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FDI and Forest Depletion

FDI and Forest Depletion. Ahmet , Duncan, Nazar. How Green Was My Valley…. Pre-Industrial Revolution Industrial Revolution Post-Industrial Revolution. Foreign Direct Investment. Question Independent and dependent variables Hypothesis. Methodology. Non-random selection?

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FDI and Forest Depletion

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  1. FDI and Forest Depletion Ahmet, Duncan, Nazar

  2. How Green Was My Valley… • Pre-Industrial Revolution • Industrial Revolution • Post-Industrial Revolution

  3. Foreign Direct Investment • Question • Independent and dependent variables • Hypothesis

  4. Methodology • Non-random selection? • FDI inflow not random • Cases • Liberia: HH • China: LL • Uganda: HL NFD • Counter-factuals

  5. Dependent Variable • Net Forest Depletion (NFD) from WDI • NFD as %of GDP • NET FOREST DEPLETION = [(UNIT RESOURCE RENTS)× (EXCESS ROUNDWOOD HARVEST)]- NATURAL GROWTH ___________________________________ GDP

  6. NFD in 2005 US $ • NFD in current US $ adjusted to inflation by GDP deflator (base year by country) GDP deflator + year GDP deflator/100 New GDP deflator x NFD in current US $ = NFD in 2005 $

  7. Control Variables • GINI Coefficient/Index • Population growth (annual %) • Urban population growth (annual %) • Agricultural land (% of lad area) • Forest area (% of land area) • DEMOCRACY!!!

  8. Independent Variable • FDI net inflows, as % of GDP • FDI net inflows, BoP current US$

  9. Data • 2271 Observations • From 183 countries • Between 1990-2012 • Lots of missing NFD data • e.g Brazil

  10. Basic Correlation Results

  11. Regression Results

  12. Panel Data Estimators

  13. Multiple Imputation

  14. Hausman Test Results

  15. LM Test Results

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