West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission

1. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Profiles and Trends in West Virginia Higher Education: The Public DiscoursePresented to the Advisory Council of FacultyJuly 30, 2007

2. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The 2007-12 Master Plan: Background • The purpose of the Master Plan is to identify state priories for incorporation into the public agenda. The public agenda will be built upon civic, corporate and community partnerships and articulates opportunities to establish a workforce that is able to compete in the knowledge economy. • This effort focuses on addressing the policy challenges facing West Virginia such as: leaks in the pipeline, the exportation of teachers and engineers, blurring institutional missions, increased student debts, and changing job market needs. • The current policy undertaking (synchronized master planning, funding formula/peer renewal, and accountability) will provide the basis for the public agenda creation.

3. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The 2007-12 Master Plan: Zones of Emphasis • Economic growth:How does the system of higher education in West Virginia contribute to the state’s economic vitality? Can we prepare more West Virginians for successful work and create more work opportunities for our citizens? • Access:How can we make post-secondary education accessible for all West Virginians? How can we give students the skills and information they need to succeed in college and other post-secondary education programs? How can we provide a range of educational opportunities for citizens located across the state and at various stages of their adult and working lives?

4. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The 2007-12 Master Plan: Zones of Emphasis • Cost and Affordability:In an era of tight budgets and skyrocketing costs, how can we ensure that higher education is affordable for West Virginians? • Learning and Accountability:How can we ensure that West Virginians are getting a high quality education that will prepare them for successful working lives with the minimum cost? How can our institutions maximize limited resources? • Innovation:How can we devise innovative programs, partnerships, research initiatives, curricula, and pedagogy to best achieve goals related to access, quality, target fields, cost efficiency, and economic development? How can we put entrepreneurship, research, and partnerships at the service of our overarching goals?

5. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The 2007-12 Master Plan: Background Data and Planning Assumptions • Stable Enrollment Growth • Importance of Retention and Persistence • Shifting Sands of Resources and Revenues • Need to Focus on Mission Differentiation • Changing Workforce Demographics • Population and Economic Challenges • Governance Tensions

6. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Headcount Enrollment by Institution

7. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Total Headcount Enrollment Total headcount enrollment: 86,088 Headcount increased 1.6% over fall 2005, 9.9% over fall 2001, and 15.0% over fall 1996.

8. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Total FTE Enrollment Total FTE enrollment: 71,143 FTE enrollment increased 1.9% over fall 2005, 13.1% over fall 2001, and 17.4% over fall 1997.

9. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission First-time Freshman Enrollment Total FTF headcount: 14,456 FTF headcount increased 3.2% over fall 2005, 8.7% over fall 2001, and 10.8% over fall 1997.

10. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Enrollment of Recent High School Graduates • In 2004-05, 17,819 students graduated from a public/private high school in West Virginia • If participation rates were to increase to the average of the best performing SREB states, WV would expect to see an increase of 1,960 first time freshmen entering higher education. • Contextually, this is approximate to the entering in-state freshmen class at West Virginia University (2,093 in F05). SREB Factbook 2007

11. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission High School Graduate Projections: 2000 - 2014 According to SREB, the number of graduates produced by public and private high schools in WV will decrease by 2,836 students from 2000 to 2014. Assuming factors remain constant, this will yield @ 1,500 fewer freshman, which is comparable to the combined in-state freshman classes at Marshall University and Shepherd University. Source: SREB Factbook 2005-06

12. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Cracks in the Pipeline Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2004)

13. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Undergraduate Headcount Age 25 or Older Adult learners comprise @ 45% of the two-year and 17% of the four-year undergraduate enrollment. Enrollment has increased 12.9% over fall 2001, and 13.5% over fall 1996

14. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Undergraduate Headcount Age 25 or Older

15. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission A Focus on Non-Traditional Students • More than 173,000 West Virginians have some college but no degree • More than 127,000 West Virginians have some high school but no degree • A post-secondary institution can be found in 9 of the top 20 counties

16. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The Policy Focus on Affordability • Public versus private nature of higher education … what are the underlying policy principles • Focus on affordability as evidenced through state performance in Measuring Up 2006 and other reports • Tuition/fees, student debt, and the shifting sands of higher education finance • Spellings Commission and federal calls for tuition protection • The emergence of a “perfect storm” and the growing need to link policy mechanisms

17. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Total Tuition and Fees

18. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Median Tuition & Fees Source: SREB Data Exchange 2007

19. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Shifting Sands: The Increasing Dependency on Tuition Revenues Source: SREB Factbook 2007

20. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Shifting Sands: Changes in Higher Education Finance Source: SREB Factbook 2007

21. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Shifting Sands: Changes in Higher Education Finance Source: SREB Factbook 2007

22. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Total Support per FTE (Public Four-Year) Source: SREB Factbook 2007

23. Changes in Average Salaries of Full-Time Faculty at Public Four-Year Institutions • In order to reach the average of peer SREB states, West Virginia would need to invest about $10,750,000 in faculty salaries. Source: SREB Factbook 2005

24. Average Salaries of Full-Time Faculty Public Four-Year Institutions (2005-06) Source: SREB Data Exchange 2006

25. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Cost of Attendance

26. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Funding for Student Aid Source: NASSGAP 2005-06 West Virginia’s total grant aid awarded in 2005-06 was $71 million. The state ranks 23rd nationally in expenditures for post-secondary student financial aid.

27. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Shifting Sands: The Increasing Dependency on Student Loans Source: CollegeBoard 2006

28. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Educational Attainment - SREB States WV ranked 16th in the SREB in 2005 and 50thnationally. • In order to reach the SREB average, we need to create/import 101,000 college graduates.

29. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Shifting Industrial Growth Trends(2002-2012) • Positive job growth (BLS, 2004) • Education and Health Services • Professional & Business Services • Information Technology • Leisure & Hospitality • Transportation & Warehousing • Construction (this is the only “Goods-Producing” industry sector to project growth) • Negative job growth (BLS, 2004) • Manufacturing – Textile Mills; Apparel Manufacturing; Computer & Electronic Product Manufacturing Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Projections on Future Job Growth by Industry and Occupation, 2002-2012, Released February 2004.

30. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Education and Training Needs (2002-2012) • 9 of the 10 fastest growing occupations are in the Health or Information Technology Fields • Associates degree or baccalaureate degree are necessary for 6 of the 10 • Of the 4 remaining, all require a very solid educational background and/or “learning” skill sets West Virginia must examine the relationship between these forecasts and the education and training opportunities that are available to our citizens and ensure that academic programming meets state needs. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Projections on Future Job Growth by Industry and Occupation, 2002-2012, Released February 2004.

31. West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission The 2007-12 Master Plan: Regional Focus • Policymakers need to evaluate their state canvas of educational, economic, and demographic conditions. • West Virginia must use this analysis to frame the development of a broad-based plan centered on improving the quality of life for all citizens. • The Master Plan details that the state system of higher education must focus on: • Diversifying and expanding state’s regional economies • Increasing the competitiveness of the state’s workforce by expanding percent of population with degrees.

32. Hancock Brooke Ohio Marshall Monongalia Wetzel Morgan Marion Preston Tyler Berkeley Mineral Pleasants Harrison Hampshire Jefferson Taylor Doddridge Wood Ritchie Barbour Tucker Grant Lewis Wirt Hardy Gilmer Jackson Upshur Randolph Calhoun Mason Roane Braxton Pendleton Putnam Webster Clay Cabell Kanawha Nicholas Pocahontas Lincoln Wayne Fayette Boone Greenbrier Logan Raleigh Mingo Summers Wyoming Monroe Mercer Mcdowell West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Profile of West Virginia’s Eastern Panhandle Public Use Microdata Area Using Data from the 2005 American Community Survey

