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Detailed review of climate anomalies leading to the 2003 wildfire season, including year-to-date statistics and future outlook. Key highlights, workshops, and upcoming climate predictions discussed.
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Program for Climate, Ecosystem and Fire Applications Climate Anomalies and the 2003 Wildfire Season Timothy Brown and Beth Hall Desert Research Institute
Year-to-Date Wildfire Statistics (as of 10/17/03)
2003 Year-to-Date Managed Fire Statistics (as of 10/17/03)
Season Climate Highlights • Long-term drought in West • Persistent summer ridge in West • Westward shift of monsoon • No significant wind events in many regions
Next Season Outlook Workshops • Eastern Area (late-January) • Whole U.S. (early April)
Key Upcoming Climate Highlights • Winter ENSO? • Will western drought conditions persist? • Southwest monsoon strength/location?