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FMI’s role in mitigating market risks

FMI’s role in mitigating market risks. Yoshinobu Takeuchi Chairman Japan Securities Depository Center, Inc. 1. Market booms & busts. i) 5 years passed since Lehman shock (2008) ii) Sovereign risks in Europe (2010-) iii) Asian currency crisis (1997-)

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FMI’s role in mitigating market risks

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  1. FMI’s role in mitigating market risks Yoshinobu Takeuchi Chairman Japan Securities Depository Center, Inc.

  2. 1. Market booms & busts i) 5 years passed since Lehman shock (2008) ii) Sovereign risks in Europe (2010-) iii) Asian currency crisis (1997-) iv) Bust of economic bubble (1991-) and bank crisis (1997-) in Japan - Common features - i) risk in one sector -> risk in whole market ii) discrepancy between real economy and financial world <Lehman Shock> 1) financial engineering, twice leveraged, tremendous exposure 2) financial world is globally united 3) banking sector and capital markets are united (bank loan → derivative products) <Agenda> 1) macroeconomic recovery 2) reestablishment of the global scheme to strengthen the macro prudence of the market (G20, FSB)

  3. 2. Agenda for CSD/FMI (1/3) i) CPSS/IOSCO PFMI - risk management of CSD/FMI themselves ii) Contribution to the macro prudence of the market (1) CPSS/IOSCO PFMI a) Structure i) covering all FMIs (CSD, SSS, CCP, TR, PS), both cash & derivatives markets ii) recommendation -> principles addressed to FMIs & authorities iii) 24 principles, assessment, disclosure, recovery plan, resolution b) Attention i) As market infrastructures, we should follow the new standard ii) different risks of each FMI, different development phase of each market - “One size doesn’t fit all,” we should be based on reality c) For Asia i) positive attitude to the new global standard ii) strengthen the structure through consultation with authorities & market players iii) chance to boost up and progress markets as a whole

  4. 2. Agenda for CSD/FMI (2/3) (2) Contribution to the macro prudence of the market a) Favorable position of CSDs in the market (compared to other FMIs) i) The last stage of the transactions; legal status of investors and issuers are determined at CSD, esp. in immobilized/dematerialized form ii) CSDs are becoming data center of all the transactions, through: - centralization of transactions to the monopolized CSDs - matching system as a STP tool iii) Network center of almost all the players in capital markets iv) Golden age of CSDs (solid, the importance is recognized in the market)

  5. 2. Agenda for CSD/FMI(3/3) b) Information can be used for monitoring/surveying the market movements i) Enhance the transparency of the markets - boost confidence for investors - TR is going to be introduced - Information held in CSDs can be useful to monitor the market by regulators ii) DTCC Deriv/SERV matching system was useful after the Lehman Shock to clarify the complicated and unsettled transactions in one month thereafter - They could perceive the credit risk situation of players iii) Some CSDs (incl. Asia) with direct account holding structure can commit the investor protection scheme in emergent situation (ex. intermediaries’ default) iv) CSDs’ wider activities other than core business can offer the better situation for mitigating the influence of issuers’ failure (=corporate actions)

  6. 3. Expectation for ACG (1) Plaza for all the members, welcome new friends, wider and deeper cooperation (2) In accordance with the Asian economies’ development (3) Tie up with other stakeholders in each market (4) Follow up with the movement of capital markets in Asia - ABMI (ABMF, SF1/2, Cross-border Settlement Infrastructure Forum), cross-border collateral usage, ASEAN Trading Link, bilateral/multilateral collaboration, emerging markets, … (5) More commitment to the global organizations and associations - CPSS/IOSCO, WFC, AGC, ISSA, World Bank, IMF, SWIFT,…

  7. Appendix: Japanese experiences(1/2) • Market booms & busts experiences in Japan 1986-1991 “economic bubble” Nikkei225 historic high = 38957.44 (29 Dec ’89) 1991-2012 “lost two decade” 1991 JASDEC started its CSD business • Reform of the securities clearing and settlement system 1999- Committee for Reform of the Securities Clearing and Settlement System - comprehensive legislation for all types of securities (-2009) - dematerialization (-2009) - pre-settlement matching (2001-) - DVP (2001- exchange trades, 2004- customer-side trades) - CCP (2003- JSCC, 2004- JDCC, 2005- JGBCC) -> Reform of clearing and settlement was almost completed when Lehman Shock in 2008

  8. Appendix: Japanese experiences (2/2) • Ongoing efforts for risk mitigation after Lehman Shock (1) shortening of settlement cycle (2012- T+2 for JGB) (2) strengthen and utilize CCP (Oct 2013- Merger of JSCC & JGBCC) (3) DVP for Stock Lending & Borrowing (2014- JASDEC & JDCC) (4) ISO 20022 (2014- JASDEC, 2015- BOJ) (5) mandatory clearing for OTC derivatives (6) trade repository for OTC derivatives, etc. • Toward the future - Operational risks: international standards for STP - Unsettled counterparty risks: shorten settlement cycles, risk management at CCP - Transparent markets: utilize statistic data/information accumulated in CSD - New links with other CSDs

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