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Unhealthy Competency: Human Decision Making Inefficiencies

Explore how human decision-making inefficiencies impact competency in baseball statistics and mathematics. Learn the significance of unhealthy persistence in player evaluation and draft decisions, and how scouts identify talent. Witness the impact of statistics on minor league promotions and defensive positioning at the major league level. Illustrated examples educate and calibrate to improve decision-making skills in the baseball industry.

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Unhealthy Competency: Human Decision Making Inefficiencies

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  1. 1. Unhealthy Competency • All-Star Baseball • Statistics and Mathematics • Human Decision Making Inefficiencies • 2. Unhealthy Persistence • Cover letters, phone calls, brochures, etc • 1.5 days a week for 1.5 years • 3. Good Fortune • Open-minded owner as my proposal came in • 4. Unusual Freedom • Location, compensation How I got this job

  2. 1. As a “tool” for scouts to identify “talent” • 2. Decision Making “driver” • Draft decisions • Minor league promotions, releases • Foreign signings • Minor league free agents • Scout evaluations • Illustrate, educate, calibrate • 3. At the major league level… • Comparatively very little. • Defensive positioning, share our projections How We Use The Numbers

  3. 53 K, 50 H in 56 IP, .227 oppo bavg (did walk 20) .282, .346 obp, 13 sb, CF, 22 game hit streak, full season A .339 Appalachian league batting title. Secondbaseman. .300, .478 slg, 8 hr, All-star 31 K, 9 BB in 30 IP as a closer, 8 saves. 1.8 go/ao ratio 13 hr, Appalachian HR leader. Would have been RBI leader (2/3rds PA)

  4. Sig Mejdal Sr. Quantitative Analyst, St. Louis Cardinals smejdal@stlcardinals.com 408-757-6744

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