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Improvements in the BLS Business Register

Improvements in the BLS Business Register. Richard Clayton David Talan 12th Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Paris, France September 14-15, 2011. Concepts and Sources Reducing Respondent Burden Data Sharing New Statistical Products. Outline.

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Improvements in the BLS Business Register

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  1. Improvements in the BLS Business Register Richard Clayton David Talan 12th Meeting of the Group of Experts on Business Registers Paris, France September 14-15, 2011

  2. Concepts and Sources Reducing Respondent Burden Data Sharing New Statistical Products Outline

  3. Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages • Quarterly census of employers covered under UI and federal employers covered under UCFE • 98% of U.S. Employment

  4. QCEW – Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages • Quarterly data (frequent) • Released 6 months after reference period - timely • 9.1 million records and growing • 130 million in employment • Units, employment and wages • 6 digit NAICS and county, ownership • 20 million data series available on the BLS website • UI based, mandatory collections to run UI • Wages - 98% reported data • Employment - 97% reported data • Units - 95% reported data

  5. Source: BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Administrative data from Unemployment Insurance filings (UI) Huge investment in improving raw administrative data Two supplemental collections ARS- Annual Refiling Survey MWR- Multiple Worksite Report Investment in Quality

  6. Independent Validation Checks • Current Employment Statistics Survey • Monthly Survey of Employment and Earners • 400,000 establishments • Detailed industry and geographic estimates • Individual Wage Records • National • State

  7. Highly Accurate Data • Thorough editing and review at the state, regional, and national levels each quarter • 196 Interactive Edits • QCEW staff contact businesses to validate or correct questionable data and/or provide missing data (probably unique in this respect) • Development of new processing system with even more powerful editing and review capabilities

  8. QCEW Concepts • Employer • Establishment • Reporting unit • Multi-establishment employer QCEW

  9. Business Register Sources • UI Status Determination Form • UI Quarterly Contribution Report • BLS Multiple Worksite Report • BLS Federal Government Report • BLS Annual Refiling Survey Forms

  10. Data obtained: UI account number business name business address employer identification number ownership status industry status multi-establishment employer status predecessor information Status Determination Form

  11. Quarterly UI Contribution Report Data obtained: • monthly employment • total wages • taxable wages • employer contributions

  12. Multiple Worksite Report Data obtained: • establishment address • worksite description • monthly employment by establishment • total wages by establishment

  13. Federal Government Report • Federal employment and wages • All Federal worksites report electronically

  14. Annual Refiling Forms Verify and update: • industry codes • geographic codes • ownership status • business names and addresses • multi-establishment status

  15. BLS Business Register • Updated each quarter • Over 9 million records • Longitudinal database • Linked to create a time series for each establishment BLS Business Register

  16. Electronic Data Interchange (EDI) Center Touchtone Data Collection Web Collection Reducing Response Rates

  17. Established in 1995 Purpose: Collect data electronically from large firms in multiple states The EDI Center collects 24% of the nation’s establishments representing 20% of employment The EDI Center has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden EDI Center

  18. Established in 2002 Purpose: Collect data from respondents to the Annual Refile Survey Touchtone Data Entry (TDE) accounts for about 29% of ARS respondents TDE has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden Touchtone Data Collection

  19. Established in 2007 Purpose: Collect data from respondents to the MWR MWR Web accounts for about 13% of total employment and 10% of establishments MWR Web has improved response rates and productivity while reducing costs and respondent burden MWR Internet Web Collection

  20. Data Sharing • Bureau of Economic Analysis • Census Bureau • National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) • Future Data Sharing Plans

  21. Bureau of Economic Analysis • Receives Employment and Wage Data every quarter • Used to prepare the Personal Income component of the National Income and Products Accounts at the national, state and county level • QCEW wages represent 94% of the wage and salary component of Personal Income and 42.5% of GDP

  22. Census Bureau • Receives industry codes every quarter. • Used in the Census Business Register to help classify new establishments. • In FY2011, BLS supplied Census with 3.3 million matched firm records • This data sharing project reduces respondent burden, improves industry codes for Census, and helps to create consistent statistical products

