1 / 14

Turbulence

Turbulence. Challenges and Potential Solutions. Turbulence Basics. Drivers – Safety, Efficiency/Emissions, Capacity, & Customer Experience Primary users- Meteorologists, Dispatchers, Crews, & Controllers Solution Components Forecast Tactical/Now cast Reporting

tala
Télécharger la présentation

Turbulence

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Turbulence Challenges and Potential Solutions

  2. Turbulence Basics • Drivers – Safety, Efficiency/Emissions, Capacity, & Customer Experience • Primary users- Meteorologists, Dispatchers, Crews, & Controllers • Solution Components • Forecast • Tactical/Now cast • Reporting • Challenges – FAA, Industry, & Resources

  3. Flight Attendant Issuesfrom an Industry Meeting • Insufficient/ incomplete briefing from the flight crew on weather en route e.g. turbulence • Inability to communicate effectively with flight deck about turbulence in the cabin • Obligation to continue with service or compliance duties when the seatbelt sign is illuminated • 300 lb. beverage cart that is a potential hazard • Passengers disregard instructions and move about the cabin

  4. Variables & Resources • Forecast • Model Selection • Subjectivity / Risk Considerations • Dispatcher / Pilots • Tool selection • Subjectivity / Risk Considerations • Workload drivers • Pilots’ Chat Room

  5. History • Wright Brothers PIREPS • Chat Room • Gore Commission (1998) – Safety • NASA • FAA/NCAR • Too Much Conservatism is ultimately ignored – Cry Wolf • Dispatch trial – Product vs. Workload

  6. What we are doing? Replacing the Wright Brothers’ PIREPS Using an objective sensor based turbulence metric called EDR (Eddy Dissipation Rate) – Atmospheric State Using the numeric metric in a sophisticated forecast model (GTG) running on a super computer Providing access to a web site with the reports superimposed on the forecast

  7. Why are we doing it? • Safety • IF EVERYONE IS STRAPPED IN WITH CARTS STOWED, NO ONE GETS HURT. • KEY IS NOT TO CRY WOLF & F/A IGNORE WARNINGS • Efficiency/Emissions • Capacity = Delays • Better customer experience • Overall - The solutions for all 4 drivers might appear to conflict, but BETTER WEATHER KNOWLEDGE CAN DRIVE BETTER SOLUTIONS FOR ALL 4.

  8. Components of Viewer • 3 Dimensional Forecast Model • Robust – Weighted average of other models • Updated hourly • Feedback loop • Objective aircraft reports - Validate model • Sensor based reports • Normalized for all aircraft – Sea state • Live web site using WiFi with user tools

  9. FAA Delta Demo • Tablet using WiFi for Turbulence Viewer • 40+ Line Check Airmen • One year duration • Goals • Change behavior with better information • Measure benefits • Define next steps

  10. Turbulence Viewer

  11. Profile View

  12. Report Generator

  13. Preliminary Results • Very Positive - Want it now • What have you done for me today? • Auto generated flight Path • 3D Visualization • Future Steps • Cabin vs. cockpit access to weather • Turbulence building block • Weather integration/simplification

  14. Future Path • Industry Distractions • Airline daily priority – Mergers, Fuel, Economy • FAA – Research vs. Implementation • Political Will • FAA – NextGenWeather • Airlines – Validate Benefits • Alternatives for Data Location & Products • Airline, Government, Commercial or Mix • Costs burden • More data is key, but airline differences inhibit • Decision Time – Demo could be the trigger

More Related