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This presentation discusses the 2010 Initiative focusing on improving Boston's Catholic schools in South Boston. It analyzes current challenges, future vision, and reasons for the initiative. The declining enrollment, competition, and need for better facilities are highlighted.
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South Boston Catholic Schools Review Presentation to Parents and Teachers January 2, 2008
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010Initiative • South Boston Overview • South BostonCatholic Schools Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
What is the 2010 Initiative? • Archdiocesan-wide effort focused on improving, strengthening & revitalizing Boston’s Catholic Schools • Drawing upon collective experience: • Commitment to Catholic education – Cardinal O’Malley • Strategic Planning Committee – led by Jack Connors • Principals • Pastors • Local stakeholders • Professional education experts • Consultants • Community leaders • Create long-term system that will evolve, grow & develop to meet needs of students & community
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010Initiative • South Boston Overview • South BostonCatholic Schools Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
Why South Boston? • Flat population growth over next 5 years • Fragile number of under 15 year olds projected for future • Strong elementary school competition • We cannot finance growing needs of the schools • Limited parish resources • Growing deferred maintenance • Quality schools require planning & resources to meet today’s needs: • Strong academic programs w/ technology • Competitively paid and trained teachers • Improved facilities • Pre-K programs • Extended Day programs
Why South Boston? • “Doing Nothing is Not an Option” • Plan for the future of our schools vs unexpected closings • Capitalize on the new volunteer leadership that is emerging in the church • Assure all families and students in South Boston a stronger Catholic elementary education system for the future
17 SOUTH BOSTON POPULATION IS PREDOMINANTLY YOUNG ADULTS • School aged population • Population by age, 2000 • Percent, Thousands of people • 100% = • 29.9 • 589.1 • Largest cohort is 20-40 year olds, Median age is 34 • South Boston’s overall population expected to stay relatively flat over the next 5 years ~ 29.9 K people • However, forecasts predict fewer people under 20 years of age in South Boston by 2010 • <20 • 20-40 • 40-60 • 60+ • South Boston • Boston • Median age • 34 • 31 * Population Source:ESRI Boston, Claritas: S. Boston
SOUTH BOSTON’S 0-15 YEAR OLD POPULATION REPRESENTS THE LARGEST POPULATION UNDER 20. • South Boston “under 20” population by corresponding age 2005 • Number of Children and Percentage of total it represents • Appears that after 15, population declines • Under age 15 is somewhat fragile if young families continue to leave South Boston Source Claritas 2005, BRA Research
SOUTH BOSTON OFFERS MULTIPLE SCHOOL CHOICES FOR PARENTS • 12 elementary schools in the South Boston region • 3 Catholic schools • 9 Public/charter schools • PreK/extended day care also offered at sites outside Catholic, charter and public schools • METCO also an option for students (allowing inner city students to attend suburban schools) • Public and charter schools do not charge tuition • Catholic schools charge different tuition rates based on school, students’ financial need and additional fundraising commitment • Overall, Suffolk County Public Schools are experiencing enrollment declines • Charter Schools are gaining popularity among parents and enrollment is increasing Source: S. Boston Catholic School Review, 11/07; team analysis
76.8 • NOT EXHAUSTIVE • 1999 • 2004 OVERALL, FEWER 2ND-6TH GRADERS WERE ENROLLED INTO PUBLIC AND CHARTER SCHOOLS IN SUFFOLK COUNTY • Students’ enrollment by grade in Suffolk County in public and charter schools, 2000-2004 • Thousands • CAGR, 1999-2004 • Percent • First • 0.8 • Second • -1.5 • Third • -1.9 • Fourth • -1.8 • Fifth • -2.1 • Sixth • -1.3 • 0.0 • Seventh • 0.8 • Eighth Source: NCES (CCD); team analysis
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010 Initiative • South Boston Catholic Schools Overview South Boston Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
21 THERE ARE 3 CATHOLIC SCHOOLS IN SOUTH BOSTON • Gate of Heaven: PreK-8, single classes/grade (double Grade 2) • St. Brigid: PreK-6, single classes/grade (double grade K1, K2, 2) • St. Mary: K-8, single classes/grade This review only focus’s on Gate of Heaven and Saint Brigid Source: School data
