Concept note for Social Investment Program Project (SIPP), Bangladesh

1. Team Members : Md. Abdul Momen Md. Golam Faruque Md. Lutfor Rahman MIM Zulfiqar Dr. Erwin Bulte Dr. Elliot Mghenyi Concept note for Social Investment Program Project (SIPP), Bangladesh

2. Objective of SIPP To improve the livelihoods, quality of life and resilience to climate variability, natural hazards and other shocks of the rural poor, especially the left-out poor and vulnerable households.

3. Project description Project duration : 5-Years (June 2015) Project villages to be covered : 1500; Target group : Poor and Hardcore Poor (Identified through PIP) and Unemployed Youth (from HCP and Poor) Target beneficiaries : 200,000 HHs Total project cost SIPP-2: US$ 115 million

4. Project description- Contd. • Component A: Community and Livelihood Development at village level • Institutional development (e.g. Capacity building, Institutional set-up, grant to vulnerable, loan to youth for skill dev. ) • Livelihoods (community finance) ( e.g. grant to the VO but loan to the targeted community) • Community infrastructure and social services ( e.g. Construction /rehabilitation of community assets) • Component B: Institutional Development and Livelihoods Promotion at the Inter-village • Market linkages and aggregate institutions • Inter-village community infrastructure

5. Research questions Focus now is on component-A (Community and Livelihood Development at village level) • Question 1 : What is the impact CDD process on social empowerment, governance, inclusion, social capital and cohesiveness? • Question 2 : What is the impact of livelihood development fund on economic wellbeing ?

6. Indicators Research Question 1 • Attitudes, preferences etc • Proxies of social relations / social conflict • Disputes/Conflict resolution of the villages • Advance labor selling • Indebtedness • Child marriages • Access to public and private services/resources Research Question 2 • Income ; • Consumption • Assets; • Employment; • No. of meals in a day • Food habit- Meat or fish in a week

7. Randomized sub-treatments Project restricts 70% of VO positions to hardcore poor – subtreatment will relax the restriction Livelihoods development fund to be expanded to non-target households – the rich (using external funds). The idea is to test whether inclusiveness improves project outcomes Others to be decided

8. Identification strategy • Admin structure: District>Upazila (sub-district)>union>village>target households) • District and Upazila (sub-district) will be selected based on published poverty data, Vulnerability index, Accessibility information; • Randomly assign cluster intensity to unions (100% villages treated, 70%, 30%, 0%) • Randomly assign unions to phases (3 phases in total but only 1 and 3 used in the evaluation). Phase 3 is pipeline control • Randomly select treatment villages in unions

9. Sample • Multi-stage clustered random sample • Select district and sub-district (upazila) based on; poverty data, vulnerability index, regional characteristics e.g. Cyclone, flood, seasonal famine etc. • Randomly select clusters (unions) • Randomly assign unions into phases (3) – only 1 and 2 used for evaluation • Randomly select treatment and control villages • Randomly sample target and control households

10. Timeline • Baseline : November 2010 • First follow-up : November 2012 • Second follow-up : November 2014

11. Impact evaluation team • Project Team; • World Bank Team; • Research Team – External e.g. DIME & Local; • IE Survey Agency (Consulting Firm/Agency)

12. Estimated budget • Project already allocated US$ 2.00 million for survey data collection, process monitoring and thematic studies ; • Team will raise additional resources for coordination and analysis

13. Thank you