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Evolving Botshabelo: Navigating Changing Demographics for Strategic Policy Planning

This presentation explores the evolving demographic and population trends in Botshabelo and their policy implications. It delves into the historical background of the area, current population statistics, housing conditions, industrial sector trends, and challenges such as school closures and declining population. The analysis calls for increased access to services, housing investment, and addressing declining occupancy levels in the industrial area to facilitate sustainable growth. Key questions on future planning strategies are raised to adapt to the changing demographic landscape.

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Evolving Botshabelo: Navigating Changing Demographics for Strategic Policy Planning

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  1. CHANGING DEMOGRAPHIC AND POPULATION TRENDS IN BOTSHABELO: policy implicationsLEJONE NTEMA AND LOCHNER MARAIS10 OCTOBER 2013PRESENTED AT THE STATSSA CONFERENCE ON EVIDENCE-BASED POLICY MAKING CENTRE FOR DEVELOPMENT SUPPORT UNIVERSITY OF THE FREE STATE

  2. BACKGROUND • Botshabelo was created by apartheid policies • As a strategy to ensure displacement of black urbanisation to areas behind “homeland” boundaries • Settlements commonly known as hidden urbanities (functionally urban but located away from the functional urban areas) • Typical example of fragmented planning

  3. Population size in Botshabelo

  4. Average age for Botshabelo population

  5. Male / female ratio

  6. Age distribution of Botshabelo population

  7. Water access to households in botshabelo

  8. Sanitation services per households • 1996

  9. Number of rooms per house

  10. Type of housing units

  11. Internal migration in botshabelo • South to north (various reasons) • Schools closing down – especially the south part of Botshabelo

  12. Industry in Botshabelo • Manufacturing sector is dominant in Botshabelo’s industrial area • Currently contributing 35% to the economic development of the Botshaeblo’s industrial area • In terms of occupancy levels of industrial sites in this area-there was a decline in the past three years • The current occupancy level is 80%

  13. conclusion • Increased access to services • Increased housing investment • Declining population • Declining school population • School closures • The intention of various IDPs to grow the Botshabelo economy and to invest in Botshabelo • Declining occupancy levels in the industrial area • How does one reconcile the above?

  14. Continued.... • Despite improved infrastructure and significant housing investment there is a continued outflow of school going and working age people • What does this mean for future planning?

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