Schools: Gate of Heaven • and St. Brigid SOUTH BOSTON CATHOLIC SCHOOLS • Key findings • South Boston Catholic schools enrollment has been declining since 2000 (e.g., -42% average) and is expected to lose ~18% of its current student population by 2011 • The enrollment loss is occurring in both schools • Significant drops in enrollment from 2nd through 8th grade in St. Brigid and in 7 & 8th in Gate of Heaven • Losses in grades 3 & 4 due to Murphy School (public) draw and in grade 7 & 8 to Exam and Private Catholic Schools (BC High School and Catholic Memorial) • Tuitions have increased yearly and have not covered the cost per pupil
21 SOUTH BOSTON CATHOLIC SCHOOLS AVERAGE ~200 STUDENTS PER SCHOOL AND ~20 STUDENTS PER CLASS 2007 • Enrollment • Students • Classrooms* • Count • Student per class • Average count • School • Gate of Heaven • St. Brigid • Average: 200 • Average: 21 • Average:20 .5 * Occupied classrooms - represents a classroom and a class with an associated teacher Source: School data
71 SOUTH BOSTON CATHOLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT SKEWS BY GRADE • South Boston Catholic Schools enrollment by grade, 2007 • Number of students, per grade, total grade 62 50 44 40 40 36 30 28 35 18 16 • Gate of Heaven • St. Brigid • PreK • K1 • K2 • Grade 1 • Grade 2 • Grade 3 • Grade 4 • Grade 5 • Grade 6 • Grade 7 • Grade 8 • South Boston Catholic Schools have a small penetration of Pre-K children in South Boston • Enrollment size by grade drops dramatically after 2nd grade and then again in grades 7 and 8, even with only one school offering 7th and 8th grades Source: South Boston Catholic School Review, 11/07. Enrollment model; team analysis
1,560 THE CATHOLIC SCHOOL STUDENT POPULATION IS SHRINKING AND EXPECTED TO DROP ~10-20% BY 2011 • Projection • South Boston Catholic schools enrollment, 2003-2011E • Number of students • The South Boston Catholic school enrollment has declined at ~34% since 2000 • Based on recent trajectories, the Catholic school student population will shrink by ~22% over the next 5 years • Some of the student loss has come from students leaving for exam schools after 6th grade • -34% • 2003 • 2004 • 2005 • 2006 • 2007 • 2011E Note: Based on 2000-2006 growth rates for each school Source: Hill Hollilday model; team analysis
1,109 CATHOLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT DECLINE BEEN STEADY OVER THE PAST 6 YEARS • Gate of Heaven enrollment, 2000-2006 • Number of students • -36% • Gate of Heaven Catholic school student population fell 36% 2000-2006 • St Brigid school enrollment decline has not been as precipitous as Gate of Heaven over thee last 6 years 2001 2002 • 2000 • 2003 • 2004 • 2005 • 2006 • St. Brigid enrollment, 2000-2006 • Number of students • -24% • 2000 • 2001 • 2002 • 2003 • 2004 • 2005 • 2006 Source: School information, ABSCO model; team analysis
BASE CASE ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS ARE NOT VIABLE IN THE LONG-TERM • Enrollment • CAGR • 2007-11 (%) • School • 2006 • 2007 • 2008 • 2009 • 2010 • 2011 • 2006-11 • Gate of Heaven • 246 • 203 • 187 • 171 • 156 • 143 • -103 • -0.09 • St. Brigid • 203 • 196 • 189 • 182 • 175 • 168 • -35 • -.04 Source: School data; team analysis
TUITION AND COST PER STUDENT IN SOUTH BOSTON CATHOLIC SCHOOLS • Cost/student • Dollars • Tuition • Fin. aid • Percent • Fin. Situation • 5,000 • 38 • Gate of Heaven • Positive • 4,000 • Positive • St. Brigid • 11 • 5,000 • 4,700 * School fund raises for tuition; $200.00 GOH and $800.00 for St Brigid Source: South Boston Catholic School Review, 11/07; team analysis
MANY (POTENTIAL) CATHOLIC SCHOOL STUDENTS CANNOT AFFORD THE CURRENT TUITION RATES 24.5% On average need financial aid On average, 24.5% of students cannot afford tuition n average, 24.5% of students cannot afford tuition On 38 Source: South Boston Schools , team analysis 11/07 Average 11 Source: South Boston Schools , team analysis 11/07
2 • Black • White • Asian • Hispanic • Other SOUTH BOSTON CATHOLIC SCHOOLS SERVE A HOMOGENOUS POPULATION, PRIMARILY CATHOLIC STUDENTS • St. Brigid enrollment by ethnicity, 2007 • Gate of Heaven enrollment by ethnicity, 2007 • 11 • 2% • 3 students, 2% • , 1, 1% students • 3 students, 1.5% • 1 students, .5% • 194, 96% students • 192 students, • 98% • 196 Total students • 203 Total students • Primarily a Caucasian student population • 94% Catholic Students • Primarily a Caucasian population • 98.5% Catholic Students Source: South Bostonr Catholic School Review, 11/3/07; team analysis
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010 Initiative • South Boston Overview • South Boston Catholic Schools Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
New Vision - Stronger Schools STRONGER SOUTH BOSTON SCHOOL SYSTEM New Academic Standards Catholic Colleges Partnership Technology Construction & Physical Plant Development
New Vision - New Management Model • Parish-Run Schools • Pastors • Principals • Advisory Boards • Providing a strong Catholic education TODAY • Board of Trustees • Run Schools • Pastors • Principals • Experienced professionals: • Education • Marketing • Fundraising • Strengthening Catholic education TOMORROW
