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Chapter 5 Probability

Chapter 5 Probability. 5.2 The Addition Rule; Complements. Let E and F be two events. E and F is the event consisting of simple events that belong to both E and F . E or F is the event consisting of simple events that belong to either E or F or both.

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Chapter 5 Probability

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  1. Chapter 5Probability 5.2 The Addition Rule; Complements

  2. Let E and F be two events. E and F is the event consisting of simple events that belong to both E and F. E or F is the event consisting of simple events that belong to either E or F or both.

  3. EXAMPLE Illustrating the Addition Rule Suppose that a pair of dice are thrown. Let E = “the first die is a two” and let F = “the sum of the dice is less than or equal to 5”. Find P(E or F) directly by counting the number of ways E or F could occur and dividing this result by the number of possible outcomes.

  4. Addition Rule • For any two events E and F, • P(E or F) = P(E) + P(F) – P(E and F)

  5. EXAMPLE The Addition Rule Redo the last example using the Addition Rule.

  6. Venn diagrams represent events as circles enclosed in a rectangle. The rectangle represents the sample space and each circle represents an event.

  7. If events E and F have no simple events in common or cannot occur simultaneously, they are said to be disjoint or mutually exclusive.

  8. Addition Rule for Mutually Exclusive Events • If E and F are mutually exclusive events, then • P(E or F) = P(E) + P(F) • In general, if E, F, G, … are mutually exclusive events, then • P(E or F or G or …) = P(E) + P(F) + P(G) + …

  9. Events E, F and G are Mutually Exclusive Events E and F are Mutually Exclusive

  10. EXAMPLE Using the Addition Rule The following data represent the language spoken at home by age for residents of San Francisco County, CA between the ages of 5 and 64 years. Source: United States Census Bureau, 2000 Supplementary Survey

  11. (a) What is the probability a randomly selected resident of San Francisco County between 5 and 64 years speaks English only at home? (b) What is the probability a randomly selected resident of San Francisco between 5 and 64 years is 5 - 17 years old? (c ) What is the probability a randomly selected resident of San Francisco between 5 and 64 years is 5 - 17 years old or speaks English only at home?

  12. EXAMPLE Illustrating the Complement Rule According to the American Veterinary Medical Association, 31.6% of American households own a dog. What is the probability that a randomly selected household does not own a dog?

  13. EXAMPLE Illustrating the Complement Rule The data on the following page represent the travel time to work for residents of Hartford County, CT. (a) What is the probability a randomly selected resident has a travel time of 90 or more minutes? (b) What is the probability a randomly selected resident has a travel time less than 90 minutes?

  14. Source: United States Census Bureau, 2000 Supplementary Survey

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