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Ozone and PM Data Analysis for CWS Achievement Determination

Comprehensive analysis of ozone and PM data supporting regional AQI's, CWS achievement assessment, AQ modeling, and future projections for air quality management in Canada. Collaborative research projects and health studies enhancing environmental and public health strategies.

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Ozone and PM Data Analysis for CWS Achievement Determination

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  1. Ozone and PM Data Analysis and CWS Achievement Determination S. Beauchamp, D. Waugh, C. Farrell, R. Tordon MSC-A

  2. H L H L Ozone/PM Data Analysis • O3 and PM data support to regional AQI's • ozone/ PM climatology - e.g. episodes, diurnal, seasonal, annual trends, transport patterns June 9, 2004 18Z

  3. Ozone and PM Data Analysis • O3 and PM data AQ prediction model development, evaluation, application (CHRONOS, AURAMS). • continued support the AQPP forecasting and forecast verification • O3 and PM outreach: CAOL, AIRNOW.

  4. Ozone and PM - CWS Canada Wide Standards: • data re-analyzed within the context of CWS achievement • AQ measurement linkages with KCAC and CI

  5. Altitude (m) Ozone and PM - CWS • assessment of transboundary transport & source regions

  6. Ozone and PM - CWS CWS AQ Modeling: • support to prov. Joint Implementation Planning • collaboration with Quebec region on AQ modeling in Eastern Canada linked with MAGS (CMC). • established new Eastern Canada grid (include offshore).

  7. Ozone and PM - CWS CWS Modeling: • regional exceedance database. • case studies (2001-2003) selected with Que. and Atlantic (fed/prov) CWS WG. • CHRONOS model run for June 2001 base case. AQUA Modis Visible Satellite Image – 1730 UTC; June 9, 2004. Note the ‘hazy’ conditions due to the elevated particulate matter content, extending through the bottom half of the image – from Central New Brunswick and south.

  8. Ozone and PM - CWS CWS Modeling: • AURAMS run for June 2001 base case. • Comparison of CHRONOS and AURAMS O3/PM with measured data. • CHRONOS run with no Canadian emissions (transboundary assessment).

  9. Ozone and PM - CWS CWS Modeling Next Steps: • run CHRONOS on new grid; AURAMS next. • assess provincial contributions (CHRONOS) • model 2010 emission projections to assess CWS jurisdictional achievement. • select future year emission reduction scenarios (w/Moran)

  10. A: Base Case - all emissions B: US Emissions only - Can off A-B diff: Canadian contribution CHRONOS CWS Modeling Case Study June 20 2001 00Z

  11. Ozone and PM - Research 24 hr air shed - Keji Related Research: • enhanced N (Kej) • BAQS • enhanced PM • special studies: • ICARTT-TIMS • RIALTO Planned projects: • regional air sheds • NAESI

  12. Ozone and PM - Research Beef Cattle /km2 - 1996 Planned projects: NAESI • 1) development standards and guidelines for pesticide spray application (Ernst) • 2) role of ammonia in PM formation (Vet) Livestock Manure Production -1996 N Production – Livestock Manure

  13. Ozone and PM - Research Regional Health Studies: • QEII Health Sciences Study - respiratory/cardiac admissions and AQ (incl. pollen/spores). • CIHR Centre for Research Development - rural health strategy

  14. Ozone and PM - Research 10% reduction in ozone and a 20% reduction in PM2.5 by 2010 Scenario #3 – used 2001 Census data, reduction in PM2.5 is reached by 2010, constant ambient concentrations between 2010-2019, and ambient data was updated based on Average of NAPS annual data 1997-1999. Socio-economic: • AQVM - AQ health cost-benefit analysis (BAQS)

  15. Ozone and PM - Research 10% reduction in ozone and a 20% reduction in PM2.5 by 2010 Scenario #3 – used 2001 Census data, reduction in PM2.5 is reached by 2010, constant ambient concentrations between 2010-2019, and ambient data was updated based on Average of NAPS annual data 1997-1999. Socio-economic: • AQVM - AQ health cost-benefit analysis (BAQS)

  16. SMOG R&D Summary Ozone/PM Measurement Network Ozone/PM Climatology Ozone/PM and CWS - exceedences of CWS - transboundary transport - model applications: JIP - marine emissions and regional air quality Special Studies - regional air shed - enhanced N (Keji) - RIALTO - ICARTT/TIMS - NAESI Regional Health Studies Socio-economic (AQVM)

  17. Thank You … Keith Puckett Maris Lusis Bob Vet Dave MacTavish Jeff Brook Richard Leaitch & the ICARTT team Jan Bottenhiem Mario Benjamin Gilles Morneau Nedka Pentcheva Sylvain Menard Richard Moffet L-P Crevier Tom Dann Luc White NSDOE NBDELG Michael Hingston … and many others

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