New Vision- Catholic Colleges Partnership Management • Provide assistance through participation in the Board of Trustees Curriculum • Assist in formation of curriculum strategy & academic benchmarks Staff Development • Assist in staff development and training programs
New Vision-New Academic Standards • Curriculum Goals • Strengthen delivery of curriculum & broaden opportunities for instruction • Improve technology & integrate with curriculum • Provide professional development opportunities for our teachers and staff
What Will Stay the Same? • Principal providing instructional leadership • Pastor heavily involved • Parish relationship with school families • Parish continues to promote importance of Catholic education • Financial assistance & family discounts available • Breakfast & lunch programs
What Will Change? • More effective school = higher quality education for your children • Stronger governance model & school management will ensure long term stability of school • Curriculum upgrades, technology & quality study materials will help position your children for future success • More extracurricular activities, specials and extended summer programs • Upgraded school building & facilities for improved learning environment
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010 Initiative • South Boston Overview • South Boston Catholic Schools Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
SOUTH BOSTON GATE OF HEAVEN OVERVIEW • Address: 609 E. 4th Street • Classes: Pre-K-8 • Enrollment: 205 • Capacity: 242 at 20 per grade • Tuition • In Parish: $3,800 + 200 School Fundraising • Cost/student • $5000 • Financial aid • 38%receive aid • Financial Position: • Positive • Student diversity • 96% White • 2% Hispanic • 1.5% Other • Catholic: 94% • Non-Catholic: 6% Source: School data
202 • SOUTH BOSTON GATE OF HEAVEN ENROLLMENT HAS BEEN DECLINING SINCE 2003 • Gate of Heaven enrollment, 2000-2006 • Number of students • Gate of Heaven enrollment stayed relatively flat from 2000-2003 • However, attendance declined 36% from 2000-2006 • Gentrification and suburban migration account for the significant decline • 2000 • 2001 • 2002 • 2003 • 2004 • 2005 • 2006 Source: ABSCO model; team analysis
7 • SOUTH BOSTON UNSTABLE ENROLLMENT • Gate of Heaven enrollment by grade, September 2007 • Number of students • Gate of Heaven is the only school offering grades7-8 • Losses to Charter school in 4 & 5 grade and Exam and Private Catholic in 7 & 8 grade • PreK • K-1 • K-2 • Gr 1 • Gr 2 • Gr 3 • Gr 4 • Gr 5 • Gr 6 • Gr 7 • Gr 8 Source: ABSCO model; team analysis
SOUTH BOSTON ST. BRIGID OVERVIEW • Address: 866 E. Broadway • Classes: Pre K-6 (since 2005) • Enrollment: 196 • Capacity: 220 at 20 per grade • Tuition • In Parish: $3,900 +$900 school fundraising • Cost/student • $5,000 • Financial aid • 11% receive aid • Financial position • Positive • Student diversity • 98% White • 1.5% Hispanic • .5% African-American • Catholic: 98.5% • Non-Catholic: 1.5% Source: School data
202 • SOUTH BOSTON ST. BRIGID ENROLLMENT HAS BEEN DECLINING SINCE 2003 • St. Brigid enrollment, 2000-2006 • Number of students • 0.1% • -5.8% • St. Brigid enrollment stayed relatively flat from 2000-2002 • However, attendance began to decline ~6% annually after 2003 • 2000 • 2001 • 2002 • 2003 • 2004 • 2005 • 2006 Source: ABSCO model; team analysis
7 ST. BRIGID ENROLLMENT 2007 • SOUTH BOSTON • St. Brigid enrollment by grade, September 2007 • Number of students • St. Brigid has a decline in enrollment after 2nd grade • Decline due to gentrification and suburban migration • Loss to Charter schools in grade 4 & 5, to Exam and Private Catholic in grades 7 & 8 • PreK • K-1 • K-2 • Gr 1 • Gr 2 • Gr 3 • Gr 4 • Gr 5 • Gr 6 Source: ABSCO model; team analysis
DISCUSSION TOPICS • 2010 Initiative • South Boston Overview • South Boston Catholic Schools Overview • Vision for South Boston • South Boston Catholic Schools Analysis • Process and Timeline
PROCESS AND TIMELINE March 2008 February 2008 January 2008 • PHASE 3: • Recommendations • Development • Outside Consultants • Pastor/Principals • Teachers/Principals • Catholic Schools Office • Cardinal & Cabinet • PHASE 2: • Data Sharing/Survey/ • Construction • -Pastor • Principals • Teachers • Parents • Legislators • Key Dates: • Early Feb - Pastors/Principals • Mid-Feb • Teachers • Parents • Legislators • PHASE 1: • Input & Assessment • Pastor • Principals • Teachers • Parents • Legislators • Suffolk Construction • DATA SOURCES • City • Catholic Schools Office • Outside Resources • Final Recommendations • 3+ Year Plan • -Short term • -Long Term
PROCESS AND TIMELINE • Issue parent surveys – week of 12/31/07 • Issue principal and teacher surveys week of 1/07/08. • All surveys returned week of 1/14/08 • Suffolk assessment of school properties by 2/1/08 • Survey Analysis Report week of 2/11/08 • Presentation of findings parent, teachers and principals week of 2/25/08