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Blue Apple Trends Your Future in Control

Blue Apple Trends Your Future in Control. A Breakthrough in Trading Technology. Partnership Initiative Objective:. Develop a Reliable Hedging Strategy For NH3, Potash, and UAN. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology. Our Hedging Strategy is made up of Three components.

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Blue Apple Trends Your Future in Control

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  1. Blue Apple TrendsYour Future in Control A Breakthrough in Trading Technology

  2. Partnership Initiative Objective: Develop a Reliable Hedging Strategy For NH3, Potash, and UAN

  3. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Our Hedging Strategy is made up of Three components Timing Model for each market Bollinger Bands for each market Spread Ratio for each market Following is a presentation of a hedging strategy that incorporates each of these components for the markets of NH3, Potash, and UAN

  4. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology NH3 Hedging Strategy NH3 Hedging Strategy (NH3HS)‏ Is Comprised of: NH3 Forecasting Model (NH3FM) and NH3 Hedging Indicators (NH3HI)‏

  5. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology NH3 Hedging Indicators Bollinger Bandsand NH3/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  6. Blue Apple Trends NH3 Correlation with Crude Oil 1995-2009

  7. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Building the Hedging Model: Stage 1 Create the Forecasting Model for NH3

  8. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology NH3 Forecasting Model (NH3FM) The Forecasting model combines Four intermediate-term cycle lengths to Determine Buy and Sell dates

  9. Blue Apple Trends NH3 Forecasting Model

  10. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy: Stage 2 Combine the NH3 Forecasting Model (NH3FM) with Bollinger Bands

  11. Blue Apple Trends NH3 Forecasting Model with Bollinger Bands

  12. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology What do we use to Hedge NH3? The NH3 Hedging Strategy tells us WHEN to hedge. But WHICH markets do we use?A market or some combination of markets that are MOST correlated to NH3:At this time, the market that works the best isCrude Oil

  13. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy: Stage 3 Combine the NH3 Forecasting Model (NH3FM) with Bollinger Bands and NH3/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  14. Blue Apple Trends NH3 Hedging Model Graph 2002-2009

  15. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Best Correlation of NH3 to Other Markets Crude Oil 86%Diesel 82%

  16. Blue Apple Trends Correlation of NH3, UAN, Urea and Potash with Crude Oil

  17. Blue Apple Trends Correlation of Nitrates and Gold

  18. Blue Apple Trends Correlation between Phosphates and US Treasury Bonds

  19. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Potash Hedging Strategy Potash Hedging Strategy (PHS)‏ Combines Potash Forecasting Model (PFM) and Potash Hedging Indicators (PHI)‏

  20. Blue Apple Trends Potash Weekly Prices

  21. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Potash Hedging Indicators Bollinger BandsPotash/Treasury Bonds Spread RatioPotash Futures

  22. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy for Potash Combine the Potash Forecasting Model (PFM) with Bollinger Bands and Potash/Treasury Bonds Spread Ratio

  23. Blue Apple Trends Potash Forecasting Model

  24. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology What do we use to Hedge Potash? The Potash Hedging Strategy tells us WHEN to hedge. But WHICH markets do we use?A market or some combination of markets that are MOST correlated to Potash:At this time, the market that works the best is30-Year Treasury Bonds

  25. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Best Correlation of Potash to Other Markets Crude Oil 65%30-Year Treasury Bonds 70%

  26. Blue Apple Trends Correlations between Potash and 30-Year US Treasury Bonds

  27. Blue Apple Trends Potash Hedging Strategy

  28. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology UAN Hedging Strategy UAN Hedging Strategy (UANHS)‏ Combines UAN Forecasting Model (UANFM) and UAN Hedging Indicators (UANHI)‏

  29. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology UAN Hedging Indicators Bollinger BandsUAN/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  30. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy for UAN Combine the UAN Forecasting Model (UANFM) with Bollinger Bands and UAN/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  31. Blue Apple Trends UAN Forecasting Model

  32. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology What do we use to Hedge UAN? The UAN Hedging Strategy tells us WHEN to hedge. But WHICH markets do we use?A market or some combination of markets that are MOST correlated to UAN:At this time, the market that works the best isCrude Oil

  33. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Best Correlation of UAN to Other Markets Crude Oil 88%Diesel 85%

  34. Blue Apple Trends UAN Forecasting Plus Bollinger Bands

  35. Blue Apple Trends UAN Hedging Strategy Complete

  36. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Urea Hedging Strategy Urea Hedging Strategy (UHS)‏ Combines Urea Forecasting Model (UFM) and Urea Hedging Indicators (UHI)‏

  37. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Urea Hedging Indicators Bollinger BandsUrea/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  38. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy for Urea Combine the Urea Forecasting Model (UFM) with Bollinger Bands and Urea/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  39. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology What do we use to Hedge Urea? The Urea Hedging Strategy tells us WHEN to hedge. But WHICH markets do we use?A market or some combination of markets that are MOST correlated to Urea:At this time, the market that works the best isCrude Oil

  40. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Best Correlation of Urea to Other Markets Crude Oil 91%Diesel 89%

  41. Blue Apple Trends Urea Forecasting Model

  42. Blue Apple Trends Urea Hedging Strategy Complete

  43. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Nitrates Hedging Strategy Nitrates Hedging Strategy (NHS)‏ Combines Nitrates Forecasting Model (NFM) and Nitrates Hedging Indicators (NHI)‏

  44. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Nitrates Hedging Indicators Bollinger BandsNitrates/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  45. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Create the Hedging Strategy for Nitrates Combine the Nitrates Forecasting Model (NFM) with Bollinger Bands and Nitrates/Crude Oil Spread Ratio

  46. Blue Apple Trends Nitrates 3 Forecasting Model

  47. Blue Apple Trends Nitrates Forecasting Model

  48. Blue Apple Trends Ryco Nitrates Forecasting Model with Bollinger Bands

  49. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology What do we use to Hedge Nitrates? The Nitrates Hedging Strategy tells us WHEN to hedge. But WHICH markets do we use?A market or some combination of markets that are MOST correlated to Nitrates:At this time, the market that works the best isCrude Oil

  50. Blue Apple Trends A breakthrough in trading technology Best Correlation of Nitrates to Other Markets Crude Oil 94%Diesel 89%

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