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Some results from operational verification in Italy

Some results from operational verification in Italy. Adriano Raspanti – Angela Celozzi David Palella. Introduction. System: Versus 1.0 + patch 0.1 Parameters: 2T,2Td, 10m WS, TC, P, MSLP. Introduction. Scales used for PLOTS Precipitation

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Some results from operational verification in Italy

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  1. Some results from operational verification in Italy Adriano Raspanti – Angela Celozzi David Palella

  2. Introduction System: Versus 1.0 + patch 0.1 Parameters: 2T,2Td, 10m WS, TC, P, MSLP

  3. Introduction Scales used for PLOTSPrecipitation FBI   max 3 min -0.1 ETS max 0.5 min -0.1Temp Celsius Deg. max 6 min -3Tdew Celsius Deg.  max 6 min -3Mslp  hPa              max 4 min -1 Wspeed m/s             max 3 min -2CLCT  %                max 50 min -25

  4. Verification COSMOME COSMOIT CROSS MODEL COSMOME VS ECMWF CROSS MODEL COSMOME VS COSMOIT FEW CONDITIONAL VERIFICATIONS NP 3d optimized vs NP height optimized

  5. Temperature CM

  6. DP Temperature CM

  7. MSLP CM

  8. Wind Speed CM

  9. Total Cloud Cover CM

  10. Precipitation +06h FBI CM

  11. Precipitation +06h ETS CM

  12. Precipitation +12h FBI CM

  13. Precipitation +12h ETS CM

  14. Precipitation +24h FBI CM

  15. Precipitation +24h ETS CM

  16. COSMO-IT - Temperature

  17. COSMO-IT DP Temperature

  18. COSMO-IT MSLPressure Clear problem with MSLP increasing fast with the step

  19. COSMO-IT Wind Speed

  20. COSMO-IT Total Cloud Cover

  21. CT-Prec +06 Fbi and Ets

  22. CI - Prec+12 Fbi and Ets

  23. CI - Prec +24 Fbi and Ets

  24. COSMOME vs ECMWF Temperature

  25. COSMOME vs ECMWF Dew Point Temperature

  26. COSMOME vs ECMWF Mean Sea Level Pressure

  27. COSMOME vs ECMWF Total Cloud Cover

  28. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Wind Speed

  29. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation SON - FBI

  30. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation SON - ETS

  31. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation DJF - FBI

  32. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation DJF - ETS

  33. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation MAM - FBI

  34. COSMOME vs ECMWF –Precipitation MAM - ETS

  35. COSMOME vs COSMOIT –2mT

  36. COSMOME vs COSMOIT –Prec DJF - FBI

  37. COSMOME vs COSMOIT –Prec DJF - ETS

  38. COSMOME vs COSMOIT –Prec MAM - FBI

  39. COSMOME vs COSMOIT –Prec MAM - ETS

  40. Conditional VerificationTemperature with Sky clear from Model

  41. Temperature CM

  42. Conditional VerificationTemperature with Sky clear from Obs

  43. Temperature CM

  44. Conditional VerificationTemperature with Total Cloud Cover from Model

  45. Temperature CM

  46. Conditional VerificationTemperature with Total Cloud Cover from Obs

  47. Temperature CM

  48. Nearest Point 3D optimized vs Nearest Point height optimized Temperature – MAM 09 Dew Point Temp.– MAM 09 NP3D NPho

  49. Nearest Point 3D optimized vs Nearest Point height optimized MSLP – MAM 09 TCC– MAM 09 NP3D NPho

  50. Nearest Point 3D optimized vs Nearest Point height optimized Wspeed – MAM 09 Conclusion for 1 Seasons New COSMO algorithm has positive (on T) or neutral impact on the scores Maybe a slightly negative on Wspeed More physically coherent Should be use for T and TD at least. More investigation about Wspeed. TC better represented by 30km of radius circle (mean all over the points NP3D NPho

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