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PPU December 2009 091215

PPU December 2009 091215. Figure 01. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages.

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PPU December 2009 091215

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  1. PPU December 2009091215

  2. Figure 01. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Note. The uncertainty band does not take into account the fact that there may be a lower bound for the repo rate. The uncertainty band shows the band within which inflation is expected to be with a 50%, 75% and 90% probability. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Source: The Riksbank

  3. Figure 02. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Note. The uncertainty band shows the band within which inflation is expected to be with a 50%, 75% and 90% probability. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  4. Figure 03. CPIF with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Note. The uncertainty band shows the band within which inflation is expected to be with a 50%, 75% and 90% probability. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  5. Figure 04. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Note.The uncertainty band shows the band within which GDP growth is expected to be with a 50%, 75% and 90% probability. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  6. Figure 05. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  7. Figure 06. UnemployedPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Note. Pre-1993 data has been spliced by the Riksbank. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 years. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  8. Figure 07. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Note. Pre-1993 data has been spliced by the Riksbank. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 year. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  9. Figure 08. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energyAnnual percentage change Note. CPIF is CPI with a fixed mortgage interest rate. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  10. Figure 09. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Note. The real repo rate is calculated as an average of the Riksbank’s repo rate forecasts for the coming year minus the inflation forecast (CPIF) for the corresponding period. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Source: The Riksbank

  11. Figure 10. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Outcome data are daily rates and forecasts are quarterly averages. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  12. Figure 11. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel Note. Futures are calculated as a 15-day average. Outcomes represent monthly averages of spot prices. Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  13. Figure 12. Development of GDP in different regions and countriesQuarterly changes in per cent calculated in annualised terms, seasonally adjusted data Note. TCW entails weighted GDP for Sweden's main trading partner. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  14. Figure 13. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Note. These gaps should not necessarily be interpreted as the Riksbank's overall assesment of resource utilisation. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  15. Table A1. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly average values Source: The Riksbank

  16. Table A2. Inflation, annual averageAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  17. Table A3. Inflation12-month average annual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  18. Table A4. Summary of financial forecastsAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  19. Table A5. International conditionsAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified Sources: Eurostat, IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank

  20. Table A6. GDP by expenditureAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified *Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  21. Table A7. Production and employmentAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified * Per cent of labour force Sources: Employment Service, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  22. Table A8. Wages and unit labour cost for the economy as a whole Annual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

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