1 / 10

TROPICAL CYCLONE CONFERENCE 29 APR 2009 CAPT Bill Schulz US PACIFIC COMMAND

TROPICAL CYCLONE CONFERENCE 29 APR 2009 CAPT Bill Schulz US PACIFIC COMMAND. PACOM Mission and Organization Commander’s Intent:.

ross
Télécharger la présentation

TROPICAL CYCLONE CONFERENCE 29 APR 2009 CAPT Bill Schulz US PACIFIC COMMAND

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. TROPICAL CYCLONE CONFERENCE29 APR 2009CAPT Bill SchulzUS PACIFIC COMMAND UNCLASSIFIED

  2. PACOM Mission and OrganizationCommander’s Intent: • U.S. Pacific Command protects the homeland in concert with other U.S. government agencies, and promotes security and peaceful development in the Asia-Pacific with regional partners by deterring aggression, advancing regional cooperative security, responding to crises; and when directed, fight to win. UNCLASSIFIED

  3. PACOM Cyclone-Impacted Operations PACOM Natural Disasters and HA/DR • On going ops supporting Philippines • Operation ENDURING FREEDOM • Presence • Forward basing of USAF fighters and bombers • WESTPAC ship deployments • Forces in Korea, Okinawa • Reconnaissance • Cloud cover • Sea states • Long lead time to reposition some assets • Transportation • C-17 Air bridge, Maritime Logistics UNCLASSIFIED

  4. PACOM METOC Operations: TC Forecasting as a Theater Security Cooperation tool Theater Security Cooperation • India • India Air Force METOC exchange visit • Consultations with JTWC • Indonesia • NAVOCEANO ship visits • Hydrographic cooperation • Philippines • Surveys • METOC exchanges • Vietnam • METOC visits • Direct emails of JTWC warnings • NAVOCEANO Ship Visit • World Meteorological Organization • JTWC reps at conferences • Pacific Area Regional Campaign (Tropical Cyclone Research Sep 08 UNCLASSIFIED

  5. PACOM METOC Issues • Natural Disasters • Typhoons • Floods due to monsoon rains • Severe winters/food shortages • Earthquakes (One 7.0 or better every three weeks, one 8.0 every year on average) • Volcanoes (100+ active in AOR, ash threatens populations, air routes, sometimes military air transport) • Coordination with FNMOC, JTWC and PTWC on warning dissemination • Coordination with Dept. of State, FEMA, Dept. of Homeland Security on response to disasters • Situation Assessment Group/Operational Planning Teams – CRISIS PLANNING UNCLASSIFIED

  6. TIMEAccurate, long range forecast essential to efficient planning • Event timeline • Disaster happens or impending • Affected nation requests aid via US Embassy (0-2 days) • State Department vettes request (0 -3 days) • If yes: DoS or DoD? (0 – 1 day) • DoD: PACOM? TRANSCOM? (0-1 day) • Get it there yesterday (up to 7 days may have already passed) • COCOM Planning • Assessment, COA development, Orders/RFFs • Do we have confidence to begin positioning? • Deploy forces • Sasebo to Bangladesh by sea: 11 days • C17 Air bridge, Hickam to Philippines: 10 hours UNCLASSIFIED

  7. ACCURACYScoping the Problem • Which country? • Which airfields/ ports will be close but unaffected? • Staging an extra 25 miles out burns significant hours and fuel • Navigable waterways or harbor facilities impacted? • Effects • Rain • How much? Flooding? Mudslides? Areal extent? • Wind • When do crosswinds fall below 25 kts? 15 kts? • Storm surge • Areal extent • Depth These answers govern the amount and type of relief assets needed, or the type of assets that need to evade UNCLASSIFIED

  8. HA/DR and Logistic OpsStrategic Message C-17 HA/DR mission to China, Jan ‘08 • Effective US military tropical cyclone forecasting promotes • Operational efficiency • Safety • Confidence among our partners • Professional impression/warfighting competence UNCLASSIFIED

  9. Proposed Focus Areas • Cyclone structure – Planners still assume the symmetrical storm • Rainfall amounts • Storm surge • PACOM J3 memo to Joint Staff(Feb 09) • Position accuracy Your participation in the working sessions on Friday is critical! Desired outcome: Statement from MGPACOM to CNMOC/AFWA/Research Community calling for new operational forecast targets and parameters UNCLASSIFIED

  10. PACOM METOC • Questions/Action Items? Contact CDR Ron Shaw ronald.r.shaw@pacom.mil (808) 477 9449 UNCLASSIFIED

More Related