Inmate Education Impact Study: College Courses in Prisons
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Analyzing impact of college courses on recidivism rates among inmates. Logistic regression results reveal significant reduction with college degree. Public defender vs private lawyer outcomes studied as well.
Inmate Education Impact Study: College Courses in Prisons
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Presentation Transcript
Offering college courses to prison inmates Exp(B) b What is the hypothesis? What is the “treatment” (i.e., the independent variable)? What is the dependent variable? What is the effect of “treatment” in percentage terms? [column Exp(B)] Is the effect statistically significant? At what level? Logistic regression
What is the hypothesis? College degree reduces recidivism What is the “treatment” (i.e., the independent variable)? College degree (0=N 1=Y) What is the dependent variable? Recidivism (0=N 1=Y) Exp(B) b What is the effect of “treatment” in percentage terms?Earning a college degree reduced recidivism by 54.2 pct. [100%-45.8%, column Exp(B)] Is the effect statistically significant? At what level?Significant, .05 level (5 chances in 100 that the effect of earning a college degree is due to chance)
What is the hypothesis? What are the main independent and dependent variables? How were they coded? What is the effect of PD=1 (Yes) for each model, in percentage terms?[Column Exp(B)] Is the effect statistically significant for each model? At what level? PD = Public defender Case dismissed Detained – no bail Convicted PD=1 (Yes)
Public defenders produce worse outcomes for their clients than private lawyers • IV=Type of lawyer (Private=0, PD=1)DV=Case outcome (0=Favorable 1=Not) • (A) Defendants with public defenders are about 44 percent less likely to get cases dismissed than those with private lawyers (1.00-.561)(B) Defts. with PD’s are about 158 percent morelikely to be detained pretrial(C) Defts. with PD’s are 77 percent morelikely to be convicted • Yes – all effects significant at .01 level Case dismissed Detained – no bail Convicted PD=1 (yes)