33. Eastern Panhandle 10.3% Greenbrier Valley 3.0% U.S. 2.9% North Central 1.1% -1.3% Ohio Valley -1.3% Kanawha Valley -1.4% West Virginia -2.2% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains ` -2.7% Southeast -3.8% Mon Valley -4.5% Metro Valley Tygart Valley -6.6% -7.2% Coal Fields -9.7% Northern Panhandle 25% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Rate of Population Growth 64 and Under (2000 to 2005)

34. Eastern Panhandle West Virginia U.S. 50% 40.7% 39.0% 40% 34.0% 32.2% 31.3% 27.8% 30% 19.5% 19.6% 15.2% 20% 14.3% 12.6% 10.2% 10% 0% Less than High High School Diploma Some College College Degree - School Associate and Higher West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Educational Attainment of 18 to 24 Year Olds

35. Mon Valley 95.9% Metro Valley 89.8% 88.8% Southeast Northern Panhandle 84.8% Greenbrier Valley 83.8% Kanawha Valley 83.6% Eastern Panhandle 81.1% U.S. 80.5% West Virginia 80.5% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 77.8% Coal Fields 77.7% North Central 74.8% Tygart Valley 74.6% Ohio Valley 68.6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with at Least a High School Diploma in 2005

36. Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 48.5% Greenbrier Valley 45.1% Northern Panhandle 44.8% Coal Fields 41.6% Eastern Panhandle 40.7% Southeast 39.7% West Virginia 39.0% Tygart Valley 38.1% 38.1% Ohio Valley Kanawha Valley 35.9% U.S. 34.0% North Central 32.2% Mon Valley 32.0% 26.6% Metro Valley 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 18 to 24 Year Olds with a High School Diploma, but No College in 2005

37. Northern Panhandle 91.9% Mon Valley 91.6% Metro Valley 91.4% North Central 89.3% Kanawha Valley 89.1% Ohio Valley 87.2% U.S. 86.7% West Virginia 86.4% Southeast 86.2% Eastern Panhandle 84.8% Greenbrier Valley 82.0% Coal Fields 81.3% Tygart Valley 81.2% 76.6% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with at Least a High School Diploma in 2005

38. Coal Fields 48.0% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 45.7% Tygart Valley 45.4% Greenbrier Valley 44.3% Northern Panhandle 42.2% West Virginia 41.7% Eastern Panhandle 41.1% Southeast 40.9% Mon Valley 40.7% North Central 40.6% Kanawha Valley 40.0% Ohio Valley 39.2% Metro Valley 35.8% U.S. 28.5% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with a High School Diploma, But No College in 2005

39. Mon Valley 37.5% U.S. 37.4% North Central 30.6% Kanawha Valley 29.1% Northern Panhandle 28.9% Metro Valley 27.9% Ohio Valley 27.6% Eastern Panhandle 26.4% West Virginia 25.8% Southeast 22.2% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 19.0% Greenbrier Valley 18.7% Tygart Valley 17.9% Coal Fields 16.9% 0% 15% 30% 45% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with an Associates Degree or Higher in 2005

40. Mon Valley 33.0% U.S. 29.1% Kanawha Valley 23.0% North Central 21.5% Northern Panhandle 20.6% Metro Valley 19.6% West Virginia 19.1% Eastern Panhandle 18.9% Ohio Valley 18.3% Southeast 15.4% Tygart Valley 14.6% Greenbrier Valley 14.5% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 13.2% Coal Fields 11.8% 0% 15% 30% 45% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher in 2005

41. Mon Valley 18.5% U.S. 10.4% Metro Valley 9.2% Kanawha Valley 8.7% Ohio Valley 7.9% West Virginia 7.7% Eastern Panhandle 7.7% North Central 7.1% Southeast 7.1% Northern Panhandle 7.0% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 5.3% Greenbrier Valley 4.9% Tygart Valley 4.4% Coal Fields 4.1% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of 25 to 64 Year Olds with a Graduate or Professional Degree in 2005

