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Turkey : Economic Outlook December 22, 2008

Turkey : Economic Outlook December 22, 2008. YoY GDP Growth Rate. Source: Turkstat, YKB Research. ”Effective Days Adjusted” GDP YoY Growth Rate. Source: Turkstat, YKB Research. Industrial Production Index versus Total Industry in GDP. Source: YKB Research.

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Turkey : Economic Outlook December 22, 2008

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  1. Turkey : Economic Outlook December 22, 2008 1

  2. YoY GDP Growth Rate Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 2

  3. ”Effective Days Adjusted” GDP YoY Growth Rate Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 3

  4. Industrial Production Index versus Total Industry in GDP Source: YKB Research 4

  5. Expenditures – Contributions to Growth Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 5

  6. Private Expenditures - YoY Growth Rates Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 6

  7. Public Expenditures - YoY Growth Rates Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 7

  8. Domestic & External Demand’s Contributions Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 8

  9. Production- YoY Growth Rates Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 9

  10. Production- Sector Contributions % Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 10

  11. Production- Service Sector’s Components’ YoY Growth Rates Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 11

  12. Production- Service Sector’s Component’s Contributions Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 12

  13. Industry/Agriculture Performance-Conditional 2008 GDP Growth Rate Source: YKB Research 13

  14. Medium Term GDP Growth* For details please see Occasional Macro Note:“A Forecasting Exercise on Turkey’s Medium Term GDP Growth”- Nov 17, 2008. 14

  15. Consumer Credit Volume (*) (*)Weekly % change of 4W moving average Source: Central Bank of Turkey, YKB Research 15

  16. Consumer Credit Volume (*) (*)Weekly % change of 8W moving average Source: Central Bank of Turkey, YKB Research 16

  17. Commercial &Consumer Credit Volume (*) (*)Weekly % change of 6W moving average Source: Central Bank of Turkey, YKB Research 17

  18. Industrial Production (*) % (*) Y-on-Y growth Source: Turkstat 18

  19. Industrial Production Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 19

  20. Industrial Production- Days Adjusted Source: Turkstat, YKB Research 20

  21. Current Account vs. Financing 21

  22. Exports vs. Imports 22

  23. Year end Growth Expectations 23

  24. Productivity vs. Investment 24

  25. Agriculture 25

  26. Industry 26

  27. Services 27

  28. Workforce 28

  29. Inflation Expectations Source: CBRT 29

  30. Special CPI (A) Source: Turkstat 30

  31. Special CPI (B) Source: Turkstat 31

  32. Special CPI (C) Source: Turkstat 32

  33. Special CPI (D) Source: Turkstat 33

  34. Special CPI (E) Source: Turkstat 34

  35. Special CPI (F) Source: Turkstat 35

  36. Special CPI (G) Source: Turkstat 36

  37. Special CPI (H) Source: Turkstat 37

  38. SPECIAL CPI (I) Source: Turkstat 38

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