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Understanding Vulnerability: increasing adaptive capacity and resilience among the most vulnerable to climate change effects and disasters. by Emma Porio, PhD
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Understanding Vulnerability: increasing adaptive capacity and resilience among the most vulnerable to climate change effects and disasters by Emma Porio, PhD Professor of Sociology and Chairperson, Department of Sociology and Anthropology, Ateneo de Manila University and Research Fellow, Manila Observatory. Discussion, Understanding Vulnerability Session, Adapting to Climate Change and Water Security in Asia, June 18-20, 2013, Kathmandu, Nepal
Studies: 1) Resurreccion: Adapting to Climate Change in Peri-Urban Southeast Asia (SEI (Phil, Thailand, Vietnam)coastal, flood plains, lakeside, delta 2) Dr. K. Ghaus & N. Ahmed: Gender and Social Vulnerability to Climate Change (SPDC (Pakistan) 3) Doch and Diepart: Vulnerabilities of Agricultural Production to Flood Cambodia Learning Institute (watershed,….) 4) Anupriya: Gender, Security and Sanitation (Jagori and WICI, India) 5) Loyzaga & Porio: Coastal Cities at Risk
URBAN SYSTEMS URBAN CLIMATE CHANGE RISK 2. What are the direct and indirect impacts of climate change? 1.How does the city work? URBAN POVERTY REDUCTION CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABLE GROUPS PERI-URBAN SYSTEMS Direct Impact DISASTER RISK REDUCTION RURAL SYSTEMS 3. Who is least able to respond to shocks and stresses? Climate impacts: a compound effect combining direct impacts, indirect impacts and pre-existing vulnerabilities. (Porio, 2013 modified from Jo da Silva, Sam Kernaghan & Andrés Luque, 2012)
Approach: Vulnerability, Adaptation and Resilience • Ecological-Environmental vulnerabilities intersect with • Social-Pol-Eco. Vulnerabilities (meso/macro levels): peri-/urban growth/urbanization, poverty and inequality, governance/institutional interact with • Social-Pol-Eco.Vulnerabilities(household, family-community/commune levels): Age, socio-economic status (income, occupation, education, gender, health)
Vulnerability: Multi-dimensional/layer, cross-scale, socially differentiated, place-based, gendered Approach: multi-level analysis of vulnerability of socio-ecological systems (urban/peri-urban systems/watershed, community/commune, households) Data Sources/Methods/Analysis: Primary and Secondary; Quantitative/Qualitative; Scoping, Socio-eco profiling, infra-services inventory, gender analysis (impacts to services, livelihoods, income sources), multiple group dialogues, FGDs, KIIs, Vulnerability-Capacity Index
Drivers of climate change effects and vulnerability (flood, water shortage) Bio-physical/Spatial/Eco-environmental contexts Social Political-Economic Impacts: Interactions/Intersections of Adaptive Factors/Responses Social Poverty, Gender: crosscutting themes Political-Economic: shifts in distribution of eco resources, income sources and power relations Governance-Institutional (Infra-services deficit) Reconfigure vertical/horizontal Spatial-Social-Institutional Structures and Processes
Vulnerability and Adaptation Studies: 1) Richly textured, multiple layered methodologies and analysis of vulnerability; 2) capture the “mutually-reinforcing dynamics” of climate change effects and ecologically-socially- politically-gender differentiated vulnerabilities 3) Shaped patterns of adaptive options/responses and strategies
Understanding Vulnerability Increasing Adaptive Capacity and Resilience • Calibrating the interconnectedness of drivers or forces: bio-physical and social (poverty/inequality, health, and political-economic variables) • Bio-physical-Spatial-Social dimensions: policy, planning and programming • Science-based/empirically driven: social, political, economic applications to reduce risks to the most vulnerable: peri-/urban poor (e.g.,women, young/old) • Connecting diff levels of decision-making action frames integrated, coherent policies/programs
Maraming salamat po! Salamat kaayo sa inyong tanan!Thank you!
Drivers of climate change and vulnerability Bio-physical/Spatial: Social Political-Economic Impacts: Multiple, Intersecting Layers of Adaptive Factors and Responses Social: Gender, Poor, Political-Economic Governance-Institutional Reconfigure:Spatial-Social-Institutional Structures and Processes
Climate impacts: a compound effect combining direct impacts, indirect impacts and pre-existing vulnerabilities.(Source: Jo da Silva, Sam Kernaghan & Andrés Luque, 2012)
URBAN SYSTEMS URBAN CLIMATE CHANGE RISK 1.How does the city work? 2. What are the direct and indirect impacts of climate change? URBAN POVERTY REDUCTION CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABLE GROUPS Direct Impact DISASTER RISK REDUCTION RURAL SYSTEMS 3. Who is least able to respond to shocks and stresses?