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Decision Making for UAQM: Theory Vs Practice. Sameer Akbar Senior Environmental Specialist The World Bank Better Air Quality 2006 13-15 December 2006, Yogyakarta, Indonesia Sub-workshop 3: Urban and National UAQM Strategies in Asia. Ideal World: Approach. AQ Monitoring
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Decision Making for UAQM: Theory Vs Practice Sameer Akbar Senior Environmental Specialist The World Bank Better Air Quality 2006 13-15 December 2006, Yogyakarta, Indonesia Sub-workshop 3: Urban and National UAQM Strategies in Asia
Ideal World: Approach • AQ Monitoring • Analysis (identify critical pollutant) • Identification of sources (of critical pollutant) • Relative contribution of sources / sectors to emissions and /or ambient levels of critical pollutant • Action planning to decide on interventions to reduce the levels of critical pollutant; involve stakeholders • Economic analysis (cost-effectiveness or cost-benefit) to prioritize actions across sectors • Implementation of the prioritized interventions as part of an integrated AQM approach • Cost of 1-5 : anywhere between US$ 2-5 million!!
IDEALWORLD IMPLEMENTATION ACTION PLANNING RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION SOURCE IDENTIFICATION COST ANALYSIS MONITORING TIME
Real World: Constraints • Monitoring: rudimentary • Analysis of data: basic (enough to establish the critical pollutant) • Identification of sources: based on “basic” level of analysis • Relative contribution of sources / sectors: Often guesstimates • Action Planning: opportunistic; limited stakeholder contribution; driven by pressures and political acceptability. • Economic Analysis: minimal • Yet actions are identified and implemented! • Cost-effectiveness and Sustainability are usually questioned.
Real World: Approach • In most developing countries there is nothing like an Ideal World approach to AQM; the approach is usually piecemeal and sector- / source-focused • Action Planning is the focus followed by Implementation • Instead of sound science and economics, the identification of actions / interventions is usually driven by • people (from civil society) • pressures (often through judiciary), and • politics (the will of politicians)
ACTION PLANNING RELATIVE CONTRIBUTION SOURCE IDENTIFICATION ANALYSIS MONITORING REALWORLD IMPLEMENTATION COST TIME
Points for Discussion • Less developed countries (LDCs) do not have the luxury of developing “ideal World” AQM plans. • It is acceptable for AQM plans in LDCs to be opportunistic and possibly sector-focused (rather than integrated). • It is better for LDCs to “learn by doing”, than to delay action for the lack of perfect information. • It is advisable for LDCs to learn from the experience of other countries than spend time and $$$ in developing their own AQM action plans. • LDCs should be assisted with retrofitting “real World” approaches in order to make them effective and sustainable. • LDCs should be assisted with leapfrogging to state-of-the-art interventions for AQM, learning from the experience of developed countries.