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Co-Producing Impact Evaluation

Co-Producing Impact Evaluation. - Why we NEED to make it work. Is the social glue sticking?. 72% volunteered in past year 74% gave to charity in past four weeks 48% want more involvement in local decisions 78% “belong strongly to neighbourhood” (2003 – 70%)

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Co-Producing Impact Evaluation

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  1. Co-Producing Impact Evaluation - Why we NEED to make it work

  2. Is the social glue sticking? • 72% volunteered in past year • 74% gave to charity in past four weeks • 48% want more involvement in local decisions • 78% “belong strongly to neighbourhood” (2003 – 70%) Source: Community Life Survey, Cabinet Office

  3. Cuts – the damage so far • Culture, Media & Sport – 45% • Foreign Office – 55% • Communities and Local Government – 60% (Local government – 35%) Departmental spending 2010/11 – 2015-16 Source: IFS

  4. “At almost any other time in the past 60 years, announcements of spending cuts of this scale would have created a storm. “As would an announcement that 144,000 public sector jobs would go in one year as part of a programme that could see 1 million jobs lost by 2017-18.” - Paul Johnson, director, IFS, June 2013

  5. Cuts – worse to come • Coalition aim: 80% cuts/20% tax rise • So far: 85% cuts/15% tax rise • £25bn deficit 2016-18 • £6bn tax rise to restore 80%/20% Source: IFS

  6. “This can be delivered through spending and savings, both in welfare and in departments, and there is no need for tax rises to contribute to that fiscal consolidation.” - George Osborne, chancellor, 11/7/13

  7. Cuts –worse to come (local gov’t) Total income, English councils: • 15% fall cash terms (27% real terms) 2011-20 • 21% cash terms (32% RT) excl. public health All services except waste and social care: 46% fall cash terms to 2020 Source: LGA, July 2013

  8. Ageing population • UK population 85-plus: 1.3m 2007, 3.3m 2033 • Life expectancy boys 91, girls 94 • At least one in three will live to 100 • Life expectancy rising five hours every day • Net economic contribution of older people: 2010 - £40bn 2030 - £75bn (WRVS)

  9. Care and support needs • Dementia cases to double to 1.4m by 2030 • Three in four people 65-plus will need care • Three or more long-term conditions: 2008 – 1.9m 2018 – 2.9m • Older people already 65% hospital bed days • Adults with learning disability rising 5% a year

  10. Social care • 1.5m workers in 1.7m jobs • £20bn direct contribution to economy • £43bn total contribution (Skills for Care) • 150,000 (estimate) below minimum wage • 20% cut in council spending 2011-14 (ADASS) • £2bn funding gap?

  11. Dilnot “I think it is wonderful that we are spending more than £1bn to help richer people not to be wiped out by their care costs. “However, it is not as great a thing as it would be if, at the same time, we were providing the money to local authorities properly to look after and provide basic services to people who need them – and to provide the money that would enable those providing services to live decently and with pride in the wonderful job that thye have been given to do”. Lord David Lipsey – July 2013

  12. “In simple terms, where does the duty and responsibility of family and the caring of civil society end and the responsibility and duty of ‘government’ on behalf of us all begin?” - David Blunkett, Counsel and Care lecture, 2008

  13. “ I want to explore how we can reawaken communities' natural volunteer spirit to help provide an extra layer of support for older people. “ That means tapping into the energy in communities, bridging the gap between generations and encouraging everyone to help avoid leaving people lonely and isolated.” - Norman Lamb, care and support minister, 2013

  14. Promises, promises …. • 82% like expansion of community partnerships • 26% say they are interested in being involved • 2% actually get involved - Source: IPPR/PwC, 2010

  15. Casserole Club

  16. Viv and Miriam • Viv – single mum in 20s • Miriam – 91 “I am young and she is old and I suppose on the surface it looks like I’m the one doing all the giving. That is not the case at all. I don’t think she will ever understand how much she gives back in return” – Viv Source: Widening Choices for Older People with High Support Needs, Bowers et al, JRF, 2013

  17. DERIC • CIC established 2012 • £1m from Big Society Capital • On ground in Leeds, Sandwell, Belfast • Six projects to save £6m (20%) care costs • Involvement of local employers • “A glimpse of the future” – Norman Lamb

  18. Impact evaluation – some questions • Measures of change – macro/micro • Depth of analysis – which bits worked • Quantifying Viv and Miriam’s relationship • Technical skills set “My concern is that it’s become too complicated for the sector” – Nick Hurd, civil society minister, Nov 2011

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