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Manufactured Homes, Inc. Prepared by: Chris Eric Ranbir Robert. Agenda. Introduction Company background & goals Strategy Analysis Sources of Revenue Accounting Analysis Revenue Recognition Statement Analysis Credit Loss (Provision for Losses) Risk Analysis Implications & Conclusion.
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Manufactured Homes, Inc Prepared by: Chris Eric Ranbir Robert
Agenda • Introduction • Company background & goals • Strategy Analysis • Sources of Revenue • Accounting Analysis • Revenue Recognition • Statement Analysis • Credit Loss (Provision for Losses) • Risk Analysis • Implications & Conclusion
Company Background • Manufactured Homes founded in 1975 • 1983 went public • 1987 listed on AMEX • 1986 established MANH Fin.Services • Fastest growing company-Bus.Week • 40% of total US market • Present in 7 states in U.S.
Company’s Goals: • Increase profit margins • Establish broader dealer network • Increase market share • Strategic acquisition • Create skilled management team
Industry Analysis • 10,000 manufactured home retailers • mom and pop” operations • Increased competition for market share • Transition and consolidation • Smaller firms disappearing • Merging with larger firms • Increase in price of conventional housing • 12 mil people in 6 mil homes
Market Analysis • Target Market: • Low-income families • Age 18-40, blue collar workers • Essential housing needs • Repossession rate low • Seniors • Vacationers
Business Strategy AnalysisBargaining Power of Buyers LOW • Low income families • Not likely to buy conventional homes • Equal features to conventional homes • Increase in demand expected • Result: Increased Revenue
Business Strategy AnalysisBargaining Power of Suppliers HIGH • Banks-attractive rates to customers • Banks-refuse installment contracts • Interest rates-decrease • Result: Decreased Revenue
Business Strategy AnalysisThreat of Substitute Products LOW • Increase in price of conventional housing • Result: Increased Revenue HIGH • Decrease in interest rates • Result: Reduced Revenue
Business Strategy AnalysisThreat of New Entrants LOW • Network of National Dealers • Small firms – lack of volume buying powers and capitalization • Strategic acquisition of major home makers
Business Strategy AnalysisRivalry Among Existing Firms LOW • Smaller firms disappear • Lack of volume buying powers and capitalization
Business Strategy Analysis Competitive Advantage • Cost leadership • Affordable price for low income families • Volume buyer power-financial advantage • Differentiation • Reliable supply of homes • Designer homes
Sources of Revenue • Revenue from Sale of New Homes • Revenue from Participation Income • Define what Participation Income is and how it is calculated
Class Discussion • Is the business of ‘buying and selling’ homes contributing to profitability? • To what extent does Manufactured Homes rely on ‘Participation Income’? • Should this be better disclosed?
Analysis of Net Income • Conclusion: • Finance participation income is driving Net Income • Home Sales does not contribute significantly to Net Income
Recognition of Revenue • Sale is recognized when down payment is received or, when installment contract is agreed upon • The majority of installment contracts are sold with recourse to financial institutions • Installment contracts are normally payable over 120 to 180 months
Financial Accounting Board’s Statement No. 77 • …the seller should be able to estimate: • The amount of bad debts and related costs of collection and repossession • The amount of prepayments
Credit Losses and Net Income • During the 4th quarter of 1986, approximately 2 million of repossession expense and interest chargebacks were experienced and charged off
Indicators that Risk has increased re: Participation Income • Lenders refused to refinance homes that were repossessed, one major cause of $2,000,000 new charge on Balance Sheet (pg. 194 / 195) • Two institutions incr. interest rate charged to Mftd. Homes, decreasing the spread. Participation Income will decrease as a result (pg. 194 / 195)
Indicators that Risk has increased re: Participation Income • Mftd. Homes has started own finance subsidiary to finance installment contracts receivable, probably because the banks are becoming reluctant to lend against the contracts (pg 196) • Installment contracts are not held for resale (new line on the Balance Sheet) (page 208)
Indicators that Risk has increased re: Participation Income • Mnfd. Homes must put up an irrevocable letter of credit secured by a deposit equal to the letter of credit to sell the installment of the receivables.
Discussion • Based on what we have reviewed: • Do you think Mftd. Homes is in a favorable financial position? • Should they re-think their strategy? • What are the implications of the points discussed so far?
Implication: Risk • Bank (Lenders) are seeing that the installment receivables are becoming more and more risky: • Defaults • Pre-Payments (due to lower interest rates offered by banks) • Mounting financial difficulty of Mftd. Homes • Increasing pressure by SEC
Implications: Risk • Each of the issues discussed would raise small red flags on their own, however most not likely have a big overall impact • However, all 5 issues raised together does indeed show the problem in accounting Participation Income as Mftd. Homes does
Implication: Revenue Sources • The business of buying and selling homes is not contributing much to profitability & finance participation income is primary source of income • Should this be better disclosed?
Implication: Reporting as Receivables vs. Loan • Revenue (as reported) or Loan (as recommended) • Mftd. Homes is liable for 180 million of installment loans that are not shown on the balance sheet. This loan makes a big difference in the D/C and D/E Ratio’s:
Implication: Reporting as Receivables vs. Loan • Based on the Estimated Reported vs. Restated Balance Sheet: • Debt to Capital: • As Reported: .86 Restated: 1.00 • Debt to Equity: • As Reported: 26.4 Restated: -12.29 • Value of loans is greater than the value of the assets • Due to a ‘negative’ Stockholders Equity
Implication: Accounting Practices • How do you estimate an amount for defaults or Re-Financing? • Reliance on the economic conditions: Interest Rates and we have a price sensitive consumer • Market Analysis: With low income customers, mgmt statements may be different than reality
Implication: Accounting Practices • The accounting practice used to account for the transactions / participation income: Does it seem murky to you?
Subsequent Developments • Mftd Homes reported a loss of 4.5 million in Q4 of 87, wiping out most profits. • Loss due to 300% increase of company’s reserve for credit losses • Impact of Auditors • Disagreement with Auditors
Subsequent Developments • 8.5 million loss in 1988 • Financial institutions not accepting transfer of installment notes • Increase in customer defaults and pre-payments (increase credit reserve further) • Switched Auditing Firms
Subsequent Developments • SEC investigation into accounting practices • Estimating Credit Losses • SEC contested by Mftd Homes • Stock Price moved from $14.88 (March 1988) to $1.50 by June 1989
Thank You! QUESTIONS?