  23. NOAA • Used to develop ocean economy economic indicators of employment and wages at the national, state and county level • This data sharing project is helping NOAA develop new social science tools and methods used to address the nation’s coastal issues • http://csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/snapshots/index.html

  24. Future Data Sharing Plans • More Data Sharing with Census: • Sharing Multi-units data • Sharing Professional Employer Organization (PEO) data • Department of Agriculture Economic Research Service

  25. Continuous Progress and Improvements 1991 –1992 : Multiple Worksite Reports - county Level 2001 : Longitudinal Database completed 1998 – 2001 : NAICS Implemented 2002 : Quarterly Publication Initiated 2003 : Business Employment Dynamics (BED) : Geocoding started 2004 : NAICS History Released (Sept 2004) 4 Week Acceleration Completed 2005 : BED Firm Size Data 2007 : NAICS 2007 Conversion (2007/Q1) 2010 : QCEW Mapping Tool BED Expansion

  26. Uses Of Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages Data (QCEW) Quarterly Press Releases, Annual Employment and Wages • Job Creation/Destruction • Size Class Dynamics • Business Survival Rates Geocoded Establishments Industrial Price Program National Compensation Survey Current Employment Statistics Occupational Employment Statistics Occupational Safety and Health Statistics Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey • Local Economic Development Indicators • Clusters Analysis • Shift Share • Industry Diversity Indexes • Location Quotients Current Employment Statistics Gross Domestic Product (BEA) Occupational Employment Statistics Personal Income (BEA) Minimum Wage Studies State Revenue Projections Occupational Safety and Health Statistics Economic Forecasting Jobs Openings & Labor Turnover Survey General Economic Uses Benchmarking (Employment Base) Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages Data (QCEW/ Analytical Uses Sampling • Interagency Data Uses • Improve CPS After 2000 Census • LEHD • Industry Code Sharing Programmatic Uses Local Government Services Planning UI Tax Rate & Actuarial Analysis Local Economic Impact Response Planning UI-Covered Employment Local Area Unemployment Local Transportation Planning Mass Layoff Statistics Federal Funds Allocation $175 Billion (HUD, USDA, HCFA/CHIP)

  27. Employment and Wage Data • number of establishments, monthly employment, and quarterly wages Available by: • geographical area • industry code • size WAGES

  28. QCEW Publications Annual Bulletin via the Web • Employment and Wages • Released in Fall After Year’s End Quarterly Press Releases • County Employment and Wages • Business Employment Dynamics

  29. Timeliness January 1 – March 31 = Reference Quarter March 31 – April 30 = Reporting Period May 1 – July 29 = UI Processing QCEW Extract from UI QCEW Edit & Review July 30 – Sept 28 = State File sent to BLS BLS Review State Updates Received September 29, 2011 = Publication Lag= 6 months

  30. QCEW Mapping Tool

  31. QCEW Mapping Tool

  32. Uses of Geocoded Data

  33. Linked longitudinally QCEW data to create a time series Unit of analysis is the Establishment Scope Private sector, excludes private households 6.8 million establishments 107 million employment Reveals the dynamics of the labor market. Shows gross flows as well as net employment changes Business Employment Dynamics (BED)

  34. Uses Business Demography data: • Provides policy-relevant series at all levels of government • Assesses the employment dynamics of the business cycle • Provides new indicators on the health of the labor market

  35. National Total Private National NAICS Sector National Firm Size State Total Private Size of Employment Change (National) Annual (National/State) Birth Death (National/State) Age/Survival (National) September 2003 May 2004 December 2005 August 2007 September 2008 May 19, 2009 May 19, 2009 August, 18 2010 BED Data Series Available

  36. Gross job gains Gross job losses

  37. Expansions Contractions Openings Closings

  38. Survival Rates Across Cohorts

  39. Accessing the QCEW and BED Macrodata • BED: http://www.bls.gov/bdm/home.htm • QCEW: http://www.bls.gov/cew/home.htm

  40. Richard ClaytonDavid TalanEmail: clayton.richard@bls.gov Email: talan.david@bls.gov www.bls.gov/bdm

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