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Ms Azarel Mariner SPREP

WMO Forum on Social and Economic Application and Benefit of Climate, Weather and Water information – An update from the Pacific Region. Ms Azarel Mariner SPREP. Presentation Overview. Introducing SPREP & Pacific Region Update of NMS Pacific Met Desk Partnership (PMDP) & PMC

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Ms Azarel Mariner SPREP

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  1. WMO Forum on Social and Economic Application and Benefit of Climate, Weather and Water information – An update from the Pacific Region Ms Azarel Mariner SPREP

  2. Presentation Overview • Introducing SPREP & Pacific Region • Update of NMS • Pacific Met Desk Partnership (PMDP) & PMC • Pacific Island Met Strategy (PIMS) • Application of CWW information • Water Management (Cook Island) • Health (Solomon Islands) • Renewable Energy (Samoa) • Agriculture (Fiji) • Joint National Action Plans (JNAPs) • Challenges & Way Forward

  3. Introducing Secretariat of the Pacific Regional Environment Programme (SPREP) • Inter-governmental organisation • The Pacific regional agency for the environment • Recognized as the lead agency on biodiversity, climate change, waste management and environmental monitoring and governance in the Pacific Region • 26 member countries • 21 Pacific Island countries & territories • 5 ‘metropolitan’ states (AU, NZ, FR, USA, UK) SPREP is fully accountable to member governments through an annual SPREP Meeting and Ministerial Meeting

  4. SPREP Organizational Structure

  5. How big is the Pacific region?

  6. Formulation of Pacific Met Desk Partnership (PMDP) • 1993: SPREP has been organizing biennial meeting of Pacific Regional Met Services Directors (RMSD) • 1998: RMSD agreed for SPREP to broaden its mandate from climate issues to cover weather as well. • 1999: SPREP spearheaded the development of the Strategic Action Plan for Meteorology in the Pacific Region (2000-2009)

  7. 2000: Completed ‘A Needs Analysis for the strengthening of PIC Met Service’ in response to Strategic AP for Met in the Pac Region gave rise to the Pacific Island Climate Prediction Project (PI-CPP). • 2009: A review of Weather and Climate Services in the Pacific made a number of recommendation relating to NMSs in the Pacific • Including the setup of Regional Desk for Pacific NMS in SPREP • 2011: The formation of the Pacific Met Council (PMC) • PMC has a term of reference and governance arrangement which give it a mandated role to advise SPREP on Reg Met (climate & weather). • 2012:Development of the Pacific islands Met Strategy (2012-2021 • 2013: 2ndPMC Meeting in July, NadiFiji

  8. Pacific Island Meteorological Strategy (PIMS) • Overall Objective • Highlight 14 priority areas that are linked to RA V Strategic Plan 2012-2015 and WMO Plan • Improve weather services for aviation, marine and public • Improve end-to-end Multi-Hazard Early Warning Systems (MHEWS). • Enhanced infrastructure for weather and climate services. • Enhanced development of climate services.

  9. APPLICATION OF CLIMATE, WEATHER AND WATER INFORMATION PREVIOUS PROJECTS IN PICTs

  10. PICPP Application & FindingsCase 1: Water Management in Cook Islands • To generate long-term daily climatic data for Avatiu catchment & using data to calibrate hydrological model to generate long term stream flow records. • Assess the skill in forecasting rainfall and stream flow using ENSO-based climate indicators for Avatiucatchment Source: http://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/caps/index.shtml

  11. Case 2: El Nino Southern Oscillation & Incidence of Malaria in Solomon Island • To determine whether malaria epidemics in SI are related to ENSO rainfall and other hydro-climatic variable • And to determine if such relationship can be used as an early warning system for predicting heightened risk of malaria epidemic and therefore in assisting targeted control strategies

  12. Findings • Study found a strong relationship between malaria incidence and ENSO in the SI • Incidence of Malaria tends to be higher during El Nino events and lower during La Nina events. • On 14 Dec 2009 SI Met Service issued its first outlook statement to warn of higher risk of Malaria during the El Nino of 2009-10 Source: http://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/caps/index.shtml

  13. Case 3: Application of Climate forecasting for improved management of Afulilo Dam – Samoa • Aim is to determined the utility of seasonal climate forecasts for improved management of hydropower generation. Methodology: • Validating a rainfall/run-of and dam water balance model to simulate long-term storage levels and power generation potential under various demands scenarios.

  14. Findings • Results also show 20% increase in the frequency of low storage volume under El Nino as compared to La Nina conditions • Source: http://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/caps/index.shtml

  15. Case 4: Application of Climate Forecasting in Agriculture - Fiji • Conducting workshop on Raising Awareness on Linking Climate Forecasting and Decision Making Practices for the Fiji sugar industry’ took place in Lautoka Fiji mid-March 2005 • One output is Fiji Met Service in collaboration with FSC Research Center & PICCP team to produce special annual climate outlook bulletin for the sugarcane industry. Source: http://www.bom.gov.au/cosppac/comp/caps/index.shtml

  16. Economic Application • The region is integrating climate information into Cost Benefit Analysis in partnership between SPREP and SPC. • Joint National Adaptation Plans (JNAPs) – merging of climate change and disaster risk reduction • This area still underdeveloped.

  17. Challenges • Vulnerability to natural disasters & extreme events(TC, Tsunami, Flooding, Drought etc) • Limited capacity and technical expertise • Resources (natural, human, $ etc) • NMS providing reliable weather, climate and water information • Lack of historical data & poor data management • Contextualizing the information for end users – communities • Limited awareness and appreciation for CWW information

  18. Way Forward • Finnish-Pacific (FINPAC) Project in Partnership with FMI • Period: 2012-2015 • Objective : Development of sustainable and integrated disaster risk management and cc adaptation plans, early warning, weather and climate services for the villages in the PIC • 14 countries -Cooks, FSM, Fiji, Kiribati, Marshall, Nauru, Niue, Palau, PNG, Samoa, Solomon Is, Tonga, Tuvalu and Vanuatu

  19. Way Forward Continue • Strengthen partnership with climate, weather and water information users.Including collaboration with CC and DRR & management sectors (Integrated approach) • Continue to focus on community livelihood • Capturing Traditional Knowledge to engage with target audience – some traditional weather terms are still being used in weather forecasting eg Samoa • Ongoing support from donors and partners to implement climate weather and water related projects in the region. • M&E of PIMS • Strengthening Pacific Met Desk Partnership to implement & coordinate PMC recommendations. • Evaluating benefits of weather, climate and water information is beyond Pacific Island NMSs ability at the moment. However, with broader partnership with regional organizations such as SPREP and SPC, there is potential evaluating benefits of weather, climate and water information in the Pacific Islands' communities

  20. Faafetai azarelm@sprep.org

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