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Context ? Fertility Decline. Dramatic changes in fertility patterns in most advanced Western nations in recent decades, although important differences both between and within countries. At the beginning of the 21st century, below-replacement fertility is the norm in the developed world.Delayed chil
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1. Delayed Childbearing and Childlessness in Britain: the 1958 and 1970 Cohorts Compared Roona Simpson
Centre for Research on Families and Relationships
University of Edinburgh
Roona.Simpson@ed.ac.uk
RGS-IBG Conference, UPTAP
August 2006
2. Context Fertility Decline Dramatic changes in fertility patterns in most advanced Western nations in recent decades, although important differences both between and within countries. At the beginning of the 21st century, below-replacement fertility is the norm in the developed world.
Delayed childbirth, in particular the postponement of first births, related to smaller family sizes and increased childlessness, all of which contribute to overall fertility decline.
3. Context deferred childbirth
4. Chart 2: Childlessness at age 40, Selected Birth CohortsSource: ONS Birth Statistics, Series FM1 33
5. Context Theoretical Perspectives Second Demographic Transition (van der Kaa 1987, Lesthaeghe 1995)
Individualisation Theory (Beck and Beck-Gernsheim 1995; Giddens 1992)
Risk Aversion Theory (Oppenheimer 1994; Hobson et al, 2004; Lewis 2006)
Gender Equity Theory (McDonald 2000)
Changing Gender and Generational Relations (Irwin 2000, 2005)
14. References
15. References (Cont.) Lesthaeghe, R. 1995. The Second Demographic Transition in Western Countries: An Interpretation. In.: K. O. Mason and A.-M. Jensen (eds.) Gender and Family Change in Industrialized Countries. Oxford, Clarendon Press
Lewis, J. 2006. Perceptions of Risk in Intimate Relationships, Journal of Social Policy, 35 (1):39 - 57
McDonald, P. 2000. Gender Equity In Theories Of Fertility Transition. Population and Development Review 26(3): 427-439.
Oppenheimer, V., 1994. Womens Rising Employment and The Future of The Family in Industrialised Societies, Population and Development Review, 20 (2):293-342.
Van de Kaa, D. J. 1987. Europes Second Demographic Transition, Population Bulletin 42 (1).
Watkins, S. C. (1993) If All We Knew About Women Was What We Read In Demography, What Would We Know? Demography, 30 (4): 551-577.