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2003 NEWCASTLE CITY HOUSING REQUIREMENTS STUDY. OBJECTIVES Inform Housing, Regeneration & Care Strategies Help prioritise Investment Decisions Inform Plan Policies / site negotiation IDENTIFY Adequacy of Existing Stock New Households Affordability / Access Problem Scale of Future Needs
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2003 NEWCASTLE CITY HOUSING REQUIREMENTS STUDY
OBJECTIVES • Inform Housing, Regeneration & Care Strategies • Help prioritise Investment Decisions • Inform Plan Policies / site negotiation • IDENTIFY • Adequacy of Existing Stock • New Households Affordability / Access Problem • Scale of Future Needs • Scale of Affordable Housing Need in Each Area
ASSESSMENT METHODOLOGY • POSTAL / INTERVIEW SURVEY • 12,000 Households - 3,032 Responses • 1,000 Face to Face General Interviews • 26 Ward Sub-areas; CPA’s ; Pathfinder Area • CITY HOUSE PRICE STUDY • DWELLING BALANCE ANALYSIS • SECONDARY DATA ANALYSIS • Population / Household Growth • 2001 Census; Waiting List; HIP Data • Housing Strategy ; UDP
KEY FINDINGS • Vast Majority (84%) Live in Adequate Housing • Stock Mismatch – Supply / Preferences • Neighbourhood Facilities / Quality • 1,155 Concealed Households forming each year • 27% Households with a Special Need
STOCK QUALITY • 84.3% Live in Housing Inadequate for their needs • 5,800 too small • 10,700 need repairs / improvements • 58,500 Need Repairs / Improvements • 51% Window Repairs; 36% Additional Security; 28% Insulation ENERGY FACILITIES • 96% Have Central Heating (90% Full) • 62% Have Double-Glazing (50% Full) • 55% Have Loft Insulation
CONCEALED HOUSEHOLDS • 1,155 Households forming each year • 74% Are Children of Existing Households • 12% - Lodgers • 27% will form a two person household • 9.7% Contain Children (370) • 71% Are aged 20 - 29; 12% are over the age of 30 • 12% Are on a Waiting List (21% Year 1)
CONCEALED HOUSEHOLDS • HOUSING NEEDS / PREFERENCES TenureStock %Need %Preference % • Owner-Occupation 53.5 59.4 • Social Rental 35.5 27.1 • Private Rental 10.7 12.3 • Shared Ownership 0.5 1.2 Type • Terraced House 27.4 17.3 15.4 • Flat / Maisonette 29.8 55.9 35.1 • Semi-Detached House 30.3 17.9 38.0 Size • One-Bedroom 11.6 42.3 14.7 • Two-Bedroom 35.5 45.4 55.5 • Three-Bedroom 41.7 10.5 27.9
CONCEALED HOUSEHOLDS (WITHIN 1 YEAR) INCOME 27% below £10,000 81% below £23,000 91% below £30,000 HOUSE PRICES (JUNE 2003) Average Price% Sales Terraced Houses £110,300 35% Flats £ 96,000 33% Semi-Detached Houses £116,350 26%
EXISTING HOUSEHOLDS MOVING HOUSING NEEDS TENURE Owner-Occupation 57.8% Social’ Rental 35.8% Private Rental 6.2% HOUSING TYPESSIZE Semi-Det. House 40.0% One Bedroom 1.9% Detached House 12.1% Two Bedrooms 8.2% Bungalows 12.9% Three Bedrooms 37.1% Terraces 17.0% Four or more 52.8% Flat / Maisonette 15.3%
HOUSEHOLDS MOVING LOCATIONAL PREFERENCES • LOCATIONEXISTING %NEW % • Jesmond 31.7 17.5 • South Gosforth 30.8 11.8 • Heaton 20.8 18.5 • Fenham 17.5 8.3 • Westerhope 13.9 12.1 • City Centre 9.9 3.6 • Sandyford 9.2 5.2 • Denton 8.9 16.5 • Kenton 6.4 4.7 REASON FOR PREFERRED LOCATION • Nearer family 8.3 61.8 • Prefer the area 19.6 47.7 • Employment / access to work 7.3 36.9 • Safer / Less crime 5.4 19.1
LOW DEMAND - KEY FACTORS • High Council / RSL Stock Level • Low Entry Level House Prices • Falling Population Numbers ISSUES • Creates Choice • Migration to Better Areas • Move Away From :- • Poor Environment / Neighbourhood • High Crime Levels
NEIGHBOURHOOD ISSUES DislikeExistingLeavingHouseholds %City % • Safety / Crime 33 12 • Drugs 23 - • Harassment (neighbours / youths) 20 18 • Dogs 33 - • Environment 25 13 LikeALL % • Shopping Facilities 59 • Public Transport 64 • Schools 32 • Housing 34
SPECIAL NEEDS • 27% Special Needs Households (28,890) • 58% are aged over 60 • 50% - 14,178 Walking difficulty • 11% - 3,182 Wheelchair Users(29% live in an Adapted Home) • 26% - 7,285 Other Physical Disability • 23% - 6,463 Limiting long-term illness • 22% - 6,243 Asthmatic / Respiratory Problem
SPECIAL NEEDS • Member 1 %Member 2 % • Mental Health (3,390) 11.9 10.6 • Learning Difficulty (1,040) 3.6 6.5 SUPPORT NEEDSMental HealthLearningDifficulty • Advice/Advocacy - 42% • Social Contact 34% 45% • Managing Behaviour 64% 67%
ADAPTATION NEEDS • 14% of Dwellings Adapted (14,732) • Type of AdaptationProvided %Needed % • Handrails / grabrails 54 31 • Bathroom Adaptations 48 49 • Access to Property 35 14 • Stairlift / Vertical lift 27 15 • Ground Floor Toilet 23 20 • Adaptations for Wheelchair 23 12 • Extension 3 9
ACCOMMODATION NEEDS ShelteredPrivateAffordableNo WardenTotal Existing 136 241 103 480 In-migrant 1,0036759372,615 TOTAL 1,139 916 1,040 3,095 Supported Housing External Support 364 Live-in carer 46 Nursing Home 35 TOTAL 445