42. Mon Valley 9.3% U.S. 8.8% Kanawha Valley 8.7% North Central 7.6% Northern Panhandle 7.5% Metro Valley 7.4% West Virginia 7.3% Eastern Panhandle 7.1% Ohio Valley 7.0% Southeast 6.9% Tygart Valley 6.8% Greenbrier Valley 6.4% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 6.2% Coal Fields 6.0% 15% 0% 5% 10% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of Unemployment Rate in 2005

43. Coal Fields 46.9% Metro Valley 35.6% Tygart Valley 33.5% Mon Valley 31.7% Hatfield-McCoy Mountains 31.3% 29.7% North Central Ohio Valley 28.3% Southeast 25.5% Kanawha Valley 21.7% 20.5% West Virginia 20.1% Greenbrier Valley Northern Panhandle 17.3% Eastern Panhandle 15.3% U.S. 14.3% 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percent of Population Under 65 At or Below the Poverty Level in 2005

44. U.S. $25,022 Kanawha Valley $22,463 Eastern Panhandle $22,385 Mon Valley $21,782 $21,424 Northern Panhandle Southeast $19,995 Metro Valley $19,945 Ohio Valley $19,826 West Virginia $19,339 North Central $18,915 Tygart Valley $16,458 Greenbrier Valley $16,288 Hatfield-McCoy Mountains $15,949 $14,445 Coal Fields $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Per Capita Personal Income in 2005

45. U.S. $55,832 Eastern Panhandle $52,000 Kanawha Valley $48,000 Mon Valley $47,700 $46,300 Metro Valley Northern Panhandle $46,000 North Central $43,700 West Virginia $42,821 $40,000 Southeast $39,800 Ohio Valley Tygart Valley $37,000 Greenbrier Valley $35,550 Hatfield-McCoy Mountains $34,000 Coal Fields $32,000 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Median Family Income in 2005

46. Eastern Panhandle West Virginia U.S. Managerial Business Financial Operations Computer and Mathematical Architecture and Engineering Life, Physical, and Social Sciences Community and Social Services Legal Education, Training, and Library Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Healthcare Support Protective Services Food Preparation and Serving Building, Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Personal Care and Service Sales and Related Office and Administrative Support Farming, Fishing, Forestry, and Hunting Construction Extraction Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Production Transportation and Material Moving Military 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percentage Employment by Occupation in 2005 Arts, Entertainment, Design, Sports, and Media

47. Eastern Panhandle West Virginia U.S. Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, and Hunting Mining Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance, Insurance, Real Estate, Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, Management, Administrative, Waste Management Services Educational Health Social Services Arts, Entertainment, Recreation, Accommodation, Food Services Other Services Public Administration Military 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Percentage Employment by Industry in 2005

48. $100,000 Eastern Panhandle West Virginia U.S. $76,308 $80,000 $57,142 $53,569 $54,446 $60,000 $43,853 $43,779 $39,364 $36,875 $33,386 $32,316 $31,354 $40,000 $28,108 $27,431 $25,051 $26,728 $24,391 $20,480 $20,096 $20,000 $- Less than High School Some College Associates Bachelors Graduate or High School Professional West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Median Earnings by Degree-Level in 2005

49. Eastern Panhandle West Virginia U.S. $30,000 $26,139 $25,000 $18,803 $20,000 $17,051 $15,000 $12,637 $9,444 $10,000 $8,335 $5,000 $- Difference in Earnings Between an Difference in Earnings Between a Associates Degree and a High School Bachelor's Degree and a High School Diploma Diploma West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Increase in Earnings from a High School Diploma to a College Degree in 2005

50. 22- to 29- Year-Olds 30- to 64- Year-Olds 1396 191 2753 555 1413 179 531 -22 936 -136 510 120 7539 887 -200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 West Virginia Higher Education Policy Commission Net Migration of Residents by Degree-Level – from 1995 to 2000 Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total