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Looking Ahead

Looking Ahead. New CEO Workshop November 15, 2012. Presentation available at scottlay.com. Topics. Looking Back Looking Ahead Discussion. 1910. Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses. 1917.

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Looking Ahead

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  1. Looking Ahead • New CEO Workshop • November 15, 2012 Presentation available at scottlay.com

  2. Topics • Looking Back • Looking Ahead • Discussion

  3. 1910 • Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses

  4. 1917 • Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to: • mechanical and industrial arts • household economy • agriculture • civic education and • commerce.

  5. 1921 • Legislature authorizes creation of local districts • Organized under K-12 laws • locally-elected governing boards • State Department of Education to monitor • Creation of Junior College Fund • Nation’s first state funding

  6. 1960 • formally recognized the three systems • CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed • 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students

  7. 1967 • Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak • Board of Governors created • “Bilateral governance” • 76 colleges, 610,000 students

  8. 1970s - 1980s • 1976 - Education Employment Relations Act • 1978 - Proposition 13 • 1984 - first enrollment fee • 1988 - AB 1725 • 1988 - Proposition 98 The Era of Change

  9. Before 1990 California Community College Trustees California Association of Community Colleges

  10. 1990 Community College League of California Government Relations. Leadership Development. District Services. California Community College Trustees California Association of Community Colleges Chief Executive Officers of the California Community Colleges

  11. The League • Good financial shape • Maintaining 33% reserve • Dues 45% of revenue • Shift from General Fund to student fee revenue creates financial risk. • District services programs hit $14.1 million savings (excluding financial services, retiree health JPA) • $10 in savings for each $1 in dues. • Task Force on the Future of the League

  12. 1990s-2000s • 1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts. • 1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth. • 2001: Stock market collapse • 2008: Real estate, banking collapse • Time of significant change.

  13. CCC 1980 61% white

  14. CCC 2008 68%non-white

  15. Three Years of Change • Significant reduction in “recreational” courses or “lifelong learning.” • Limits on repeatability. • Priority registration (forthcoming).

  16. CCC Enrollment

  17. K-12 Graduates Change

  18. Proposition 30 • “Yes” votes by age: • 18-29: 69% • 25-29: 61% • 30-39: 53% • 40-49: 47% • 50-64: 48% • 65+: 48% Yes: 54.3%, No: 45.7%

  19. Proposition 98 Use if highest: • Test 1: Specific percentage (~40%) of the State General Fund • Test 2: Prior year, increased by K-12 enrollment and change in per capita personal income. • Test 3: Prior year, increased by K-12 enrollment and change in per capita general fund. Or, lower of the two: Most common. When general fund growing more slowly than personal income. “Maintenance factor” generated.

  20. Budget Outlook

  21. Looking Ahead • State’s outlook is strong. • K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009-10. • Students will choose employment over education. • Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets. • PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, “deferred” maintenance • Low demand will give “catch up” time. • Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.

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