Severe Weather Forecasting in Zimbabwe: Understanding Risks and Climate Patterns

Feb 05, 2026

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This demonstration project explores the climatology of severe weather events in Zimbabwe, focusing on rainfall patterns, elevation station distribution, and seasonal variations. Key findings include increased October rainfall, extended dry spells, and intensified precipitation events leading to heavy rains, flash flooding, hail, and lightning. The study also highlights the impacts of tropical cyclones, gale-force winds during the dry season, fog patches affecting visibility, freshening winds, temperature extremes causing veld fires and black frost, and their implications for the region's agriculture and safety.

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Severe Weather Forecasting in Zimbabwe: Understanding Risks and Climate Patterns

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Severe Weather Forecasting Demonstration Project - Zimbabwe Climatology of severe weather
Zimbabwe - elevation

Station distribution in Zimbabwe
OND - JFM Mean Rainfall • Increase in October rainfall, dry spell duration and intensity of precipitation events • Heavy rains and flash flooding, Hail, Lightning • Tropical Cyclones flooding, Gale force winds
Dry season severe weather • Fog patches – reduced visibility • Freshening winds – Guti incursions • Very Hot temperatures – Veld fires • Very Cold temperatures – Black Frost