370 likes | 503 Vues
invent the future YOU want. “It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.” - Seneca. “Courage is doing what you're afraid to do. There can be no courage unless you're scared.” - Eddie Rickenbacker.
E N D
“It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.”- Seneca
“Courage is doing what you're afraid to do. There can be no courage unless you're scared.”- Eddie Rickenbacker
“Only those who dare fail greatly can achieve greatly.”- Robert F. Kennedy
“You will face many defeats in your life, but never let yourself be defeated.”- Maya Angelou
…increasing perspective …soy milk …daisy …datadump …sun
as surely as... 1985:NOT a PC in every home 1990: NOemail for grandma 1995: NOTthe internet 2000: NOpervasive mobile, seacrh 2005: NOsocial media / iphone 2008: NOGoldman/Morgan bankruptcy? 2010+: reason for optimism 22
Know Your Goals Fortune: Never having to balance your checkbook Fame: Never having to carry the AE card Family Business: Never having to say you are sorry Fervor: Passion for a vision Friends Never having to leave home 23
mercenaries vs. missionaries drive, paranoiapassion opportunisticstrategic “the pitch, the deal”“big idea, partnership” sprint, short runmarathon, long run expediencyexcellence aristocracy of founder(s)meritocracy financial statementsvalues statement entitlementcontribution lust for making moneylust to make meaning (and then, money) 24
The Weather Forecast … Rate of change will accelerate… Adaptability, agility are key! Fun, fortunes & failure will be in abundance Innovation & entrepreneurship will thrive 25
to predict the future, invent it! -Alan Kay vk@khoslaventures.com 26
The InnovationRoller Coaster…left field & right field surprises
The nine dots problem 29 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Standard nine dots solution 30 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Standard nine dots solution 31 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Better: use just three lines But…how about just one line? 32 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Origami Solution 33 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Geographer’s Solution 34 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Mechanical Engineer’s Solution 35 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Statistician’s Solution 36 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI
Wide Line Solution 37 Source: Amory Lovins, RMI