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This comprehensive analysis by Dr. Zoltan Pogatsa delves into the multifaceted crisis facing global economies, exploring concepts of corporate capitalism, state capture, and unsustainable finances. Highlighting the challenges of falling profit rates, inadequate consumer purchasing power, and mediatised consumerism, the paper also examines the impact of geographical expansion and environmental degradation. It urges a reevaluation of the government-corporation nexus, proposing solutions such as anticyclical fiscal expansion and financial regulation, and draws on case studies including Greece's economic struggles.
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HOW TO SOLVE THE CRISIS? Dr. Zoltan Pogatsa
V or W shaped? L-shaped: • Corporatecapitalism • Corporatepartyfinancing • Statecapture • Unsustainablecorporate, household and statefinances • Crisis
Rate of profit Marx: falling Reality: growing Question: WHO WILL BUY THE PRODUCTS?
Answers • Mediatisedconsumerism • Borrowingfromthefuture (debt) • Riddingthestate of resources (taxcuts, offshore) • Geographicalexpansion (CEE, China, BRICS) • Environmentaldegradation • War
EVER SMALLER STATE Becauseit is „toolarge”
Offshore (Shaxton: Treasure Island) TaxJustice Network Financial Secrecy Index: • US • Luxemburg • Switzerland • CaymanIslands • UK • Rich individualsin offshore: a completeyearly US GDP • Corporations: Vodafone, Google, Enron, Wizzair, CBA….
Geographicalexpansion • CEE, BRIC, etc. • New consumersforcorporations • Cheaplabouroffshoringforcorporations
Responsesso far • Anticyclicalfiscalexpansion • Monetaryeasying (QE1&2, ECB) • Austerity (Stiglitz, Soros, etc.) • No regulation • No sustainability
Whydon’tpoliticiansact? Finance Chris Dodd, Chair of Senate Banking Committereceived $2.9mn fromsecuritiesindustryin 2007-2009, more thanthreetimesanysenatorwhowasnot a presidentialcandidate. („13 Bankers”) Defense Lockheed Martin is thebiggestcampaignsponsor of BuckMcKeon (chair, Congress Military ForcesCommitee) and Daniel Inouye (chair, Senate Military ProcurementCommitte).(Hartung „Prophets of War”) Offshore Lord Ashcroft, Chairman of UK ConservativeParty is a taxcitizen of Belize. Revolvingdoor Robert Rubin (Goldman>Glass-Stegall>Citi), Dick Cheney (Halliburton)
Howtosolvethecrisis? Cutthe nexus betweencorporations and government.
Greece • 3-5% of GDP in Offshore (mainlyCyprus) • Military expenditure: EU countriessold €1bn worth of military toGreecein 2010 • Wouldneed 6-8% growthtoget out of sovereigndebttrap • Willnothappenwith 5th wave of austerity
THANK YOU! pogatsa@gmail.com