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SECTOR Risk Profiles

Jack Stanton Manager Intelligence Safety & Risk Analysis Unit. SECTOR Risk Profiles. The CAA is going to conduct a Sector Risk Profile of the Agricultural Aviation Industry What? How ? Who ? Why ?. Sector risk profiles:. Policy Systems & interventions. DCA. Air Transport. General

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SECTOR Risk Profiles

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  1. Jack Stanton Manager Intelligence Safety & Risk Analysis Unit SECTOR Risk Profiles

  2. The CAA is going to conduct a Sector Risk Profile of the Agricultural Aviation Industry What? How ? Who ? Why ? Sector risk profiles:

  3. Policy Systems & interventions DCA Air Transport General Aviation Infrastructure & Personnel Policy & Systems Intervention Flight OPs Safety Investigation Maintenance Intelligence & Analysis Strategy & Policy Aircraft Certification Regulatory Investigation Safety Promotion

  4. A collection of related aviation products, services, organisations or activities. • Air Transport – Industry Sector • Pilot Training – Operational Sector • Gliding – Aircraft Sector • Agricultural Aviation - Industry Sector SECTOR definition

  5. A list of safety risksfaced by a sector. • Identifies the risks • Ranks the risks. • Identifiesmitigation measures. • Allocates responsibility Sector Risk Profile

  6. What a risk profile looks like

  7. Essentially a comprehensive survey and opinion poll using a variety of methods. • Interviews with industry participants • Questionnaires • Site visits How is the risk profile done?

  8. Carried out by a third party with expertise in risk profiling. • Survey Design • Sample Sizes • Stakeholder Identification • Interviews • Collect Results • CAA manages the scope, engagement of third party and oversight of the process. Who Does the RISK Profile?

  9. What do consider your greatest risks? • What are the consequences? • How likely are they? • What can be done to avoid them? • mitigation strategy • responsibility What’s in in a Sector Risk profile

  10. What can be done? How well will it work? A qualitative or ‘gut-feel’ analysis. This mitigation will: completely, mostly, or hardly fix the problem. Risk MITIGATION

  11. Considering the mitigations, reassess the residual risk Rank the safety risks from highest to lowest. Risk Profile Summary

  12. What How Who Sector Risk Profiles

  13. Why Agricultural Aviation? Sector RISk Profile

  14. Sector Risk Profiles

  15. Agricultural Aviation • Pilot Training Industry • Adventure Aviation candidate Sectors for Risk Profiles

  16. Q: How do sector risk profiles fit into the CAA regulatory model? A: Initial step in the regulatory process • Identify problems • Understand them • Find ways to fix them Application of Sector Risk profiles

  17. SECTOR RISK PROFILE SHARED

  18. Understand the issue Identify regulatory tools Select the best tool e.g. Rule Project e.g. Audit Depth & Frequency Other form of intervention AC-137 Part 137

  19. Not all of the mitigations will be for CAA action • Some problems are best fixed by industry. • Some problems will require co-operation. On mitigations…. CAA AAA BOTH

  20. Accident Rate = Accidents Total Hours Accidents are well reported to CAA Reporting Rates

  21. Only 80% of Agricultural Operators provide quarterly statistics returns. Reporting Rates cont..

  22. To compensate CAA ‘guesstimates’ total agricultural flying hours. CAA may be underestimating total Ag hours. Accident Rate = Accidents Total Hours Reporting hours may improve accident rate (gives the true picture) Reporting rates cont…

  23. Final Slide jack.stanton@caa.govt.nzz

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