at the unsustainable pathways of land use change LBA2: more of the same?

  15. Virtuous Circle... The Great Challenge 100 Forest area Governance Capacity Jobs/Income 0 What is the role of LBA2 to contribute to the setting of the ‘virtuous circle’?

  16. LBA 2In addition to the traditional scientific agenda of LBA1 (typically Global Change Research), LBA2 must have a focus on developing a robust scientific basis (and also technological basis to a large extent) to support sustainable (ecologically, socially, economicaly) uses of natural resources, with an emphasis on ecosystems goods and services, and on increased resilience of life supporting systems.In LBA1, such studies were not more than 10% of all studiesFor LBA2, they should make a larger proportion of the scientific agendaInstituto do Milênio – LBA2 proposal: increased emphasis on research relevant to regional developementInstituto do Milênio – Uses of Amazon Biodiversity proposal (led by UFPA, INPA, Embrapa, CBA, FUA, etc.): points out to research fully in tune with S&T needs for sustainable development.

  17. Livelihoods & Environment Example of bridging science for policy and development: a conceptual model for LBA2? GEC research (e.g. LBA1) Action research for resilience building (also with a strong focus on technology) Vulnerability Assessment Policy & dialogue processes • The role of ecosystems and ecological resilience for human life support • Understanding vulnerability, building resilience for local life support

  18. Seminars for Defining LBA2

  19. Seminar I Seminar in Brasilia with MCT Coordination among MCT´s Amazonian projects (LBA, GEOMA, PPBIO, PP-G7, etc.) Strategic discussions on mission for LBA Phase 2 (GC research and Development-oriented research?) Small group To take place within the next two-months Definition of organizing group for Seminar II Discussion of results at LBA SSC 18 (November 2005?)

  20. Seminar II International Seminar Goal: To advance the definition of a science agenda for LBA2 Larger group involving current LBA researchers and representatives of new areas to be atracted, and key stakeholders Funding agency representatives (both Science and Development Funding Agencies) Final product: a document laying out the mission, the science (and technology) questions and the implementation strategy for LBA2 for 2006-2010 Date: Jan-Feb 2006 Role of LBA SSC in the organization of Seminar

  21. Potential future areas of collaboration Build fora for intellectual exchange (including information exchange) between GEC research and DR. Identify existing structures for translation of scientific knowledge into action or identify the needs for new structures Take advantage of existing donor platforms in S & T (e.g. IFORD, Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers; Millenium Science Initiative)

  22. Environment LBA1 GEC research

More Related