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GTOS Forward Looking 2010 – 2015

GTOS Steering Committee 4 th Session. Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009. Riccardo Valentini (GTOS Chair). GTOS Forward Looking 2010 – 2015. PURPOSE. To provide elements for a strategy for GTOS for the 2010-2015 timeframe Vision, mission and logic model

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GTOS Forward Looking 2010 – 2015

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  1. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 Riccardo Valentini (GTOS Chair) GTOS Forward Looking 2010 – 2015

  2. PURPOSE To provide elements for a strategy for GTOS for the 2010-2015 timeframe Vision, mission and logic model Priority thematic areas for GTOS Organizational structure suitable for the next period To built an implementation plan for the next 3 yeras

  3. Observations that changed governments environmental policies

  4. What was unique?Ecosystem services • Regulating • Benefits obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes Provisioning Goods produced or provided by ecosystems Cultural Non-material benefits from ecosystems Photo credits (left to right, top to bottom): Purdue University, WomenAid.org, LSUP, NASA, unknown, CEH Wallingford, unknown, W. Reid, Staffan Widstrand

  5. GTOS strenghts • Upheld responsibilities in terrestrial – climate area, arguably the most difficult among the three domains • Provided leadership and substantially advanced global land cover observation methods and products • Significantly advanced the establishment of global in situ networks (sites, observations, data bases), and the use of the information for reporting • Improved connections of “in situ” and space observation communities

  6. GTOS strenghts Many successes (see biennial and other reports); e.g.: • Panels’ work: • GOFC-GOLD: land cover methods and products, fire methods and products, ECV contributions, advocacy for satellite observations continuity, numerous regional networks • TCOIGCO: CarboAfrica and its outputs, in situ methods documentation,.. • TOPCGCOSUNFCCC: ECV definition and documentation, analyzing and documenting status of+need for improvements in observations,.. • Other: • framework for standardization (UN ISO) • IGOS, GEOIGOL, .. • GTNs: -Glaciers, -Hydrology, -Permafrost; -Lakes, -Rivers, -Mountains

  7. GTOS strenghts • GTOS has a strong authoritative mandate (UNCED) • In all, to date GTOS made key contributions and visible impact on global observations methods, products, and systems; these would not have happened without the GTOS’ systematic approach • GTOS has become a “brand”

  8. GTOS weakness Critical issues and challenges: • Programmatic/ organizational • GTOS position in the international arena and leadership • Lack of a coherent results-based planning framework • Weak engagement of sponsor needs and priorities in the workplan • Better allocation of responsibilities among panels and with GTOS partners • Risks due to dependence on voluntary efforts (within GTOS and with partners) • Resources: limited, non-increasing

  9. GTOS 2010-2015 VISION A world where international policy decisions are based on timely, reliable and comprehensive information about the status of the terrestrial environment, its components, and the natural resources it provides for humans and other species. MISSION Lead and facilitate the design, implementation and continuity operation of long term observation systems that enable the acquisition of consistent, timely and accurate information on ecosystem services and their changes at global, regional and national scales.

  10. GTOS Structure GTOS POSITION Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS is grounded on the scientific community but with an operational mandate • FAO: LADA, GLADA, REDD; • ICSU: DIVERSITAS, IGBP, WCRP, WDS; • UNEP: Environment Watch Strategy, WCMC, DEWA/ Global Environmental Outlook; • UNESCO: PECS, SUMAMAD, GOOS; • WMO: IPCC, GCOS, GFCS • COCOS; ICOS; IMECC; GCP; CARBOAFRICA; CARBOEUROPE; NACP; projects in ESA The Living Planet program, ICOS, NASA GTOS UNFCC CBD UNCCD RAMSAR

  11. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 PRODUCTS Two main products categories : • Development of guidelines and standards for improved terrestrial observation systems. • 2. Synthesis products, position papers, databases, georeferenced analysis of global/regional/national terrestrial ecosystems services and their changes GTOS is -

  12. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 PRODUCTS GTOS is -

  13. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS DOMAINS FOR OBSERVATIONS • Climate • Carbon Cycle • Land degradation and water scarcity • Biodiversity GTOS is -

  14. CLIMATE

  15. CLIMATE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: Climate change is the major environmental challenge to society for the 21st century Terrestrial observations are needed to provide robust and effective adaptation plans WHAT: Continue supporting GCOSUNFCCC on ECVs Expand work on ECVs to include other drivers (i.e soil moisture) A1: Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)

  16. 4.1 Pg y-1 Atmosphere 45% 2.8 Pg y-1 + Land 30% 7.6 Pg C y-1 2.2 Pg y-1 Oceans 25% CARBON CYCLE (2000-2006) 1.5 Pg C y-1 Canadell et al. 2007, PNAS

  17. CARBON CYCLE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: Terrestrial carbon plays an important role in shaping the greenhouse gas balance of the atmosphere both in terms of sources and sinks. Terrestrial carbon observations are becoming key issues of future climate policies WHAT: Continue support to IGCO Develop capacities in regional/national carbon observations – Focus on AFRICA Contribute and advice to REDD A1: Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)

  18. Blue and Green Waters 100% 60% 40%

  19. LAND DEGRADATION AND WATER SCARCITY Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: Desertification, Land Degradation and Drought (DLDD) is a global problem affecting more than 2 billion people in over 100 countries, costing more than 40 billion dollars a year “to monitor the processes of degradation and improvement at global and regional scales without having to wait for generalization from detailed, local information” CST/UNCCD A Global Desertification Observing System (GDOS) proposed in 2009 Water scarcity and conflicts are becoming critical areas of terrestrial observations WHAT: Address monitoring capabilities for water (water catchment integrity, soil moisture) Link with LADA, GDOS and CST/UNCCD Establish a role for GTOS via modified Panel responsibilities A2: Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)

  20. BIODIVERSITY Habitat losses : implication for fauna Habitat Suitability maps under projected climate change SRES A1F1, 2030 & 2050 Alpine ibex National Park Adamello-Brenta

  21. BIODIVERSITY Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: Earth's biological resources vital to economic and social development, but survival of species and ecosystems is under increasing pressure and species extinction continues at an alarming rate COP/CBD expressed the need for integrated regional and sub-global ecosystem assessments and for improvements in the availability and interoperability of biodiversity data Space observations on habitat fragmentation, land cover, species recognition are a unique niche for GTOS WHAT: Establish a role for GTOS via modified Panel responsibilities Work with GEO BON and the SBSTTA/UNCBD Link with DIVERSITAS for the observation component Focus on protected areas and national parks/reference sites A2: Biodiversity Convention (UNCBD)

  22. GTOS - AFRICA CARBOAFRICA 2.5 M€ (2007-2010) ERC GRANT AFRICA GHG 2.5 M€ (2010-2014) CLIMAFRICA EU FP7 3 M€ 2010-2013 Climate change predictions in Sub-Saharan Africa: impacts and adaptations

  23. Proposed new GTOS Structure Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 Sponsors UNCCD UNFCCC CBD Land degradation & water Climate Biodiversity Carbon cycle GOFC-GOLD TCO TOPC GTOS activities, GT-Net, C-GTOS

  24. IN SITU NETWORKS Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 Based on precedent and current practice: both TOPC and GOFC-GOLD have actively pursued the establishment, nurturing, and use of data from thematic in situ networks Recognizing this across GTOS structure will clarify responsibilities and help future evolution of these (and other) networks In practice, it means that: GOFC-GOLD would continue the work previously undertaken on the development of regional networks TCO would oversee/ interact with C- and CCD- relevant networks TOPC would continue taking responsibility for GTN-G, GTN-P, and GTN-H; and for the establishment and operation (directly or through GTN-H) of GTN-R, GTN-L, and other potential water-cycle related networks (e.g., ground water) Why linking GTNs to Panels

  25. WEB SITE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: Is the ‘face of GTOS’ for the world, serving as the main source of information for most people not directly involved in GTOS activities. Its content must therefore be comprehensive, up to date, and presented in user-friendly manner GTOS website could also have a more direct functional role as ‘GTOS-online’ with access to metadata, data, and other terrestrial information WHAT: Redesign and enhance website by adding links to ‘GTOS partners’ where actual data sets and information are accessible and kept up to date (requires identifying such partners and obtaining their consent) Also revise GTOS-GOSIC websites linkages A model for this approach: GOOS website C1: ‘Maintenance’ activities - Website

  26. SECRETARIAT Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: The principal contact point between GTOS, its partners, and other agencies relevant to GTOS activities and plans. Also tracking new issues and developments relevant to GTOS mission, and ensuring coordinated response to these Maintains GTOS website and coordinates its development Supports communication within GTOS, with Sponsors and with external entities, including preparation and publication of reports etc. WHAT: Experience from its companion programs (GCOS, GOOS) clearly shows a full-time Director with adequate support in the Secretariat is required A more intense/ complex Website role (see above) Secretariat must be adequately resourced – this essential (core funding issue); otherwise GTOS progress hampered (or worse) C1: ‘Maintenance’ activities - Secretariat

  27. SECRETARIAT Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WHY: The principal contact point between GTOS, its partners, and other agencies relevant to GTOS activities and plans. Also tracking new issues and developments relevant to GTOS mission, and ensuring coordinated response to these Maintains GTOS website and coordinates its development Supports communication within GTOS, with Sponsors and with external entities, including preparation and publication of reports etc. WHAT: Experience from its siblings programs (GCOS, GOOS) clearly shows a full-time Director with adequate support in the Secretariat is required A more intense/ complex Website role (see above) Secretariat must be adequately resourced – this essential (core funding issue); otherwise GTOS progress hampered (or worse) C1: ‘Maintenance’ activities - Secretariat

  28. COMUNICATION Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 A GTOS-wide, agreed- upon protocol for documenting and reporting on activities and plans; Cross-representation on Panels (e.g., one TOPC member also being a member of GOFC-GOLD, one of TCO); Copying that member and all Panel chairs on ‘significant’ within-panel communications (emails, reports, …). Additional cross- membership, attendance of teleconferences etc. as appropriate or for special reasons (dealing with issues requiring joint work, hot topics, short timeline tasks, coordination of reporting,...) Communication within GTOS (2)

  29. STEERING COMMITTEE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 Propose/Endorse the strategy Oversees the implementation Advices on user needs Maintain regular communication with sponsors Possibly appoint a contact person for each sponsor Revisit the external membership Proposed revised GTOS structure

  30. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 PROPOSED STEPS Discuss the strategy and taking inputs from SC (this meeting) Finalize the strategy (December 31st) Draft the elements for an implementation plan based on panel inputs (January 31st) Finalize implementation plan (February 29th) GTOS Structure

  31. GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 END Thanks

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